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WKU

Western Kentucky 10 at BYU 41

BYU
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG—BYU 100.0%Jake Oldroyd 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 41 · Q4 0:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:58 · Jake Oldroyd 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+1.4Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+29.9Blowout margin+13.1Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:22: Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 23 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:45: Zach Wilson run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:44: Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 42 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:16: Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:09: Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 3 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:47BYU 4th & 1 at WKU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:24WKU 4th & 10 at BYU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:27BYU 4th & 1 at WKU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:55WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:36WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 45, down 25
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:26WKU 4th & 6 at BYU 24, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:54WKU 4th & 1 at BYU 1, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:00BYU 4th & 6 at WKU 32, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:27WKU 4th & 5 at BYU 31, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:44BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:59WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:58BYU 4th & 15 at WKU 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    100.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:38BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:22BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:45BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:44BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:16BYU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:09WKU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2197% → 97%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
97.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 19 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
97.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
97.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 6 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
97.2%
Masen Wake run for no gain to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
97.1%
Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
97.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+38
97.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 38 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the WKent 2Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2FG
19 plays · 49 yds · 8:133% → 4%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.0%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
96.9%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
96.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Mason Brooks) to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-2
96.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+6
96.7%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+14
96.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
96.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Seth Joest) to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+5
96.5%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
96.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
96.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 7 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
96.4%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+13
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 13 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
96.1%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
96.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-4
96.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Bracken El-Bakri for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
95.7%
Brayden Narveson 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0196% → 96%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 9 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
95.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+32
95.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 32 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
96.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 23 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.2%
Gaej Walker run for 14 yds to the WKent 39 Gaej Walker fumbled, forced by Isaiah Kaufusi, recovered by BYU Isaiah KaufusiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:2696% → 97%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
96.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
96.1%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 14:27
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+7
96.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 7 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.1%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
96.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 15 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.3%
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:493% → 3%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
96.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
97.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
97.0%
John Haggerty punt for 50 yds, downed at the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:1097% → 98%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+12
97.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 12 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+15
97.0%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Milne, Dax, PENALTY WESTERNKY unnecessary roughness (Key, Devon) 15 yards to the BYU43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
97.1%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Milne, Dax, PENALTY WESTERNKY pass interference (Bishop, Beanie) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
98.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 42 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:074% → 4%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.1%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
96.0%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
96.3%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Terez Traynor for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
95.7%
John Haggerty punt for 43 yds, downed at the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9TD
18 plays · 88 yds · 4:1999% → 100%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Tyler AllgeierSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+10
98.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+15
98.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Dominique Bradshaw) to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
98.7%
Zach Wilson run for 25 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
98.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 10 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
98.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 7 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
98.4%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+8
98.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 8 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
98.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the WKent 8 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Ricky Barber) to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11DOWNS
22 plays · 74 yds · 10:061% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaques Evans) to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.4%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+1
99.4%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 8 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+5
99.4%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
99.4%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+8
99.5%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
99.5%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+9
99.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 9 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 4 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
99.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeremiah FailsSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+23
99.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 23 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the BYU 1Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the BYU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+4
99.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+3
99.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-28
99.8%
Zach Wilson pass intercepted Diont Ruffin return for 28 yds to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 3 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+25
99.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kendrick Simpkins) to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-8
99.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the WKent 27 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tristen Hoge) to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+5
99.6%
Oldroyd, Jake field goal attempt from 54 MISSED - wide left, spot at WESTERNKY37, clock 00:11, PENALTY WESTERNKY running into kicker (Meadows, Trae) 5 yards to the WESTERNKY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
99.9%
Jake Oldroyd 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15DOWNS
16 plays · 57 yds · 5:270% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+11
99.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 11 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 10 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.9%
Pigrome, Tyrrell pass incomplete to Tinsley, Mitchell, PENALTY BYU pass interference (Christensen, Caleb) 15 yards to the BYU48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Cole Spencer) to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 7 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 5
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeremiah FailsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Sione Finau run for 8 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-6
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds , Mitchell Tinsley returns for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Darius Ocean pass incomplete to Terez TraynorSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-1
100.0%
Darius Ocean sacked by Drew Jensen for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
John Haggerty punt for 43 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 4 yds to the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Chris Jackson run for 8 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Baylor Romney run for 4 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Kody Epps for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+14
100.0%
Sione Finau run for 14 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Chris Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-10
100.0%
Katoa, Lopini rush for 5 yards to the WESTERNKY26, PENALTY BYU holding (Hoge, Tristen) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+11
100.0%
Chris Jackson run for 11 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+7
100.0%
Sione Finau run for 7 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
100.0%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Sione Finau for 7 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-12
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
100.0%
Jake Oldroyd 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
C.J. Jones run for 14 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:45
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 7:44
Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 42 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 0:22
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 23 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com