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BYU

BYU 17 at Coastal Carolina 22

CCU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:27 · Ryan Rehkow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior−5.2Home team on offense+8.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:10: CJ Marable run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED) — CCU win probability +9.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:00: Reese White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +11.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:45: Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 41 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +14.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:35: CJ Marable run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 11:35 (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CCU win probability +24.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:06: Timeout BYU, clock 07:06 — CCU win probability +8.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:37BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:51BYU 4th & 1 at CCU 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.8%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:00CCU 4th & 1 at BYU 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−8.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:49CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:28BYU 4th & 4 at CCU 12, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−8.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:28CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:32CCU 4th & 3 at BYU 22, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%−0.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−9.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:26BYU 4th & 17 at CCU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−4.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:27BYU 4th & 17 at BYU 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−4.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:06CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−2.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:54BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 47, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:03CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 47, up 5
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:10CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:50BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:00CCU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:45BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:35CCU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
24.7%
CJ Marable run for 13 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
24.7%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-10
24.7%
McCall, G. pass incomplete to Denmark, S., dropped pass, PENALTY CCU holding (Carter, T.) 10 yards to the CCU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
24.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+8
24.7%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
24.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 52 yds, downed at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
25.9%
WILSON, Zach pass complete to PAU'U, Neil for 91 yards to the CCU0, clock 12:37, PENALTY BYU holding (REX, Isaac) 5 yards to the BYU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 15
OWN 4
+7
25.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
25.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+18
25.9%
Zach Wilson run for 18 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
25.8%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
25.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+9
25.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
25.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Lopini KatoaSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
25.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-1
25.7%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+5
25.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 52 yds , Jordan Morris returns for 5 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 94 yds · 9:0528% → 38%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
27.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Isaiah HerronSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+14
27.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 14 yds to the CCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.5%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
27.6%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
27.6%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
27.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 7 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
27.8%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
27.9%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
28.0%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+7
28.0%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
28.1%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
28.1%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+11
28.1%
CJ Marable run for 11 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
28.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+4
28.3%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
28.3%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
37.6%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:1565% → 71%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
35.4%
Zach Wilson run for 12 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
35.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 16 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
34.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+42
29.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 42 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.6%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
31.6%
Grayson McCall run for 12 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
32.3%
CJ Marable run for 20 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
33.4%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 42 Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by BYU Isaiah KaufusiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
30.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
30.3%
Neil Pau'u run for no gain to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
30.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
31.3%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 51 yds · 7:5134% → 49%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
34.3%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+8
34.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
34.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 7 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
35.2%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
34.4%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
35.2%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+11
35.2%
CJ Marable run for 11 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
35.2%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
35.2%
Grayson McCall sacked by Pepe Tanuvasa for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 7Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
37.8%
Grayson McCall run for 6 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.9%
Reese White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 2:0752% → 69%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+18
48.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 18 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
47.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 6 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
46.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
46.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 5 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+17
45.4%
Zach Wilson run for 17 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
31.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 41 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:5636% → 36%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.0%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
36.2%
McCall, G. pass incomplete to Marable, CJ, PENALTY CCU holding (Loper, A.) 10 yards to the CCU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
35.7%
CJ Marable run for 10 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
36.5%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
36.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 52 yds , Talmage Gunther returns for 10 yds to the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:3164% → 66%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
35.7%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 26 Zach Wilson fumbled, recovered by BYU Zach WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 14
OWN 26
0
36.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+21
37.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 21 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
33.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-42
33.9%
Zach Wilson pass intercepted Derick Bush return for 42 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:2766% → 68%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
34.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Tyler AllgeierSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+27
34.9%
Zach Wilson run for 12 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Jeffrey Gunter) to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
32.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 23 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
31.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 5 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
31.6%
Zach Wilson run for no gain to the CCaro 13Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+1
32.6%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 12Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
31.9%
Jake Oldroyd 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.6%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
33.8%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
34.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
34.3%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+1
35.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 1 yd to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
33.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 28 yds , Talmage Gunther returns for no gain to the BYU 30 Talmage Gunther fumbled, recovered by BYU Talmage GuntherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
33.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 29 Tyler Allgeier fumbled, forced by Jeffrey Gunter, recovered by CCaro Silas KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0741% → 43%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
40.8%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
40.7%
Grayson McCall run for 6 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
38.7%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+41
42.6%
Massimo Biscardi 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:0661% → 58%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney, broken up by D'Jordan StrongSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
39.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
37.3%
Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+16
37.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 16 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
35.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-12
35.7%
Zach Wilson sacked by Derick Bush for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 20
50
+3
40.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 3 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
42.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 6:0643% → 76%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
43.1%
CJ Marable run for 12 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
44.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
43.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 12 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
45.5%
Reese White run for 10 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
47.9%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
48.6%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+4
48.5%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
49.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron Brown, broken up by Khyiris TongaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
48.8%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+7
48.9%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
51.4%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+20
51.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 20 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.8%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 11:35 (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0034% → 30%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
66.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+7
65.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 7 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u, broken up by Alex SpillumSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-16
65.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Chris Jackson for a loss of 16 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 26
OWN 30
+9
70.2%
Zach Wilson run for 9 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
70.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3775% → 82%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
75.2%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
75.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-5
73.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Isaiah Likely) to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+6
73.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 6 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Charles Ouverson punt for 33 yds, downed at the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
75.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 2
50
-3
74.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
79.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:4987% → 95%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
86.5%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
86.6%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
86.8%
Grayson McCall run for 14 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
88.3%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
91.7%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+2
90.9%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
94.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 81 yds · 0:4810% → 20%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
90.3%
WILSON, Zach pass complete to ALLGEIER, Tyler for 8 yards to the BYU26 (Makonzo, E.), PENALTY BYU holding (CHRISTENSEN, Br) 9 yards to the BYU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 19
OWN 9
0
91.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 19
OWN 9
+33
91.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 33 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
88.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 12 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
86.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 15 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
81.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
82.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 13 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
80.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 17 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:35
CJ Marable run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 11:35 (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+24.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.8
TD · Q2 1:45
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 41 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com