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Notre Dame 14 at Alabama 31

ALA
2020 · Rose Bowl Game - CFP Semifinal · Jan 1, 2021 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery Davis
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:19: Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 12 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +2.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:16: Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +2.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:49: Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +3.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:15: Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 40 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down — ALA win probability +2.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:58: Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:50ND 4th & 8 at ND 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:30ND 4th & 5 at ND 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:16ND 4th & 1 at ALA 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:39ND 4th & 8 at ND 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:44ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06ND 4th & 3 at ALA 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.4
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:58ALA 4th & 19 at ND 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:05ND 4th & 16 at ND 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:45ALA 4th & 4 at ND 23, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:43ND 4th & 10 at ALA 13, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:32ALA 4th & 17 at ALA 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:26ND 4th & 8 at ND 45, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:14ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:19ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:16ND Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:49ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:58ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:56ND Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0011% → 11%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
89.5%
Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+15
89.4%
Kyren Williams run for 15 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
89.2%
Ian Book run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 22 Ian Book fumbled, recovered by NDameSimilar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
89.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+7
89.2%
Ian Book run for 7 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
89.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DeVonta Smith at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:3189% → 89%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
89.0%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 15 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
88.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
88.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 8 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
88.7%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 5 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
88.6%
Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.6%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Slade Bolden, broken up by Kyle HamiltonSimilar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
89.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 26 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:4011% → 12%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.9%
Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
88.6%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
88.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
88.5%
Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-4
88.3%
Kyren Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+2
88.4%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
88.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 53 yds, downed at the Alab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
5 plays · 97 yds · 2:0588% → 90%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
88.4%
Najee Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
88.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+8
88.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 8 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+53
88.3%
Najee Harris run for 53 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
90.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 12 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:4410% → 13%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.7%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+27
89.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 27 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
89.5%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
89.6%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
89.6%
Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.4%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
89.4%
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
89.5%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
89.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
89.2%
Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
89.6%
Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.3%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the Alab 9Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
89.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 6 yds to the Alab 3Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.7%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the Alab 1Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:1187% → 92%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
87.3%
Mac Jones run for 6 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
87.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 3 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
87.0%
Mac Jones run for 2 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
87.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 24 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
87.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 15 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
91.6%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0110% → 9%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.5%
Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
90.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 3 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
90.4%
Ian Book pass complete to George Takacs for 10 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
90.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 1 yd to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
90.3%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
90.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery DavisSimilar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
90.7%
Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:5191% → 91%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
91.0%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
91.1%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
91.0%
Mac Jones run for 3 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.1%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
91.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 1 yd to the Alab 38Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+8
91.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 8 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
91.9%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
92.0%
DeVonta Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
91.7%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie IIISimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
91.3%
Charlie Scott punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:319% → 9%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
91.4%
Ian Book run for 9 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+20
91.1%
Ian Book run for 20 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+20
90.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 20 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
89.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+8
91.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+51
90.7%
Jonathan Doerer 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
92.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:5791% → 91%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.3%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
91.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 22 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
91.8%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+5
91.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 5 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
91.6%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.9%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
92.0%
Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 11
OPP 38
-8
91.6%
Mac Jones pass complete to Mac Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 19
OPP 46
0
91.0%
Charlie Scott punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:289% → 9%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
91.1%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the NDame 10Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
91.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 6 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+5
91.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 5 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
91.2%
Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+10
91.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
90.7%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
90.6%
Ian Book pass intercepted Christian Harris return for no gain to the Alab 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:1793% → 98%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
93.0%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 40 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
93.3%
Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Harris, Najee, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+10
93.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
93.3%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+9
93.1%
Mac Jones run for 9 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:502% → 2%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.6%
Ben Skowronek run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
97.6%
Book, Ian pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Young, Byron) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-14
97.6%
Ian Book sacked by Christian Barmore for a loss of 14 yards to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 24
OWN 30
+1
97.8%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 23
OWN 31
+7
97.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 7 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 16
OWN 38
+20
98.1%
Jay Bramblett punt for 52 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 20 yds to the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:1599% → 99%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
98.5%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.6%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+14
98.6%
Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 14 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee HarrisSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
98.7%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+13
98.7%
Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Mac Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
98.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+4
98.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 4 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
99.0%
Will Reichard 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:571% → 1%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
98.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 18 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
98.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 8 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
98.9%
Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
98.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
98.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 4 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
98.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 18 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
98.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Alab 18Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
98.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 4 yds to the Alab 14Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+1
98.9%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the Alab 13Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
99.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben SkowronekSimilar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 10
OPP 13
0
99.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0399% → 99%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
99.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 10 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+15
99.2%
Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Smith, DeVonta, PENALTY NOTREDAME roughing passer (Ademilola, Justin) 15 yards to the ALABAMA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Alex Leatherwood) to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+6
99.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Xavier Williams for no gain to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-8
99.4%
Mac Jones sacked by Jayson Ademilola and Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 34 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Charlie Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 4:291% → 2%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+20
99.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 20 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.4%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
99.4%
Ian Book sacked by DeMarcco Hellams for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+15
99.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 2 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
99.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Braden LenzySimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 5 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+7
99.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the Alab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Ian Book run for no gain to the Alab 1Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19Uncategorized
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben SkowronekSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
98.2%
Ian Book run for 11 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
98.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Jobe) to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
97.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+3
97.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+15
98.1%
Ian Book run for 15 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:58
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 8:49
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 11:16
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com