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CIT

The Citadel 9 at Army 14

ARMY
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:22 · Zach Harding punt for 40 yds , Dominick Poole returns for no gain to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+42.7Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:25: Jemel Jones run for 5 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK) — ARMY win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:21: Darique Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD Timeout THE CITADEL, clock 03:21 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CIT win probability +13.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:21: Matt Campbell kickoff for 42 yds — ARMY win probability +6.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:21: Maurice Bellan run for no gain to the Army 35 — ARMY win probability +5.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:12: Timeout THE CITADEL, clock 01:12 — ARMY win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CIT made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 14:22ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:47CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:47ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:23CIT 4th & 3 at ARMY 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:22ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00CIT 4th & 4 at ARMY 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 3 at CIT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:19CIT 4th & 3 at CIT 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55CIT 4th & 1 at ARMY 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:28CIT 4th & 3 at ARMY 30, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:28ARMY 4th & 2 at CIT 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−1.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:28ARMY 4th & 1 at CIT 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−1.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:25CIT 4th & 3 at CIT 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 42, up 11
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:29CIT 4th & 5 at ARMY 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:29CIT 4th & 10 at ARMY 32, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:19ARMY 4th & 6 at CIT 35, up 5
    Close callWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CIT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:57ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:25ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:21CIT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.7%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CITDrive 1INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
96.5%
Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
96.5%
Brandon Rainey pass intercepted Marquel Broughton return for no gain to the Army 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
96.4%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the Army 34Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+1
96.4%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 35Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Jemel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:22
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
96.4%
Zach Harding punt for 52 yds, downed at the Citad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
96.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 14Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
96.1%
Cooper Wallace run for no gain to the Citad 15 Cooper Wallace fumbled, forced by Malkelm Morrison, recovered by Citad Raleigh WebbSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+15
96.2%
Keyonte Sessions run for 15 yds to the Citad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
96.1%
Emeka Nwanze run for 3 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh WebbSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Keyonte Sessions run for no gain to the Citad 33Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Matt Campbell punt for 53 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the Army 7 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by Army Tyrell Robinson ARMY Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Army 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
96.1%
Jemel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 6Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+2
96.1%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+1
96.1%
Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 9Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 8
OWN 9
0
96.1%
Zach Harding punt for 46 yds, downed at the Citad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
94.9%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
94.8%
Emeka Nwanze run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 5
50
+2
94.8%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
94.9%
Matt Campbell punt for 47 yds, downed at the Army 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
94.5%
THE CITADEL Penalty, offside defense (Dewey Greene IV) to the Army 6Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+1
94.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 7Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+5
94.5%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
94.5%
Maurice Bellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 9 Maurice Bellan fumbled, recovered by Army Maurice BellanSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+6
94.5%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-5
94.4%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 10Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
94.4%
Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
94.3%
Zach Harding punt for 40 yds , Dominick Poole returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 7FG
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:237% → 8%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
50
+22
93.2%
Cooper Wallace run for 22 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
93.1%
Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Army 27Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
93.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
93.2%
Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Army 22Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
92.2%
Colby Kintner 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:0092% → 93%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Army 25 for a 1ST down THE CITADEL Penalty, offside defense (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
92.8%
Jemel Jones run for 11 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
92.9%
Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Citad 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
92.9%
Jemel Jones run for no gain to the Citad 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+11
92.8%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 11 yds to the Citad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
93.1%
Jemel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
93.0%
Braheam Murphy run for 6 yds to the Citad 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+1
92.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Citad 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
92.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Citad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.1%
Keefe White run for 1 yd to the Citad 26Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
90.1%
Emeka Nwanze run for 3 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
90.3%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy (Cunningham, C.), PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Cunningham, C.) 7 yards to the CIT36, 1ST DOWN CIT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
89.9%
Darique Hampton run for 3 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
89.6%
Emeka Nwanze run for 3 yds to the Citad 42Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+1
89.7%
Darique Hampton run for 1 yd to the Citad 43 THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+2
90.1%
Matt Campbell punt for 38 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Army 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:1788% → 91%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
88.1%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the Army 22Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
88.1%
Jemel Jones run for no gain to the Army 22Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+25
87.7%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Chris Cameron for 25 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
89.1%
Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the Citad 49Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
89.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-5
89.1%
