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SFA

Stephen F. Austin 10 at UTSA 24

UTSA
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadSFA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreSFA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:30 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:35: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Campos KICK) — SFA win probability +3.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:06: Chris Campos 32 yd FG GOOD — SFA win probability +3.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:32: Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 18 — UTSA win probability +4.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:08: Frank Harris run for 23 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SFA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:34UTSA 4th & 11 at SFA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34SFA 4th & 7 at SFA 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:25UTSA 4th & 11 at SFA 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:21SFA 4th & 3 at UTSA 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:01SFA 4th & 3 at SFA 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:05SFA 4th & 9 at UTSA 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:05UTSA 4th & 2 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:34SFA 4th & 2 at SFA 20, down 10
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00SFA 4th & 10 at SFA 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:43SFA 4th & 11 at SFA 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:06SFA 4th & 7 at UTSA 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:06UTSA 4th & 5 at SFA 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SFA 4th & 14 at UTSA 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:32UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−3.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:31SFA 4th & 7 at UTSA 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SFA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:01UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:35UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:02SFA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:08UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:2689% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 13 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
89.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-6
89.4%
Frank Harris sacked by Brevin Randle for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+22
89.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 22 yds to the SFAus 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
89.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 35 yds to the SFAus 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
89.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 13Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
89.4%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the SFAus 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
89.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
89.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Willie RobertsSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
88.6%
Hunter Duplessis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the SFAus 26Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
88.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the SFAus 28Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
88.6%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Da'Leon WardSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
88.7%
Max Quick punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
88.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 12 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
88.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
88.4%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the SFAus 49Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
88.4%
Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the SFAus 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-7
88.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 8 yds to the TexSA 38 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+6
88.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the SFAus 47Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
88.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:4113% → 14%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
87.5%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the SFAus 9Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+25
87.5%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 25 yds to the SFAus 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
87.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the SFAus 40Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+4
87.2%
Josh McGowen run for 4 yds to the SFAus 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
87.2%
Josh McGowen run for 1 yd to the SFAus 45Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
87.2%
Josh McGowen run for 6 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
87.1%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson, broken up by Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+24
86.0%
Max Quick punt for 39 yds, downed at the TexSA 10 SFA Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:1086% → 88%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
86.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 8 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Bruce HarmonSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
86.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 7 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
86.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
50
-5
86.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-1
86.4%
Brenden Brady run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+13
86.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 13 yds to the SFAus 43Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+5
86.6%
SFA Penalty, offside defense (Brevin Randle) to the SFAus 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
86.8%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the SFAus 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
85.9%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the SFAus 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
85.6%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the SFAus 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
85.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the SFAus 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
85.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the SFAus 18 Sincere McCormick fumbled, forced by Dyryan Williams, recovered by TexSA Sincere McCormickSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+9
85.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the SFAus 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
85.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 6 yds to the SFAus 3Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.7%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 6MISSED FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 5:5613% → 13%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Trae Self pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.4%
Trae Self pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 10 yds to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
87.1%
Josh McGowen run for 2 yds to the SFAus 37Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
87.0%
Trae Self run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFAus 29 Trae Self fumbled, recovered by SFAus Josh McGowenSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+13
87.7%
Trae Self pass complete to QuenTyvian Borders for 13 yds to the SFAus 42Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+8
87.2%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
50
-3
86.6%
Trae Self sacked by Trevor Harmanson and Tariq Woolen for a loss of 3 yards to the SFAus 47Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+7
87.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 7 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+9
86.7%
Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 9 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
86.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+4
86.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 4 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
86.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 28 Da'Leon Ward fumbled, forced by Christian Clayton, recovered by SFAus Da'Leon WardSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
86.2%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Chad AuneSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+2
86.8%
Trae Self pass complete to Josh McGowen for 2 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
86.7%
Chris Campos 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
86.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-5
86.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+6
86.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+12
86.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
87.4%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-5
87.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds to the UTSA 46 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
86.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+6
86.4%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+5
86.3%
DEAN, Lucas punt 37 yards to the SFA18, downed, PENALTY SFA roughing the kicker 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 2
50
0
86.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2113% → 13%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
86.8%
Trae Self sacked by Jaylon Haynes for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 11Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+10
86.9%
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 10 yds to the SFAus 21Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-1
