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JXST

Jacksonville State 24 at Florida State 41

FSU
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:13 · Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Quan Charleston returns for 2 yds to the JaxSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+17.1Garbage-time factor+9.4Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:30: Zerrick Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +7.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:39: Jordan Travis run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:58: La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:41: Lawrance Toafili run for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +9.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:16: La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT MISSED) — FSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:31JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53FSU 4th & 9 at JXST 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:51FSU 4th & 15 at FSU 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:46JXST 4th & 5 at FSU 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:53FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:34JXST 4th & 7 at JXST 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:30FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:57JXST 4th & 4 at FSU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:51JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:24JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:13FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 26, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:18JXST 4th & 7 at FSU 14, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:54JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:08JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:15FSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:30JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:39FSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:58FSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:41FSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:16FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:18FSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:243% → 4%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Trae Barry for 8 yds to the JaxSt 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
96.7%
Michael Matthews run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
96.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Quan Charleston for 5 yds to the JaxSt 44Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
96.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Uriah WestSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+1
96.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Uriah West for 1 yd to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+1
96.4%
Preston Knight punt for 50 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3696% → 96%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
96.4%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 5
OWN 11
0
96.3%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for no gain to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+1
96.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 4
OWN 12
-13
95.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass intercepted for a TD Kolbi Fuqua return for 13 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:5796% → 95%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
95.8%
Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
95.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 11 yds to the JaxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
95.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 13 yds to the JaxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
95.7%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the JaxSt 27Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 27
-14
95.6%
Tate Rodemaker sacked by Phillip Hopkins for a loss of 14 yards to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 19
OPP 41
+4
95.4%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 4 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+6
95.1%
Tate Rodemaker run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
95.1%
Ryan Fitzgerald 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:425% → 7%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
94.9%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 11 yds to the JaxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
94.7%
Zerrick Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
94.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Quan Charleston for 5 yds to the JaxSt 46Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+8
94.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 8 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
94.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Trae Barry for 10 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
93.8%
Cooper, Zerrick pass incomplete to Hicks, Isaiah, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference 16 yards to the FLORIDAST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JAXVILLEST.Similar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
92.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 20 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:5493% → 92%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
93.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-9
92.7%
Tate Rodemaker sacked by DJ Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 17
OWN 9
+2
92.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
91.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 40 yds, downed at the JaxSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:449% → 10%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
91.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Jayson Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the JaxSt 42Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+11
90.9%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 11 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+1
90.5%
Zerrick Cooper run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
90.0%
Preston Knight punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Keyshawn Helton at the FlaSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:4890% → 89%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
90.3%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for no gain to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
90.1%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 5 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
90.0%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
89.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Jordan YoungSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
89.5%
Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Kentron PoitierSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
89.2%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quan Charleston at the JaxSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:1112% → 15%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
88.4%
Michael Matthews run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 18Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+12
87.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 12 yds to the JaxSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
87.3%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 33Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
86.9%
Michael Matthews run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
85.8%
Michael Matthews run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 38Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 2
OWN 38
-5
85.3%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the JaxSt 33Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+8
85.3%
Preston Knight punt for 48 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for 8 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:1586% → 88%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
85.5%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
85.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
84.6%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
84.4%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+10
83.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.9%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+4
83.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+41
87.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 41 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:4215% → 25%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
85.2%
Zerrick Cooper run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 44Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+41
84.7%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Logan McVay for 41 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
83.5%
Uriah West run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+5
82.3%
Uriah West run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
81.9%
Uriah West run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 2Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.7%
Zerrick Cooper run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:3776% → 82%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
74.8%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
74.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
73.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
74.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
74.0%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
73.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jordan Young for 20 yds to the JaxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
73.5%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
73.4%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Terry, Tamorrion, PENALTY JAXVILLEST pass interference 12 yards to the JAXVILLEST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