Buchanan, J. rush for 3 yards to the CIT44 (ST Faulkner;Chris Beverly), PENALTY ARMY illegal formation 5 yards to the ARMY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+10
88.3%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Reikan Donaldson for 10 yds to the Citad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
89.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+10
89.3%
Braheam Murphy run for 10 yds to the Citad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
91.1%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Reikan Donaldson for 29 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 11INT
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+50
89.3%
Brandon Rainey pass complete to Raleigh Webb for 50 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-26
87.5%
Brandon Rainey pass intercepted Cedrick Cunningham Jr. return for 26 yds to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1190% → 89%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.6%
Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Reikan DonaldsonSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
89.5%
Jemel Jones run for no gain to the Army 29Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
89.4%
Jemel Jones pass intercepted Andy Davis return for no gain to the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
88.5%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-3
88.4%
Brandon Rainey sacked by Malkelm Morrison and Ryan Duran III for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 41Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+15
89.2%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Cunningham, C.) 15 yards to the ARMY26, 1ST DOWN CIT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
87.9%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Keyonte SessionsSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-7
87.9%
Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the Army 23 THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive holding (Raleigh Webb) to the Army 33Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+3
88.8%
Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the Army 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:2712% → 14%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
88.3%
Jaylan Adams run for 8 yds to the Citad 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+14
87.4%
Jaylan Adams run for 14 yds to the Citad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
87.0%
Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Citad 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-1
87.2%
Jaylan Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
87.9%
Jaylan Adams run for 9 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+6
87.5%
Jaylan Adams run for 6 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
86.8%
Jaylan Adams run for 4 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-2
86.1%
Emeka Nwanze run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
86.9%
Emeka Nwanze run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
85.7%
Colby Kintner 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Andre Carter IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 7:0388% → 93%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
88.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
88.6%
Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Citad 49Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+8
88.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 8 yds to the Citad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
88.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Citad 40Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+2
88.9%
Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Citad 38Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+5
88.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+6
87.9%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Citad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
89.3%
Jemel Jones run for 11 yds to the Citad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
89.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Citad 14Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+4
89.3%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Citad 10Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
88.7%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Citad 7Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+2
88.0%
Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Citad 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.3%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Emeka Nwanze run for 6 yds to the Citad 31Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
91.6%
Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 27Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
92.8%
Cooper Wallace run for 5 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
92.7%
Matt Campbell punt for 42 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 9 yds to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2193% → 93%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
93.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+7
92.9%
Jemel Jones run for 7 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+1
93.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
92.5%
Zach Harding punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 42 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.9%
Jaylan Adams run for 2 yds to the Citad 22Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
92.0%
Jaylan Adams run for no gain to the Citad 22Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 8
OPP 0
0
89.8%
Jaylan Adams pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy, PENALTY CIT holding off-setting, PENALTY ARMY pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+22
92.5%
Jaylan Adams run for 22 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
90.4%
Jaylan Adams run for 5 yds to the Citad 49Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-1
90.0%
Jaylan Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 48Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+10
90.6%
Jaylan Adams pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 10 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.8%
Jaylan Adams pass incomplete to Raleigh WebbSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
90.0%
Cooper Wallace run for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+5
90.5%
Jaylan Adams pass complete to Darique Hampton for 5 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+5
90.9%
Jaylan Adams pass complete to Raleigh Webb for 5 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
89.2%
Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
88.9%
Raleigh Webb run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-5
89.8%
Jaylan Adams sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 32Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 10
OPP 32
-6
91.5%
Jaylan Adams sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-13
94.8%
Jemel Jones sacked by Anthony Britton Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the Army 25 ARMY Penalty, intentional grounding (Jemel Jones) to the Army 25Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 23
OWN 25
+3
94.1%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 20
OWN 28
-18
94.1%
Jemel Jones pass intercepted Jay Smith return for 18 yds to the Army 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 20TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:398% → 22%
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
91.7%
Jaylan Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 4Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.1%
Darique Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD Timeout THE CITADEL, clock 03:21 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21END OF GAME
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:0290% → 96%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.0%
Maurice Bellan run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
89.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 13 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
91.0%
Maurice Bellan run for 13 yds to the Citad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
91.4%
Maurice Bellan run for 4 yds to the Citad 35Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
95.3%
Maurice Bellan run for 4 yds to the Citad 31Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-4
95.0%
Maurice Bellan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 35Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+7
95.6%
Maurice Bellan run for 7 yds to the Citad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:21
Darique Hampton run for 4 yds for a TD Timeout THE CITADEL, clock 03:21 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-13.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:21
Matt Campbell kickoff for 42 yds
+6.7
TD · Q3 2:25
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com