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MER

Mercer 3 at Army 49

ARMY
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadMER aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreMER score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:56 · Caleb Dowden 30 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+34.2Pregame prior+6.5Score differential+27.5Blowout margin+14.8Garbage-time factor+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:08: Caleb Dowden 36 yd FG GOOD — MER win probability +1.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: MER has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:34: Cade Ballard pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 53 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK) — ARMY win probability +1.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:12: Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:05: Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK) — ARMY win probability +7.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:39: Cade Barnard run for 3 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MER made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:08MER 4th & 14 at ARMY 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:08ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.4%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:48ARMY 4th & 1 at MER 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−0.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 2 at MER 3, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:12MER 4th & 5 at ARMY 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:46ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:48MER 4th & 8 at ARMY 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:52ARMY 4th & 1 at MER 16, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−2.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−10.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:39MER 4th & 12 at MER 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:56MER 4th & 9 at ARMY 13, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 18, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:15MER 4th & 10 at MER 47, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 4:34ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:12ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:05ARMY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:39ARMY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:13ARMY Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:39ARMY Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:00ARMY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MERDrive 1FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 6:5226% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.0%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Devin Crosby for 5 yds to the Mercr 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
74.0%
Deondre Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mercr 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
74.0%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Ty James for 6 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
74.0%
Tyray Devezin run for 2 yds to the Mercr 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
74.0%
Fred Davis run for 3 yds to the Mercr 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+15
74.0%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Fred Davis for 15 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
74.0%
Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
74.0%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Fred Davis for 3 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
74.0%
Deondre Johnson run for 8 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
74.0%
Deondre Johnson run for 9 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+4
74.0%
Tyray Devezin run for 4 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
74.0%
Harrison Frost pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-3
74.0%
Fred Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 18
-1
74.0%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Deondre Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 19Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+36
72.3%
Caleb Dowden 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3472% → 74%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
72.0%
Cade Ballard run for 6 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
72.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 37Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
72.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
72.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
72.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
73.6%
Cade Ballard pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 53 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 3INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
73.0%
Fred Davis run for 1 yd to the Mercr 24Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
73.0%
Harrison Frost pass intercepted Cameron Jones return for no gain to the Mercr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
11 plays · 39 yds · 5:3674% → 79%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
73.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Mercr 36Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
73.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Mercr 33Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+3
73.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Mercr 30Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
73.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Mercr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
74.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Mercr 25Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+14
74.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds to the Mercr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
74.0%
Cade Ballard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+7
73.6%
Cade Barnard run for 7 yds to the Mercr 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+3
73.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Mercr 3Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+2
72.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Mercr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.0%
Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
76.8%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Ty James for 5 yds to the Mercr 33Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
76.8%
Harrison Frost run for 2 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
76.7%
Tyray Devezin run for 5 yds to the Mercr 40Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
76.1%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Brandon Mays for 7 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
76.1%
Harrison Frost run for 5 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
75.9%
Harrison Frost pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
76.0%
Harrison Frost pass incomplete to Steven Peterson, broken up by Cameron JonesSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
76.9%
Grant Goupil punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
78.7%
Cade Ballard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 20 Cade Ballard fumbled, forced by Jordan Swain, recovered by Army Cade BallardSimilar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-2
78.2%
Cade Ballard sacked by Isaac Dowling for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 20Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
77.6%
Zach Harding punt, downed at the Mercr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
78.1%
Tyray Devezin run for 5 yds to the Mercr 39Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
77.4%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Max Burke for 2 yds to the Mercr 41Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+9
77.7%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Deondre Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
50
+1
77.1%
Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Army 49Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
77.2%
Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Army 48Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
77.7%
Harrison Frost pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
78.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Reikan Donaldson blocked by Reikan DonaldsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:5581% → 88%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
80.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Mercr 36Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-9
80.8%
A.J. Howard run for 1 yd to the Mercr 35 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (Sandon McCoy) to the Mercr 45Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+29
80.4%
Reikan Donaldson run for 29 yds to the Mercr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
80.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Mercr 13Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
80.7%
Cade Ballard run for 6 yds to the Mercr 7Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
80.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Mercr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
80.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Mercr 1Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 9INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:4012% → 14%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
88.0%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Deondre Johnson for 10 yds to the Mercr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
87.9%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Ty James for 13 yds to the Mercr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
87.2%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Deondre Johnson for 5 yds to the Mercr 45Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-6
87.1%
Harrison Frost sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the Mercr 39Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+20
88.1%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Zacch Davis for 20 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-50
86.1%
Harrison Frost pass intercepted Jon Rhattigan return for 50 yds to the Mercr 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10MISSED FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+39
89.7%
Landon Salyers 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:1389% → 98%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
88.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 15 yds to the Mercr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
88.3%
Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Mercr 23Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
88.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Mercr 21Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+5
87.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Mercr 16Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+4
87.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Mercr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
88.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Mercr 10Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+7
88.3%
Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the Mercr 3Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
97.7%
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Harrison Frost pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
96.8%
Harrison Frost pass complete to Deondre Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Mercr 23Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
96.3%
Grant Goupil punt for 36 yds, downed at the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:5798% → 100%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
98.1%
A.J. Howard run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
98.1%
A.J. Howard run for 7 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 36 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Army Tyhier Tyler for a 1ST down , return for 11 yds to the Mercr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.1%
Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Tyrell Robinson, broken up by Lance WiseSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+30
98.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 30 yds to the Mercr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Mercr 1Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Mercr 1Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 14INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:281% → 0%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.7%
Fred Davis run for 3 yds to the Mercr 25Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-29
99.6%
Harrison Frost pass intercepted for a TD Jabari Moore return for 29 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.6%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Zacch Davis for 12 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.6%
Tyray Devezin run for 6 yds to the Mercr 43Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+30
99.6%
Tyray Devezin run for 30 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.6%
Tyray Devezin run for 6 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
99.5%
Fred Davis run for 7 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.5%
Carter Peevy run for 1 yd to the Army 13Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-1
99.6%
Devin Crosby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 14Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.6%
Carter Peevy run for 1 yd to the Army 13Similar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
99.7%
Caleb Dowden 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.7%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Cody Winokur) to the Army 15Similar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
99.7%
Christian Parrish run for 2 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-8
99.7%
Maurice Bellan sacked by Isaac Dowling for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+9
99.8%
Maurice Bellan run for 9 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+9
99.8%
Zach Harding punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 35 , Landon Miller returns for 9 yds to the Mercr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Fred Davis run for 5 yds to the Mercr 40Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
99.8%
Tyray Devezin run for 7 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the Army 48Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-5
99.8%
Brandon Mays run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mercr 47Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
Grant Goupil punt for 43 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 8 yds to the ARMY 45 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (Andre Carter II) to the Army 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
18 plays · 91 yds · 10:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
99.9%
Ay'Juan Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 5Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+4
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+10
99.9%
Maurice Bellan pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 10 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 11 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Maurice Bellan run for 3 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Christian Parrish run for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Christian Parrish run for 1 yd to the Army 43Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+14
99.9%
Maurice Bellan run for 14 yds to the Mercr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Mercr 37Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Mercr 35Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Mercr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
99.9%
Jordan Blackman run for 13 yds to the Mercr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 10 yds to the Mercr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Mercr 4Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Mercr 1Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Connor Finucane) to the Mercr 6Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Jordan Blackman run for 6 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 19Uncategorized
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Brandon Mays for 2 yds to the Mercr 27Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Carter Peevy run for 5 yds to the Mercr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:39
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 1:05
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 13:12
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com