73.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 10 yds to the JaxSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
72.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance ToafiliSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
72.6%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to McDonald, Camren, PENALTY JAXVILLEST pass interference 8 yards to the JAXVILLEST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 1Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.1%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
77.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the JaxSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:5278% → 88%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+48
78.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 48 yds to the JaxSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
80.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JaxSt 20Similar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+5
80.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 5 yds to the JaxSt 15Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
88.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:5316% → 24%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 10 yds to the JaxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.5%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
83.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Uriah West for 4 yds to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+28
81.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Uriah West for 28 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
80.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Jared Scott for 7 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+15
79.4%
Cooper, Zerrick pass incomplete to Edwards, Ahmad, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference 15 yards to the FLORIDAST9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JAXVILLEST.Similar
Q3 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
79.3%
Joshua Samuel run for no gain to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
78.7%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
79.8%
Zerrick Cooper run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
76.2%
Alen Karajic 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:0978% → 88%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
78.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
79.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
77.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
77.4%
Lawrance Toafili run for 24 yds to the JaxSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
79.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 40Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
79.3%
Tamorrion Terry run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 36Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
78.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
79.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 9 yds to the JaxSt 22Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+2
79.4%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
79.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 14Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+1
78.5%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 13Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
87.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3415% → 16%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.9%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 10 yds to the JaxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
84.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Pat Jackson for 7 yds to the JaxSt 42Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-2
82.0%
Zerrick Cooper sacked by Tru Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the JaxSt 40Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
82.9%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Dave Russell IIISimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+3
84.1%
Preston Knight punt for 53 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for 3 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:2485% → 93%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
85.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 17 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
85.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
86.3%
Ontaria Wilson run for 13 yds to the JaxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
86.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+10
86.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 10 yds to the JaxSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
87.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 20Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+3
86.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
86.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 7 yds to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
86.6%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:468% → 8%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.8%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Joshua Samuel for 7 yds to the JaxSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
90.6%
Zerrick Cooper sacked by Marvin Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the JaxSt 27Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
92.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Trae Barry for 5 yds to the JaxSt 32Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.7%
Preston Knight punt for 61 yds, downed at the FlaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:4491% → 90%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
91.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 13
0
91.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry, broken up by Kolbi FuquaSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+7
90.5%
Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
91.1%
Travis, Jordan pass complete to Douglas, Ja'Khi for 5 yards to the FLORIDAST25, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 10 yards to the FLORIDAST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+9
90.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-9
90.1%
Travis, Jordan rush for 13 yards to the FLORIDAST32, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 9 yards to the FLORIDAST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+16
90.0%
Jordan Travis run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+2
89.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Quan Charleston returns for 2 yds to the JaxSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:199% → 11%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
91.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Uriah West for 8 yds to the JaxSt 35Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
90.7%
Uriah West run for no gain to the JaxSt 35Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+7
91.1%
Zerrick Cooper run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
90.3%
Cooper, Zerrick pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDAST roughing passer 15 yards to the FLORIDAST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JAXVILLEST.Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
89.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass intercepted Asante Samuel Jr. return for no gain to the FlaSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 6:0293% → 99%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
92.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+3
92.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+5
92.6%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
93.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
94.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+6
94.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 6 yds to the JaxSt 49Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-5
94.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+31
94.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 31 yds to the JaxSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
94.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 17Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+11
95.2%
Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 13 for a 1ST down JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Harper) to the JaxSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
95.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 2Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 1:522% → 2%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
98.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 19 yds to the JaxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
98.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Dave Russell III for 5 yds to the JaxSt 49Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+5
97.9%
Cooper, Zerrick pass incomplete to Russell III, Dave, PENALTY FLORIDAST 12 men on the field 5 yards to the FLORIDAST46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JAXVILLEST.Similar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
97.8%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Trae Barry for 29 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.3%
Zerrick Cooper run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
97.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Dave Russell IIISimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+5
97.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
97.7%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Jared ScottSimilar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 2
OPP 9
-5
97.8%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:39
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q3 5:41
Lawrance Toafili run for 13 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q3 13:58
La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com