Try the model
SFA

Stephen F. Austin 14 at UTEP 24

UTEP
2020 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2020 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadSFA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreSFA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:50 · SFA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the SFAus 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:03: Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK) — SFA win probability +9.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:08: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +11.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Deion Hankins run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +11.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:09: Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18 — UTEP win probability +12.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:51: Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +15.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SFA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:55UTEP 4th & 7 at SFA 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21SFA 4th & 7 at SFA 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25UTEP 4th & 4 at SFA 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:32UTEP 4th & 3 at SFA 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at SFA 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−2.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−8.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:58SFA 4th & 12 at SFA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:22SFA 4th & 1 at SFA 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.3%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:46SFA 4th & 17 at SFA 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SFA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:01SFA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:03SFA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:08UTEP Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:51UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SFADrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5939% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.5%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the SFAus 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+25
61.5%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gibson for 25 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
61.5%
Da'Leon Ward run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+33
61.5%
Trae Self pass complete to QuenTyvian Borders for 33 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
61.5%
SFA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+4
61.5%
Da'Leon Ward run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
60.1%
Trae Self pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 17 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
60.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
60.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+25
60.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 25 yds to the SFAus 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
60.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the SFAus 41Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
60.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete, broken up by Dennis OsagiedeSimilar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
60.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Quardraiz WadleySimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
60.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 39 yds, downed at the SFAus 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
59.4%
Josh McGowen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 1Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+4
59.5%
Josh McGowen run for 4 yds to the SFAus 5Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
59.6%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier GibsonSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
59.8%
Max Quick punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:2259% → 60%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
59.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 10 yds to the SFAus 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
59.4%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the SFAus 40Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
59.4%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the SFAus 39Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+15
59.3%
HARDISON, Gavin pass incomplete to GARRETT, Justin, PENALTY SFAFB pass interference (Brooks, Myles) 15 yards to the SFAFB24, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
59.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 18 yds to the SFAus 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
59.7%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the SFAus 6Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
59.7%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the SFAus 4Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
59.6%
Gavin Baechle 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 5TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 6:1741% → 52%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
59.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the SFAus 21Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+6
59.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the SFAus 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
58.9%
Self, Trae pass incomplete to Gibson, Xavier, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (INYANG, D.) 15 yards to the SFAFB42, 1ST DOWN SFAFB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
58.3%
Trae Self run for 13 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
58.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+16
58.2%
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 16 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
56.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
56.3%
Josh McGowen run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
56.9%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gibson for 5 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+11
57.6%
UTEP Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
56.3%
Trae Self pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
56.3%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Larry Jones IIISimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+10
57.1%
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 10 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.7%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
19 plays · 83 yds · 9:5150% → 54%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
49.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+30
49.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 30 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
51.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Josh Fields for 11 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
51.4%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the SFAus 39Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
51.4%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the SFAus 36Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+1
51.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the SFAus 35Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+5
47.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the SFAus 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
49.5%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the SFAus 26Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
49.5%
Josh Fields run for no gain to the SFAus 26Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+9
48.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 9 yds to the SFAus 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
49.5%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the SFAus 14Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
49.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the SFAus 9Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+2
48.6%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the SFAus 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
49.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the SFAus 6Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
49.5%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the SFAus 4Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
50.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 7 yds to the SFAus 24Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+16
49.5%
Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for no gain Jeremiah Miller fumbled, forced by Dy'Vonne Inyang, recovered by UTEP Justin Prince , return for 16 yds to the SFAus 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:5256% → 67%
Q2 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
55.8%
Justin Prince run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 10Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
67.3%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
62.4%
Trae Self run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FUMBLE
12 plays · 46 yds · 0:0064% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.8%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
63.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
66.1%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-8
64.7%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Jermaine Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+21
62.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 21 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
66.6%
Deion Hankins run for 16 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
67.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
67.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
65.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the SFAus 17Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-1
64.8%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 19 Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by SFAus Brevin RandleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
63.7%
Trae Self pass complete to QuenTyvian Borders for 8 yds to the SFAus 27Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+5
62.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the SFAus 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.9%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier GibsonSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
63.5%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the SFAus 37Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+14
63.0%
Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 14 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
60.1%
Josh McGowen run for 3 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
60.1%
Trae Self pass complete to Lawton Rikel for 1 yd to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-6
60.6%
Trae Self pass complete to Josh McGowen for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 49Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
64.7%
Max Quick punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:0566% → 70%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
65.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-1
66.0%
Josh Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+8
64.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
66.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 9 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+9
68.2%
Josh Fields run for 9 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
68.8%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
68.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the SFAus 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+15
69.2%
HARDISON, Gavin pass incomplete to COWING, Jacob, PENALTY SFAFB pass interference (Brown, Jermaine) 15 yards to the SFAFB32, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
71.2%
Josh Fields run for no gain to the SFAus 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
71.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 5 yds to the SFAus 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
69.7%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted Tabow Hendrix return for no gain to the SFAus 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 13INT
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:4133% → 39%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
67.2%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the SFAus 24Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
66.2%
Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gibson for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 23Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+4
68.5%
Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 4 yds to the SFAus 27Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+3
69.0%
Trae Self run for 3 yds to the SFAus 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
66.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the SFAus 33Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
66.0%
Trae Self pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 6 yds to the SFAus 39Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+31
65.0%
Josh McGowen run for 31 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
61.7%
Da'Leon Ward run for 8 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+9
61.5%
Self, Trae pass incomplete to Miller, Jeremia, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BARNES, Dennis) 9 yards to the UTEP13, 1ST DOWN SFAFB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
61.5%
Trae Self pass intercepted, touchback. Duron Lowe return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:1874% → 94%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
73.7%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
73.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Devaughn Cooper, broken up by Tkai LloydSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+29
71.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 29 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
76.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the SFAus 44Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
77.0%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
77.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by Eman GarrisonSimilar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
76.8%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 47Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+41
74.9%
Deion Hankins run for 41 yds to the SFAus 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
78.2%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the SFAus 4Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.9%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
93.5%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Josh McGowenSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-7
93.5%
Trae Self sacked by Tyrice Knight for a loss of 7 yards to the SFAus 1Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 17
OWN 1
0
93.9%
Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi SimmonsSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 17
OWN 1
0
94.1%
Max Quick punt for 33 yds, downed at the SFAus 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16END OF GAME
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0595% → 96%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.0%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the SFAus 31Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+24
96.0%
Deion Hankins run for 24 yds to the SFAus 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.0%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the SFAus 7Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.0%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the SFAus 1Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.9%
SFA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the SFAus 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:51
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+15.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:09
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18
+12.2
TD · Q2 2:08
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com