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UL

Louisiana 24 at UAB 20

UAB
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2020 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+17.7UAB 78.1%Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD(Matt Quinn KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 20 · Q3 3:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:40 · Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+14.1Pregame prior−1.7Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Score differential+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:34: Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +12.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Coby Neenan kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Smith return for 100 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +14.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:40: Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +17.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:20: Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 23 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +22.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:35: Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +32.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:08UL 4th & 2 at UL 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:47UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:40UL 4th & 3 at UAB 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:54UAB 4th & 7 at UL 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:27UL 4th & 4 at UAB 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:36UAB 4th & 4 at UL 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:05UL 4th & 1 at UL 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.2%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 4 at UAB 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−2.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:40UAB 4th & 1 at UL 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−4.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−15.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:32UL 4th & 1 at UL 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:30UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−3.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:28UL 4th & 8 at UL 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−2.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 0:34UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:40UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:20UL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:35UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.6%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
44.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
44.6%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
44.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
44.8%
Levi Lewis sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+2
44.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+5
44.9%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+8
44.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+7
44.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
45.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
45.5%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
45.5%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-5
45.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+4
45.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
45.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
45.5%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
45.4%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
45.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
45.2%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
45.2%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
45.2%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
45.2%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
45.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
45.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Elijah MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:5447% → 49%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
47.0%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+5
46.7%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+18
46.9%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 18 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
47.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
47.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
47.8%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
47.8%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+5
47.4%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 5 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
47.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
47.8%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete, broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
49.0%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr.Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
49.1%
Matt Quinn 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 3:2151% → 54%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
48.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
49.0%
Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Pauley,Devon (TURNER, Dy'jonn), PENALTY UAB pass interference (TURNER, Dy'jonn) 15 yards to the LA39, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
47.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Smith) to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
47.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
46.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
46.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
47.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+14
47.9%
Levi Lewis run for 14 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Trey RagasSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
46.9%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
46.2%
Nate Snyder 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:5149% → 52%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
48.8%
Spencer Brown run for 12 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
50.2%
Spencer Brown run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
50.9%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+6
50.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
50.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
50.9%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
50.8%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr., broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+11
50.4%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
50.2%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
51.8%
Matt Quinn 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:2649% → 47%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
51.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+5
51.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+11
51.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 11 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
50.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
49.8%
UAB Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
49.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
49.1%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
52.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:3156% → 72%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
56.0%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Hayden Pittman, broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
55.9%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+5
55.6%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
56.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
56.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+11
55.4%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 11 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
56.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
56.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+12
58.6%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins Jr. for 12 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.3%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
54.3%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
55.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
51.7%
Lewis,Levi pass complete to Gossett,Calif for 48 yards to the UAB2, out-of-bounds, PENALTY LA holding 10 yards to the LA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
54.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+4
54.5%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 44
-5
55.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Shane Vallot) to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 39
+17
55.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 17 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
53.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 29 yds, downed at the UAB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 7:4557% → 78%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
57.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
57.2%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+9
56.5%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
57.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
58.1%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 9 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
60.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
60.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
61.0%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Ryan Davis for 28 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-15
61.8%
BROWN, Spencer rush for no gain to the LA16 (Narcisse,Mason), PENALTY UAB personal foul (TREHERN, Matthew) 15 yards to the LA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 25
OPP 31
+24
61.2%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 17 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (Tayland Humphrey) to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
61.8%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
61.8%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.4%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:1223% → 47%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
77.4%
Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Errol Rogers, Jr., PENALTY UAB substitution infraction 5 yards to the LA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 5
OWN 27
0
76.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
76.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
76.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+3
77.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
76.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+13
75.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
74.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 25 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
52.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 23 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5061% → 64%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.8%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Gerrit Prince for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
58.9%
Bryson Lucero run for 2 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+59
63.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 25 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 6:4037% → 82%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
62.7%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+1
62.0%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+7
63.9%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
61.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
61.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+18
63.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 18 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
57.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
58.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
56.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
53.9%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
53.9%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+9
55.9%
Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
53.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
18.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0030% → 36%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
29.8%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
33.2%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
31.2%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
33.4%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
35.6%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
34.3%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
35.6%
Bryson Lucero pass intercepted Cameron Solomon return for 4 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:2381% → 89%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
19.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+2
20.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-5
21.9%
Mitchell,Elijah rush for 1 yard to the LA19 (WILDER, Noah), PENALTY LA delay of game 5 yards to the LA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+7
21.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
11.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 74 yds, downed at the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
18.2%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr.Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
17.7%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins Jr.Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 6
-29
17.0%
Bryson Lucero pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 14 yds to the UAB 20 LOUISIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-5
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:35
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)
-32
TD · Q3 0:20
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 23 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)
-22.1
TD · Q3 3:40
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
+17.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com