86.9%
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 20Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
87.4%
Max Quick punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 1:5087% → 94%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
87.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
87.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+9
86.7%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
87.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 27 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
87.9%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the SFAus 18Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
87.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Willie RobertsSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+14
87.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 14 yds to the SFAus 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.2%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the SFAus 4Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 10TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 0:338% → 15%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
91.6%
Trae Self run for 17 yds to the SFAus 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.2%
Trae Self pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+45
91.5%
Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 45 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
84.6%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Campos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
88.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.7%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the SFAus 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
86.5%
Trae Self sacked by Jaylon Haynes for a loss of 3 yards to the SFAus 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons, broken up by Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Max Quick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
88.2%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.2%
Frank Harris pass intercepted Myles Heard return for no gain to the SFAus 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
87.3%
Josh McGowen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 17Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
87.6%
Trae Self pass incomplete to QuenTyvian BordersSimilar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
88.1%
Trae Self pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
88.4%
Max Quick punt for 48 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 51 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+24
88.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 9 yds to the SFAus 47 for a 1ST down SFA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the SFAus 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
88.7%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the SFAus 35Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
88.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 2 yds to the SFAus 33Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+2
88.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 17 yds Leroy Watson fumbled, forced by Myles Heard, recovered by SFAus Brevin Randle , return for 2 yds to the SFAus 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 16FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:5813% → 18%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
87.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the SFAus 22Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+47
87.2%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 47 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
85.3%
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 8 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+5
85.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
85.0%
Josh McGowen run for 2 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
85.0%
Josh McGowen run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-1
85.8%
Trae Self run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
82.0%
Chris Campos 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
85.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+11
85.8%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
86.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Sincere McCormickSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+11
85.8%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
87.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the SFAus 45Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
87.4%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the SFAus 43Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
86.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for no gain to the SFAus 43Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
85.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Larry Jones III at the SFAus 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:5417% → 16%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+17
83.0%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 17 yds to the SFAus 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
82.6%
Trae Self pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 7 yds to the SFAus 29Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
81.7%
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 5 yds to the SFAus 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.0%
Trae Self pass incomplete to QuenTyvian Borders, broken up by Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-13
82.3%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for a loss of 13 yards to the SFAus 21Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 23
OWN 21
+40
83.9%
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 40 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
80.3%
Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
81.6%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons, broken up by SaVion HarrisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 42
-1
82.7%
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
84.2%
Max Quick punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
88.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
88.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Leroy WatsonSimilar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-6
87.4%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the TexSA 27 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal block (Sincere McCormick) to the TexSA 12Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 12
OWN 12
0
87.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 12
0
86.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 53 yds, downed at the SFAus 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.2%
Trae Self run for 5 yds to the SFAus 40Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
82.7%
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 8 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
82.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the SFAus 49Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
82.6%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Chad Aune, broken up by Kevin NelsonSimilar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+2
83.6%
Trae Self pass complete to QuenTyvian Borders for 2 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
84.7%
Max Quick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:3188% → 97%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
88.3%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+37
88.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 37 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
90.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the SFAus 49Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
90.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the SFAus 48Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+30
89.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 30 yds to the SFAus 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
90.5%
Team run for no gain to the SFAus 18 Team fumbled, recovered by TexSA Frank HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
90.5%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 23Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+23
96.6%
Frank Harris run for 23 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson, broken up by Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+22
94.3%
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 22 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
93.7%
Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 12 yds Remi Simmons fumbled, forced by Clarence Hicks, recovered by TexSA Jamal LigonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23END OF GAME
15 plays · 37 yds · 4:4497% → 99%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
96.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+5
97.0%
SFA Penalty, offside defense (Amad Murray) to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
97.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 6
50
+2
97.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the SFAus 48Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
98.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the SFAus 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
98.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the SFAus 37Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
99.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the SFAus 33Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+7
99.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
99.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:08
Frank Harris run for 23 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 0:35
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+5.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:32
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 18
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com