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ACU

Abilene Christian 13 at UTEP 17

UTEP
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadACU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreACU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:55 · Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brooks-Wess at the AblCh 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+20.0Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential−0.3Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:18: Josh Fields run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:58: Blair Zepeda 29 yd FG GOOD — ACU win probability +6.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: ACU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:12: Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +18.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:19: Josh Fields run for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST down — UTEP win probability +9.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:47: Timeout ABIL CHRISTIAN, clock 01:47 — UTEP win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ACU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:25UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:57ACU 4th & 13 at ACU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:53UTEP 4th & 6 at ACU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:19ACU 4th & 1 at UTEP 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ACU 4th & 9 at UTEP 33, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:31UTEP 4th & 10 at ACU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:11ACU 4th & 1 at ACU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.3%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:15ACU 4th & 5 at ACU 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:34UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:22ACU 4th & 8 at UTEP 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:58ACU 4th & 3 at UTEP 12, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−10.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:58UTEP 4th & 1 at ACU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−3.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:12ACU 4th & 7 at ACU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:57UTEP 4th & 1 at ACU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−4.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−5.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:19ACU 4th & 15 at UTEP 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−7.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ACU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:03ACU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:18UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:12UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ACUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
72.2%
Tyrese White run for 10 yds to the AblCh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
72.2%
T. Williams rush for 6 yards to the ACU41, PENALTY UTEP personal foul 21 yards to the UTEP44, 1ST DOWN ACU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
72.2%
Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
72.2%
Tyrese White run for 10 yds to the UTEP 35 Tyrese White fumbled, forced by Dy'Vonne Inyang, recovered by UTEP Duron LoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.0%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
72.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to James TupouSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
71.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+27
71.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds , Jordan Brooks-Wess returns for 27 yds to the AblCh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 3:0629% → 31%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
71.5%
Tyrese White run for 10 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
71.4%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 28 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
71.3%
Tyrese White run for no gain to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
71.4%
Peyton Mansell run for 5 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+11
71.4%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 11 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.6%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 2 yds for a TD (Blair Zepeda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
69.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Trent ThompsonSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
69.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Devaughn Cooper, broken up by Koy RichardsonSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-7
68.8%
Gavin Hardison sacked by William Morgan and Jordan Paup for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
68.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brooks-Wess at the AblCh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
68.2%
Peyton Mansell run for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 32Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
68.5%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete, broken up by Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
68.6%
Peyton Mansell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
68.8%
Logan Burke punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
68.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 15 yds to the AblCh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
68.8%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the AblCh 41Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
68.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin Garrett, broken up by Triston AndersonSimilar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
68.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by Koy RichardsonSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
68.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 22 yds, downed at the AblCh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 7DOWNS
18 plays · 49 yds · 5:1933% → 37%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
66.9%
Tyrese White run for 2 yds to the AblCh 21Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
66.9%
Sema'J Davis pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 7 yds to the AblCh 28Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
66.7%
Tavian Tumbleson run for 2 yds to the AblCh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
66.6%
ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 25Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-1
66.9%
Sema'J Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 24Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 16
OWN 24
0
67.0%
Tyrese White run for no gain to the AblCh 24Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
67.2%
Sema'J Davis pass incomplete to Tyrese WhiteSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+17
67.4%
L. Burke punt 29 yards to the UTEP47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UTEP personal foul (RUIZ, Elijah) 17 yards to the ACU41, 1ST DOWN ACU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
66.2%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 1
50
+5
66.0%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
66.0%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Brendan Harmon, broken up by Broderick HarrellSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
66.0%
Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+12
66.6%
Peyton Mansell run for 12 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
66.5%
Tavian Tumbleson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
61.8%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+3
62.3%
Peyton Mansell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+4
62.6%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 4 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+1
62.9%
Blair Zepeda run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:2163% → 65%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.5%
Josh Fields run for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+20
62.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 20 yds to the AblCh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
64.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 14 yds to the AblCh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
64.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 14 yds to the AblCh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
64.8%
Josh Fields run for 6 yds to the AblCh 14Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
64.8%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds to the AblCh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
64.8%
Josh Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 10Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Josh FieldsSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
64.5%
Gavin Baechle 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:0037% → 39%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+49
63.3%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 49 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
61.0%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+17
60.8%
