Try the model
UAB

UAB 22 at Marshall 13

MRSH
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 18, 2020 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:41 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior+7.4Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:17: Artie Henry 7 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Shane Ciucci Kick) — MRSH win probability +17.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 14:55: Matt Quinn 42 Yd Field Goal — UAB win probability +9.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:55: Matt Quinn 48 Yd Field Goal — UAB win probability +11.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:38: Xavier Gaines 70 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MRSH win probability +37.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 4:02: Trea Shropshire 71 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Matt Quinn Kick) — UAB win probability +30.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:34MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:41UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:41MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45UAB 4th & 12 at MRSH 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:55MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 25, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:39UAB 4th & 10 at MRSH 42, up 9
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:32MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:11UAB 4th & 8 at MRSH 41, up 9
    Close callPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UAB 4th & 7 at MRSH 41, up 9
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:13MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 5, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55UAB 4th & 12 at MRSH 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−16.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:55MRSH 4th & 5 at UAB 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−12.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:55UAB 4th & 18 at MRSH 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−6.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−4.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:02MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 18, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:01MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 19, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 11:55UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:17MRSH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:38MRSH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.9%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    43.6%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:02UAB Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
58.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
58.2%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+7
58.2%
Grant Wells run for 7 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+3
58.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds , returns for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
58.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
58.1%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
58.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
58.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
58.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+39
58.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
58.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
58.3%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
58.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
58.0%
Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds, downed at the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
58.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Steven GilmoreSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
58.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
58.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
58.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
58.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
58.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
58.0%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
57.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:1042% → 43%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
58.2%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+7
58.2%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
58.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 10 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
57.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
57.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
57.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+38
57.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
57.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Marsh 6Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
55.9%
JOHNSTON III, T pass complete to PRINCE, Gerrit for 6 yards to the MAR0, clock 02:32, PENALTY UAB pass interference (RUDOLPH, S.) 15 yards to the MAR21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+9
56.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
56.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
56.9%
Matt Quinn 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4557% → 57%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
57.0%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+5
57.2%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
57.0%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+9
56.4%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
56.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds, downed at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5444% → 51%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
56.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 16 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nazeeh Johnson) to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
54.8%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+9
54.8%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
54.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
54.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
49.3%
Hayden Pittman 19 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Matt Quinn PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
49.5%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
49.5%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
48.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
48.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 3:4349% → 55%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
50.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
50.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
50.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 15 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
49.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
49.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+13
49.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 13 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
48.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
43.6%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-5
44.2%
JOHNSTON III, T pass complete to PITTMAN, Hayden for 17 yards to the MAR30 (NEAL, Eli;BECKETT, T.), PENALTY UAB ineligible downfield on pass (TELFORT, K.) 5 yards to the UAB48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 20
OWN 48
0
44.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr., broken up by Owen PorterSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+10
45.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
44.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
46.0%
Xavier Gaines run for 4 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
46.1%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+11
46.0%
Xavier Gaines run for 11 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
46.6%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
47.0%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
46.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
45.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
43.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
42.7%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
42.8%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+19
42.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 19 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
41.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
41.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
41.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
42.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:1043% → 41%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
42.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Brontae HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
42.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 6 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+7
40.5%
Xavier Gaines run for 7 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
Xavier Gaines pass intercepted return for no gain to the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
39.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+35
40.1%
Spencer Brown run for 35 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
37.8%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
37.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
38.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-5
39.4%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (Tyler Johnston III) to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
39.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
38.1%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
38.0%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+2
36.8%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
36.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
34.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
34.0%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-5
34.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 49 Tyler Johnston III fumbled, recovered by Marsh Eli NealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:0639% → 59%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
38.8%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
39.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 9 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
39.0%
Willie Johnson run for 16 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
40.6%
Brenden Knox run for 15 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
40.6%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
58.5%
Artie Henry 7 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Shane Ciucci Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 6:2251% → 64%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
48.7%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
48.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 3 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
47.8%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-5
46.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (Kadeem Telfort) to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
48.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+39
47.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 39 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
44.0%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
44.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-7
45.7%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Darius Hodge and Eli Neal for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
35.7%
Matt Quinn 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
41.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 29 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
48.2%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
48.4%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
45.9%
Xavier Gaines run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
43.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 6:4766% → 88%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
33.8%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+2
33.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+17
33.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 17 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
30.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+6
30.3%
Larry Wooden run for 6 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
29.7%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
29.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
30.6%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-12
29.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20 UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 22
OPP 35
0
30.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire, broken up by Steven GilmoreSimilar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 22
OPP 35
+4
22.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 18
OPP 31
+48
11.7%
Matt Quinn 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
49.6%
Xavier Gaines 70 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3659% → 91%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.0%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
40.0%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
9.3%
Trea Shropshire 71 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 4 yds · 2:0112% → 6%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
12.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
12.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Brenden Knox, broken up by Tyler TaylorSimilar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
11.8%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+8
11.0%
Grant Wells run for 8 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
12.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 14 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 25
OWN 25
-12
12.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Ball) to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
12.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Devin Miller for 4 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
6.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+2
6.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 2 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
6.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete, broken up by Alex WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
3.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
3.2%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-2
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:38
Xavier Gaines 70 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+37.9
TD · Q4 4:02
Trea Shropshire 71 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Matt Quinn Kick)
-30.7
TD · Q3 6:17
Artie Henry 7 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Shane Ciucci Kick)
+17.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com