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ULM

UL Monroe 7 at Army 37

ARMY
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:03 · Jared Porter punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+34.3Home team on offense+6.9Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:12: Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Davis Hughes KICK) — ULM win probability +4.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:12: Daniel Sparks kickoff for 51 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 8 yds to the Army 22 — ARMY win probability +2.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: Landon Salyers 40 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +1.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:22: Christian Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK) — ARMY win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:25: Jakobi Buchanan run for 25 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers PAT MISSED) — ARMY win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40ARMY 4th & 1 at ULM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:22ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:26ULM 4th & 15 at ARMY 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:03ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:14ARMY 4th & 4 at ULM 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:05ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:37ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:57ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:03ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 35, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:15ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:02ARMY 4th & 2 at ULM 47, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:27ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:47ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:12ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:22ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:25ARMY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:58ARMY Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 8 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-3
94.1%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
94.1%
Colby Suits run for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
94.1%
Jared Porter punt for 17 yds, downed at the Army 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
15 plays · 60 yds · 8:1394% → 93%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
93.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
93.7%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 7 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
93.7%
Cade Barnard run for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+7
93.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 7 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
93.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+1
93.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
93.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-1
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 22 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Christian AndersonSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+14
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 14 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.8%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
92.5%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-2
92.5%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
92.6%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 9
OPP 0
0
92.4%
Porter, Jared punt 54 yards to the ARMY22, downed, PENALTY ARMY roughing the kicker off-setting, PENALTY ULM kick catching interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
92.7%
Jared Porter punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:0193% → 94%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
92.5%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Austin Hawley) to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
92.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 24 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
92.7%
Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
93.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:147% → 7%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
93.3%
Josh Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
93.2%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
93.3%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+54
93.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 54 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
92.7%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 6 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
92.7%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the Army 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-11
92.9%
Colby Suits sacked by Jon Rhattigan for a loss of 11 yards to the Army 19Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+37
93.2%
Davis Hughes 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nolan Cockrill TEAM return for no gain to the Army 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
93.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 16 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
93.7%
ARMY Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Army 33Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+36
93.5%
Cade Barnard run for 36 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
93.9%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
93.9%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the LaMon 30 Christian Anderson fumbled, forced by Keilos Swinney, recovered by LaMon Mason HusmannSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.8%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
92.8%
Jeremy Hunt run for 5 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Jahquan Bloomfield, broken up by Caleb JohnSimilar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
92.9%
Jared Porter punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:4193% → 92%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
93.4%
Christian Anderson run for 20 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 16 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
93.7%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
93.7%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
93.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+1
92.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:568% → 14%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
92.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 11 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
91.9%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
92.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-5
91.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 7
50
+16
92.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 16 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
91.4%
Josh Johnson run for 25 yds to the Army 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
91.3%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Davis Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
88.9%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.8%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+4
88.0%
Zach Harding punt for 54 yds , Perry Carter Jr. returns for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:3912% → 10%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
88.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 1 yd to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-5
89.0%
Colby Suits sacked by Jon Rhattigan and Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
89.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Jared Porter punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:2590% → 92%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
89.6%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 48Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+29
89.0%
Jemel Jones pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 29 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
89.8%
Jemel Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+40
91.9%
Landon Salyers 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
90.6%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 27 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
90.1%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.8%
Zach Harding punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr., broken up by Julian McDuffieSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
90.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+12
90.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 12 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
90.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
90.6%
Jared Porter punt for 26 yds, downed at the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 4:4191% → 96%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.5%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 36Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
90.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 37Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-2
90.3%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 35Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+47
89.6%
Wilson Catoe run for 47 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
91.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+4
91.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
91.4%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.4%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
95.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Malik Jackson for 7 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
Jeremy Hunt run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 2
OWN 26
-5
95.7%
TEAM punt (blocked by Walters, B.), Duran, Ryan rush for loss of 14 yards to the ULM40, PENALTY ULM illegal formation 5 yards to the ULM21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
95.7%
Jared Porter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:3897% → 99%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
96.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
96.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the LaMon 47Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+3
96.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
96.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
96.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
96.5%
Cade Barnard run for 7 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+25
99.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 25 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19FUMBLE
11 plays · 51 yds · 0:161% → 1%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
98.9%
Suits, Colby pass incomplete to Whitfield, Chan, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Cunningham, C.) 12 yards to the ULM36, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.8%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan Hodoh, broken up by Marquel BroughtonSimilar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 1 yd to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+17
98.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 17 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.8%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
98.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 6 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+6
98.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 6 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.7%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Chandler WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.7%
Colby Suits run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+3
98.8%
Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the Army 28 Colby Suits fumbled, forced by Nolan Cockrill, recovered by Army Marquel Broughton , return for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 5:3899% → 100%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.1%
Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
99.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+4
99.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
99.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
99.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.2%
Jemel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 11
50
+10
99.2%
A.J. Howard run for 10 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 40 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
99.9%
Hunt, Jeremy pass incomplete to Carroll, Jordan, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (John, Caleb) 15 yards to the ULM32, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Jevin Frett for 8 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass intercepted Marquel Broughton return for no gain to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 5
50
+3
99.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Maurice Bellan run for no gain to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Ay'Juan Marshall run for 6 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:22
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 2:12
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Davis Hughes KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q3 0:25
Jakobi Buchanan run for 25 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers PAT MISSED)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com