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UNA

North Alabama 13 at Southern Miss 24

USM
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadUNA aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreUNA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:49 · Joe Gurley punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+34.5Home team on offense−1.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:19: Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +2.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:46: Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the SoMis 40 — UNA win probability +9.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UNA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:45: Sam Contorno 22 yd FG GOOD — UNA win probability +12.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UNA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:08: Kevin Perkins run for 11 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +20.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:33: Kevin Perkins run for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +19.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:33UNA 4th & 14 at UNA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48USM 4th & 13 at USM 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:49UNA 4th & 2 at UNA 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:43USM 4th & 4 at USM 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:25UNA 4th & 2 at USM 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40UNA 4th & 2 at USM 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:40USM 4th & 2 at UNA 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:19UNA 4th & 17 at UNA 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50USM 4th & 10 at UNA 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNA 4th & 20 at UNA 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:45UNA 4th & 5 at USM 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−13.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00USM 4th & 4 at UNA 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−1.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−15.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:08UNA 4th & 9 at UNA 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−3.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:33USM 4th & 5 at UNA 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:48UNA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:19USM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:08USM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:33USM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNADrive 2TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:1213% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
87.0%
Blake Dever deep pass incomplete to Corson Swan, PENALTY USM roughing passer (HARRELL, Camron) 11 yards to the USM12, 1ST DOWN UNA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
86.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Andre Little for 12 yds for a TD (Grayson Easterling KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
86.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
86.9%
Trey Lowe pass intercepted Kyree Fields return for no gain to the NorAl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3013% → 14%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
86.6%
Blake Dever sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NorAl 15Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+3
86.6%
Blake Dever pass complete to Andre Little for 3 yds to the NorAl 18Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+1
86.0%
Blake Dever run for 1 yd to the NorAl 19Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
86.0%
Joe Gurley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
85.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 36Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
85.6%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 3 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-7
85.5%
Trey Lowe sacked by Mike Boykin for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 32Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
85.4%
Griffin Fleming punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
84.5%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 13 yds to the NorAl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
84.3%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for a loss of 3 yards to the NorAl 37Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+6
84.5%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 6 yds to the NorAl 43Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+5
84.4%
Blake Dever run for 5 yds to the NorAl 48Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
84.5%
Joe Gurley punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
82.7%
Dee Baker run for 1 yd to the SoMis 8Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-1
82.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 7Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+6
82.6%
Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the SoMis 13Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
82.5%
Griffin Fleming punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1419% → 21%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
80.9%
Ron Thompson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
80.8%
Ron Thompson run for 3 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+1
80.9%
Parker Driggers run for 1 yd to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
79.3%
Joe Gurley punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:0080% → 82%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
80.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 45 yds to the NorAl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
81.4%
Darius Maberry run for 17 yds to the NorAl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
81.5%
Trey Lowe run for a loss of 5 yards to the NorAl 23 Trey Lowe fumbled, recovered by NorAl Will EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 10FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3521% → 25%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
78.9%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 23Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+34
78.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 34 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
77.8%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 5 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+18
76.8%
Blake Dever pass complete to - Pat.Mckaufman for 18 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
76.8%
Blake Dever run for 1 yd to the SoMis 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-1
76.8%
Parker Driggers pass complete to Andre Little for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+8
77.0%
Blake Dever pass complete to Parker Driggers for 8 yds to the SoMis 12Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
75.1%
Sam Contorno 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:2175% → 79%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
75.1%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 12 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
75.5%
Trey Lowe run for 12 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
76.0%
Trey Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 47Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-5
75.8%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 48Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+16
75.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 16 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
76.0%
Darius Maberry run for 24 yds to the NorAl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
76.8%
Darius Maberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 13Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
76.8%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+9
76.0%
Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the NorAl 4Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+2
75.5%
Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the NorAl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.9%
Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the NorAl 1Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.3%
Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
75.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Andre Little for a loss of 2 yards to the NorAl 23Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
76.3%
Blake Dever pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 22Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
76.8%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NorAl 17Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+1
76.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 1 yd to the NorAl 18Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+19
77.3%
Joe Gurley punt for 49 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 19 yds to the NorAl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:4577% → 73%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
77.1%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 16 yds to the NorAl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the NorAl 32Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+21
78.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 21 yds to the NorAl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
