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TULN

Tulane 27 at South Alabama 24

USA
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-22.3USA 51.0%Keon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed)AWAY 19 - HOME 24 · Q4 14:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:42 · Keon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior−7.0Home team on offense+1.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:46: Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 13 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +7.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:15: Carlos Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +10.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:07: Cameron Carroll run for 12 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +16.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:42: Keon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TULN win probability +22.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:18: Amare Jones run for 16 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the SAlab 1 (Keon Howard pass to Tyrick James for Two-Point Conversion) — TULN win probability +46.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:00TULN 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:11TULN 4th & 7 at USA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25USA 4th & 6 at TULN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:39USA 4th & 9 at TULN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37TULN 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:55TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00USA 4th & 25 at USA 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−5.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:32TULN 4th & 2 at USA 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−3.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:38USA 4th & 19 at TULN 31, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−3.5
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:34USA 4th & 4 at USA 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:50TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:30USA 4th & 17 at USA 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:40USA 4th & 10 at USA 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−5.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:48TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:06USA 4th & 17 at USA 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−4.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:33USA 4th & 21 at USA 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−3.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 10:51USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:27TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:46USA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:15USA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:07TULN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:42TULN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:18TULN Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    59.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:1776% → 75%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
24.0%
Keon Howard pass complete to Amare Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
24.5%
Keon Howard pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 14 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
24.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
24.7%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 3 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
24.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 1
50
+1
25.2%
Keon Howard run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
25.3%
Keon Howard sacked by Charles Coleman III for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulan 40 Keon Howard fumbled, recovered by SAlab Maurice Strong Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:0626% → 26%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+34
26.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 34 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
26.3%
Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds to the Tulan 1 Desmond Trotter fumbled, forced by Cameron Sample, recovered by TulanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:4774% → 73%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
25.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+12
26.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 12 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
26.5%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 12 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
26.6%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+33
26.9%
Keon Howard pass complete to Christian Daniels for 33 yds Christian Daniels fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
26.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
26.7%
Keon Howard run for no gain to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
27.0%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
27.4%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Sorrell BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2528% → 29%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
28.1%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
28.6%
Caullin Lacy run for 14 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
29.2%
Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
29.5%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-2
29.8%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
29.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1772% → 71%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
28.3%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
28.5%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
28.9%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Sorrell BrownSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+50
29.5%
Casey Glover punt for 50 yds , Jalen Wayne returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:1129% → 31%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
29.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 9 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+8
29.6%
Caullin Lacy run for 8 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
29.8%
Desmond Trotter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
30.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Terrion Avery for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+32
30.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Carlos Davis for 32 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
32.5%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
32.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jamel ThomasSimilar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
32.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
31.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:5669% → 69%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
30.7%
Amare Jones run for 8 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 20
-10
30.4%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joey Claybrook) to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+14
30.8%
Keon Howard pass complete to Sorrell Brown for 14 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
30.8%
Keon Howard pass complete to Tyrick James for 23 yds Tyrick James fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
29.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 7
50
0
29.6%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 7
50
0
30.1%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 7
50
0
31.5%
Casey Glover punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:3933% → 42%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.5%
Chance Lovertich pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.7%
Caullin Lacy run for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-5
32.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+23
32.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 23 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
33.8%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds Jalen Wayne fumbled, recovered by SAlabSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
34.9%
Jared Wilson run for no gain to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+18
34.9%
Carlos Davis run for 18 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
36.3%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
36.3%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
41.7%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 34 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5360% → 67%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
40.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 41 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
37.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+24
38.2%
Keon Howard run for 24 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
32.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds for a TD (Merek Glover PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2937% → 49%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.5%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
36.8%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 16 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
38.6%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
40.1%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kevin Henry) to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
40.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 26 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
48.8%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 13 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:3552% → 48%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.7%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
47.4%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
48.4%
Keon Howard run for 7 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
48.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
48.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
50.2%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
51.9%
Casey Glover punt for 35 yds, downed at the SAlab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 3:4252% → 54%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.5%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
52.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Ankerson) to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
51.5%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 9 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+27
53.5%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 27 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
57.1%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Ankerson) to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 20
OWN 47
-8
56.9%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Nick Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 28
OWN 39
+3
56.8%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Carlos Davis for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 25
OWN 42
0
56.2%
Chance Lovertich pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 25
OWN 42
0
54.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 57 yds, downed at the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3557% → 73%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
57.4%
Carlos Davis run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
50
0
60.1%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
50
+15
60.2%
TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kevin Henry) to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
62.4%
AJ Phillips run for 11 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
62.5%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+22
62.8%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 22 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.3%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:2730% → 29%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
70.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 22 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
68.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
68.0%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Cameron CarrollSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
68.7%
Keon Howard pass complete to Phat Watts for 4 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
70.6%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the SAlab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:4376% → 86%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
76.0%
Caullin Lacy run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+11
75.6%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+27
75.7%
Carlos Davis run for 27 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
76.8%
Chance Lovertich run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
77.2%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 13
OPP 25
-6
78.8%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Cameron Sample for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 19
OPP 31
+49
85.7%
Diego Guajardo 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:5516% → 34%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
83.7%
Keon Howard pass complete to Mykel Jones for 21 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
83.5%
Keon Howard pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 16 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.3%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
83.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 14 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
83.3%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 12Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
66.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 12 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2474% → 74%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.2%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
74.8%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
74.4%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
74.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3526% → 22%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
74.5%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
75.0%
Keon Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
77.1%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
77.9%
Casey Glover punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:0677% → 76%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
77.4%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
77.8%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-11
77.0%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
76.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:3526% → 49%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
73.7%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
73.8%
Keon Howard pass complete to Amare Jones for 8 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
73.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Darrell Luter Jr) to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
73.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
73.2%
Keon Howard run for 8 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.0%
Keon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5062% → 60%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.2%
Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.3%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
61.5%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
60.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 33 yds, downed at the Tulan 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4944% → 40%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
56.5%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
57.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
57.5%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+52
60.5%
Casey Glover punt for 49 yds, downed at the SOUTHALA 6 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (3 Yards) to the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
15 plays · 44 yds · 7:1266% → 82%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
66.4%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Carlos Davis for 2 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
66.2%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+12
64.6%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 12 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
70.2%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 10Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+7
70.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 7 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+5
69.0%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+10
69.7%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Carlos Davis for 10 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
72.5%
Carlos Davis run for 7 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
79.8%
John Tank Miller run for no gain to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+15
80.1%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Brandon Crum for 15 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
83.4%
Chance Lovertich run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
84.2%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-10
83.7%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 17
OWN 47
+19
81.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 39 yds , Amare Jones returns for 19 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:4032% → 84%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+11
67.6%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 11 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
65.7%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 21 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
62.9%
Keon Howard pass complete to Phat Watts for 11 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
62.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Christian Bell) to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 5
OPP 16
0
61.8%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Christian DanielsSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
15.8%
Amare Jones run for 16 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the SAlab 1 (Keon Howard pass to Tyrick James for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:4132% → 25%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.1%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
28.5%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Cameron Sample for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
26.8%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Carlos DavisSimilar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+4
25.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds , Amare Jones returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26Uncategorized
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:4384% → 94%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
16.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
50
-4
14.4%
Keon Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-3
11.4%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+15
13.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
7.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-1
5.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:18
Amare Jones run for 16 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the SAlab 1 (Keon Howard pass to Tyrick James for Two-Point Conversion)
-46.1
TD · Q4 14:42
Keon Howard run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-22.3
TD · Q3 5:07
Cameron Carroll run for 12 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com