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UNA

North Alabama 7 at Liberty 28

LIB
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadUNA aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreUNA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:53 · Joe Gurley punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 20 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Liber 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+43.1Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:15: Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the NorAl 37 — LIB win probability +1.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:12: Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Sam Contorno kickoff for 37 yds fair catch by Brayden Monday at the Liber 28 — UNA win probability +1.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:16: Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +3.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:37: Chris Ferguson pass complete to Brody Brumm for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:34UNA 4th & 2 at UNA 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:20LIB 4th & 17 at UNA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:53UNA 4th & 7 at LIB 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:44LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04UNA 4th & 23 at UNA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:50LIB 4th & 8 at UNA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:05LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00UNA 4th & 14 at LIB 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:26UNA 4th & 14 at UNA 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:26UNA 4th & 17 at LIB 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:55LIB 4th & 8 at UNA 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 6:12LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:16LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:37LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:23LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:49UNA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:113% → 3%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
97.3%
Blake Dever pass complete to Cortez Hall for 6 yds to the NorAl 23Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-1
97.2%
Ron Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 22Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 22
-5
97.1%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NorAl 17Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+8
97.1%
Blake Dever run for 8 yds to the NorAl 25Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Joe Gurley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1097% → 97%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+25
96.9%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 25 yds to the NorAl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
96.9%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the NorAl 38Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-10
96.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Joshua Mack for a loss of 10 yards to the NorAl 48Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
96.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 3PUNT
15 plays · 33 yds · 6:223% → 5%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 20Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
96.5%
Blake Dever pass complete to Cortez Hall for 16 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.4%
Blake Dever run for 7 yds to the NorAl 43Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-10
96.1%
Howell, Ja'Won rush for 10 yards to the LIBERTY47, PENALTY NORTHALA holding 10 yards to the NORTHALA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 13
OWN 33
-15
96.2%
Dever, Blake pass complete to Hall, Cortez for 6 yards to the NORTHALA39, PENALTY NORTHALA pass interference 15 yards to the NORTHALA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 28
OWN 18
0
96.1%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the NorAl 18Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 28
OWN 24
+21
95.9%
Blake Dever pass complete to Corson Swan for 6 yds to the NorAl 24 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Targeting (Tre'Shaun Clark) to the NorAl 39 for a 1ST down. Clark ejected.Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
95.8%
Parker Driggers run for 4 yds to the NorAl 43Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
95.6%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Dexter BoykinSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+7
95.6%
Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
95.3%
Rett Files sacked by Jayod Sanders for a loss of 3 yards to the NorAl 47Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
95.3%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Corson SwanSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+6
95.3%
Rett Files pass complete to Ron Thompson for 6 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+37
95.2%
Joe Gurley punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 20 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0695% → 95%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
95.3%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 12Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+9
95.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 9 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
95.0%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
94.8%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ Yarbrough, broken up by Kyree FieldsSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+41
94.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Jack Peavey at the LIBERTY 17 LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NorAl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 2:286% → 6%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
94.5%
Thompson, Ron rush for 3 yards to the NORTHALA35, PENALTY NORTHALA illegal formation 5 yards to the NORTHALA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 27
-1
94.4%
Rett Files sacked by Carl Poole for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 26Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+4
94.3%
Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the NorAl 30Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-11
94.2%
Rett Files sacked by Stephens Sings V for a loss of 11 yards to the NorAl 19Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 23
OWN 19
+2
94.1%
Joe Gurley punt for 43 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 2 yds to the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:1094% → 93%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
94.4%
Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the NorAl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.4%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the NorAl 47Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
94.3%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the NorAl 44Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+9
94.1%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 9 yds to the NorAl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
94.2%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the NorAl 31Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+14
94.1%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 14 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
93.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
93.9%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the NorAl 9Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-6
93.5%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 15Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
93.1%
Alex Barbir 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:548% → 8%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.0%
Ron Thompson run for 3 yds to the NorAl 23Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
91.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 4 yds to the NorAl 27Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+13
91.6%
Parker Driggers run for 13 yds to the NorAl 40 Parker Driggers fumbled, recovered by Liber , return for no gain to the NorAl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:0393% → 95%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
93.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the NorAl 37Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
92.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the NorAl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
92.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 9 yds to the NorAl 20Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+2
92.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the NorAl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
92.6%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 11 yds to the NorAl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.6%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 9INT
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:036% → 7%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
93.8%
Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 16 yds to the NorAl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
93.5%
Rett Files pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.5%
Files, Rett pass incomplete to Boykin, Dexter, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference 5 yards to the NORTHALA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHALA.Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
93.6%
Rett Files pass complete to Andre Little for 47 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
92.9%
Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.8%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Dexter BoykinSimilar
Q2 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-14
93.1%
Rett Files pass intercepted Anthony Butler return for 14 yds to the Liber 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3894% → 93%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
93.6%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
93.6%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
93.4%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Jakob CummingsSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
93.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jack Peavey at the NorAl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 24 yds · 2:557% → 7%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
93.3%
Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 38Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+6
93.5%
Ja'Won Howell run for 6 yds to the NorAl 44Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+16
93.0%
Rett Files pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 16 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.9%
Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
92.0%
Rett Files pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 10 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.2%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Andre LittleSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
91.1%
Rett Files run for 1 yd to the Liber 29Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-10
91.8%
Rett Files sacked by Anthony Butler for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 19
OPP 39
+5
93.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+51
93.2%
Joe Gurley 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:3992% → 96%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
92.3%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
92.7%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+6
92.3%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+46
92.6%
Joshua Mack run for 46 yds to the NorAl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
92.7%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.7%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:345% → 5%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.2%
Ron Thompson run for 2 yds to the NorAl 27Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Corson SwanSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
95.2%
Rett Files sacked by Durrell Johnson and Stephens Sings V for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 21Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+13
95.3%
Joe Gurley punt for 43 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 13 yds to the Liber 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14TD
14 plays · 51 yds · 5:3496% → 99%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
95.6%
Chris Ferguson sacked by Christon Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 42Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 17
OWN 42
-10
95.5%
Bennett, Johnathan pass complete to Shaa, Kevin for 7 yards to the LIBERTY49, PENALTY LIBERTY holding 10 yards to the LIBERTY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 27
OWN 32
+6
95.3%
Peytton Pickett run for 6 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+2
95.2%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for a loss of 13 yards to the Liber 25 for a 1ST down NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.7%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
95.6%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
95.4%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the NorAl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
95.7%
Chris Ferguson run for 2 yds to the NorAl 47Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+30
95.6%
Shedro Louis run for 30 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
95.9%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the NorAl 12Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
95.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Brody BrummSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+8
95.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the NorAl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the NorAl 2Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Brody Brumm for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 15INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:242% → 1%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.2%
Ron Thompson run for 2 yds to the NorAl 35Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
98.5%
Rett Files pass complete to Ron Thompson for 6 yds to the NorAl 41Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+10
98.5%
Parker Driggers run for 10 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.5%
Ron Thompson run for 5 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
98.4%
Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for 7 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.6%
Rett Files pass intercepted Anthony Butler return for no gain to the Liber 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:3799% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.0%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
99.0%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
99.1%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
99.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 29 yds to the NorAl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
99.1%
Joshua Mack run for 16 yds to the NorAl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.1%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the NorAl 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
99.1%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the NorAl 5Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Chris Barrett for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 6:490% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Cortez Hall for 15 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Jakobi Byrd for a loss of 5 yards to the NorAl 41Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Rett Files pass incomplete to Andre LittleSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Patrick McKaufman for 21 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Parker Driggers for 6 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+23
99.9%
Parker Driggers run for 23 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
Rett Files pass complete to Parker Driggers for 4 yds to the Liber 3Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.9%
Parker Driggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 10Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
99.9%
Rett Files sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
Joe Gurley 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-13
99.9%
Johnathan Bennett pass intercepted K.J. Smith return for 13 yds to the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 19TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:210% → 1%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Ron Thompson run for 5 yds to the Liber 7Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Ron Thompson run for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Parker Driggers run for 5 yds for a TD (Sam Contorno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:15100% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.6%
Troy Henderson run for 13 yds to the Liber 42 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 32Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 7
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
Troy Henderson run for 4 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
99.6%
Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.6%
Shedro Louis run for 12 yds to the NorAl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
99.6%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+6
99.7%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the NorAl 46Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-1
99.7%
Troy Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 47Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+9
99.7%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 9 yds to the NorAl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
99.7%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:16
Chris Ferguson pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 5:37
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Brody Brumm for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 6:12
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com