78.2%
LOWE, Trey rush up middle for loss of 2 yards to the UNA13 (Will Evans;Ryan Taylor), PENALTY UNA offside (Dakari Bickham) 5 yards to the UNA6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+4
78.2%
Darius Maberry run for 4 yds to the NorAl 2Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-5
78.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NorAl 7Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
78.2%
Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the NorAl 6Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-5
77.1%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Khalique Washington) to the NorAl 11Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
77.0%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
72.8%
Briggs Bourgeois 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mike Boykin Mike Boykin return for a loss of 2 yards to the NorAl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0829% → 32%
Q2 0:41
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+4
71.2%
Ron Thompson run for 4 yds to the NorAl 22Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+1
71.4%
Ron Thompson run for 1 yd to the NorAl 23Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+15
71.4%
Joe Gurley punt 38 yards to the USM39, fair catch by BROOKS, Natrone, PENALTY USM roughing the kicker (RUTHERFORD, JD) 15 yards to the UNA38, 1ST DOWN UNA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.0%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Andre LittleSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
68.2%
Ron Thompson run for 6 yds to the NorAl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.8%
Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the NorAl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
68.1%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 9 yds to the NorAl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
67.2%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 4 yds to the NorAl 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
67.0%
Blake Dever run for 5 yds to the NorAl 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
67.3%
Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-4
66.5%
Blake Dever run for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
-8
68.3%
Blake Dever sacked by Dominic Quewon for a loss of 8 yards to the NorAl 34 Blake Dever fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 34
+6
70.1%
Ron Thompson run for 6 yds to the NorAl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
70.4%
Joe Gurley punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0066% → 69%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.5%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Demarcus Jones, broken up by Gerrell GreenSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+12
63.9%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 12 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
66.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 10 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
68.5%
Trey Lowe pass intercepted Gerrell Green return for 9 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 17FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 5:0141% → 54%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
58.9%
Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+12
59.0%
Blake Dever pass complete to Corson Swan for 12 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
57.4%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the SoMis 32 Ja'Won Howell fumbled, forced by Tyler Barnes, recovered by NorAl Ja'Won HowellSimilar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+3
59.0%
Blake Dever pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 3 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+19
59.7%
Blake Dever pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 19 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
57.4%
Parker Driggers run for 5 yds to the SoMis 5Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.4%
Ron Thompson run for no gain to the SoMis 5Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
58.9%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Ron ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
46.0%
Sam Contorno 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:3752% → 74%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
52.1%
Dee Baker run for 11 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
54.9%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 14 yds to the NorAl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
56.5%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
56.3%
Dee Baker run for 9 yds to the NorAl 32Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
56.1%
Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the NorAl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
58.3%
Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the NorAl 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
55.7%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Brandon HayesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+6
52.7%
Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the NorAl 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+6
50.5%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 6 yds to the NorAl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
55.8%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 4 yds to the NorAl 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-1
55.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+5
53.5%
LOWE, Trey RO pass incomplete to BROWNLEE, Jason, PENALTY UNA offside 5 yards to the UNA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
73.9%
Kevin Perkins run for 11 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.1%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Andre Little, broken up by Malik ShortsSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.7%
Blake Dever run for 1 yd to the NorAl 31Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
70.2%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Dexter BoykinSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+5
71.4%
Joe Gurley punt for 47 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 5 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:2470% → 94%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
69.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
69.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
71.3%
Darius Maberry run for 2 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
71.9%
Darius Maberry run for 5 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+9
71.8%
Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
74.0%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 12 yds to the NorAl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
75.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the NorAl 32Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+15
75.0%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 15 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
75.0%
Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
94.0%
Kevin Perkins run for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 21INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
89.8%
Blake Dever pass complete to Ron Thompson for 1 yd to the NorAl 27Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
90.1%
Blake Dever pass intercepted Natrone Brooks return for no gain to the NorAl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:1394% → 97%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
94.4%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 12 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
94.4%
Darius Maberry run for 2 yds to the NorAl 34Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
94.5%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 2 yds to the NorAl 32Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
96.0%
Trey Lowe pass complete to Brandon Hayes for a loss of 8 yards to the NorAl 40 for a 1ST down NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Gerrell Green) to the NorAl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
96.2%
Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 26Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
96.1%
Kevin Perkins run for 5 yds to the NorAl 21Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+1
96.9%
Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the NorAl 20Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
97.0%
Briggs Bourgeois 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
97.3%
Blake Dever pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 8 yds to the NorAl 40Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Cameron TurnerSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
97.4%
Blake Dever pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 2 yds to the NorAl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.3%
Blake Dever pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 1 yd to the NorAl 43Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
97.3%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Dexter BoykinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:08
Kevin Perkins run for 11 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)
+20.4
TD · Q4 5:33
Kevin Perkins run for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)
+19
FG · Q3 2:45
Sam Contorno 22 yd FG GOOD
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com