Peyton Mansell run for no gain to the UTEP 44 Peyton Mansell fumbled, recovered by UTEP Dennis Barnes for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (17 Yards) to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:4864% → 73%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+51
64.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 51 yds to the AblCh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.5%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:5631% → 30%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
69.3%
Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 28Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+3
69.7%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Tyrese White for 3 yds to the AblCh 31Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+8
70.3%
Peyton Mansell run for 8 yds to the AblCh 39Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
69.3%
Peyton Mansell run for 2 yds to the AblCh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
68.0%
Peyton Mansell run for 2 yds to the AblCh 43Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+3
68.2%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Tyrese White for 3 yds to the AblCh 46Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
68.1%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Taelyn Williams, broken up by Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
70.1%
Logan Burke punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Justin Garrett at the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:4770% → 68%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
70.1%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-6
70.0%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Triston Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 10 Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Gavin Hardison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 12
OWN 10
-5
69.1%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Trent Thompson) to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 17
OWN 5
+5
68.9%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
68.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
69.3%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 7 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-5
67.9%
Peyton Mansell run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
69.6%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Taelyn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
71.3%
Logan Burke punt for 30 yds, downed at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
68.8%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
70.4%
Josh Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
68.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Josh Fields for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
67.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brooks-Wess at the AblCh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:4532% → 42%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
68.5%
Tyrese White run for 2 yds to the AblCh 24Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+11
68.5%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Jordan Brooks-Wess for 11 yds to the AblCh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
67.8%
Darius Lewis run for 5 yds to the AblCh 40Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
66.1%
ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (Darius Lewis) to the AblCh 35Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+35
68.2%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Remington Lutz for 35 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
64.3%
Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
64.4%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Jermiah Dobbins for 10 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
64.0%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
64.0%
Jermiah Dobbins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+1
65.2%
Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
58.5%
Blair Zepeda 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:4664% → 86%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
63.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 36 yds to the AblCh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
67.6%
Josh Fields run for 1 yd to the AblCh 38Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-15
67.6%
HARDISON, Gavin rush for 2 yards to the ACU36, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UTEP personal foul (HENRY, Zuri) 15 yards to the UTEP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 24
OWN 47
+19
64.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 19 yds to the AblCh 34Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
67.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds to the AblCh 30Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
65.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the AblCh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
68.6%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the AblCh 25Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+4
68.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the AblCh 21Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
67.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the AblCh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
68.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the AblCh 18Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
68.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+9
67.2%
HARDISON, Gavin pass incomplete to GARRETT, Justin, PENALTY ACU holding (B. Robinson) 9 yards to the ACU9, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
68.6%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the AblCh 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
67.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the AblCh 4Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.4%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Jordan Brooks-Wess for 3 yds to the AblCh 28Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
77.8%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Taelyn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
79.4%
Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Taelyn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+43
80.3%
Logan Burke punt for 43 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:2685% → 88%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
84.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
84.3%
HARDISON, Gavin pass incomplete to COWING, Jacob (R. Stapp), PENALTY ACU pass interference (R. Stapp) 15 yards to the UTEP45, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
86.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
86.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the AblCh 46Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
85.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the AblCh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
86.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 6 yds to the AblCh 36Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
86.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
85.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 3 yds to the AblCh 33Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
87.5%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the AblCh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:3318% → 24%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
82.3%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Darius Lewis for 7 yds to the AblCh 40Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+43
80.6%
Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 43 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
77.0%
Peyton Mansell run for 1 yd to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-7
77.0%
Peyton Mansell sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 16
OPP 23
-5
81.7%
ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 21
OPP 28
+6
81.8%
Tyrese White run for 6 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
76.4%
Blair Zepeda 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21END OF GAME
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:3584% → 94%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
83.7%
Josh Fields run for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
85.4%
Josh Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
85.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
86.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the AblCh 49Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+9
86.1%
Josh Fields run for 9 yds to the AblCh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
86.6%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the AblCh 38Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
92.9%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the AblCh 34Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+15
92.7%
Josh Fields run for 15 yds to the AblCh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
93.6%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 20Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-1
93.5%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:12
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+18.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:19
Josh Fields run for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST down
+9.2
TD · Q2 6:18
Josh Fields run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com