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South Carolina 18 at Kentucky 41

UK
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:56 · Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 5 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense+31.5Pregame prior+2.5Score differential+22.6Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:30: Asim Rose Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +5.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:14: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +7.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:21: Kevin Harris run for 15 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +3.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:12: Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 30 yds for a TD (Luke Doty pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion) — SC win probability +4.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:56: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 79 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +3.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 9SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:01SC 4th & 7 at UK 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01UK 4th & 3 at SC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41UK 4th & 4 at SC 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:45SC 4th & 11 at UK 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UK 4th & 9 at UK 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05SC 4th & 3 at SC 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:49UK 4th & 3 at SC 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:05SC 4th & 3 at SC 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UK 4th & 10 at SC 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:17UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:17UK 4th & 5 at UK 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54SC 4th & 17 at UK 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54UK 4th & 1 at SC 28, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:48SC 4th & 4 at SC 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:16UK 4th & 1 at UK 46, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:39SC 4th & 7 at SC 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:56SC 4th & 2 at SC 33, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:19UK Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:30UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:14UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:28UK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:21SC Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:12SC Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:56UK Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:5921% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.6%
Luke Doty run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
78.6%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
78.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete, broken up by Cedrick Dort Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+20
78.6%
Kevin Harris run for 20 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
78.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Shi Smith for 6 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+13
78.6%
Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
78.6%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
78.6%
Shi Smith pass incomplete to Luke DotySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+2
78.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the Kent 9 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
-2
78.6%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
77.4%
Parker White 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FG
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2078% → 77%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
77.6%
Terry Wilson run for 14 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
77.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+26
77.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose Jr. for 26 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Cam SmithSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
78.0%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-10
77.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 5 yds to the SCaro 21 KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+11
77.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 11 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+18
77.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 18 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.0%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
78.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Keaton UpshawSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
77.1%
Matt Ruffolo 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
76.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to ZaQuandre White for no gain ZaQuandre White fumbled, forced by Jordan Wright, recovered by Kent Jordan Wright , return for 4 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:2878% → 80%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
77.6%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 25 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FG
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:2522% → 22%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
77.9%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-5
77.5%
[SHOT], PENALTY SC false start (G. Caldwell) 5 yards to the UK39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+10
77.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
77.5%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
77.5%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
78.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
78.4%
Parker White 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 1:3879% → 78%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
78.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+6
78.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
78.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
78.5%
PENALTY UK personal foul off-setting, PENALTY SC personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
78.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to DeMarcus HarrisSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-10
78.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (DeMarcus Harris) to the Kent 13Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+1
78.4%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+10
78.0%
Terry Wilson run for 10 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+2
77.6%
Max Duffy punt for 51 yds , Jammie Robinson returns for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
78.0%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
77.7%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-1
77.8%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
78.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 2:0179% → 85%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+36
78.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 36 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
79.6%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
79.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+21
79.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 21 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
84.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
82.8%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Jordan WrightSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
82.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Jordan WrightSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+17
82.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 17 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
82.0%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 12
50
0
82.5%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 12
50
0
82.7%
Luke Doty pass intercepted Yusuf Corker return for no gain to the Kent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
84.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
85.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
85.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+2
84.7%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
84.3%
Max Duffy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
84.5%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
84.2%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OWN 15
-1
84.3%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 3
OWN 14
+25
84.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the KENTUCKY 46 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, kick catching interference (ZaQuandre White) to the SCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:2686% → 95%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
85.6%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
85.6%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
85.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
85.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 17 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
85.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
85.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
95.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
93.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 11 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
93.5%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 33 Luke Doty fumbled, recovered by Kent Jordan WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14FG
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:4296% → 95%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
95.6%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey for 32 yards to the SC1 (Jammie Robinson), PENALTY UK ineligible downfield on pass (Isaiah Epps) 5 yards to the SC38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+15
95.5%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps, PENALTY SC pass interference (John Dixon) 15 yards to the SC23, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
95.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps, broken up by John DixonSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
95.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
95.4%
Matt Ruffolo 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:3295% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.9%
Terry Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
94.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
94.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 10 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.0%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
95.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
95.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 15 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
95.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 7 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
95.2%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
97.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 12 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
96.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
96.8%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:031% → 4%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+33
99.4%
Kevin Harris run for 33 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
99.3%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the KENTUCKY 43 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Joshua Paschal) to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.2%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
99.1%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
99.2%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
95.9%
Kevin Harris run for 15 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.8%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.7%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+59
97.8%
Kevin Harris run for 59 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
97.2%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-2
97.2%
Shi Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+7
97.5%
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-15
97.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 17
OPP 34
+51
98.2%
Parker White 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
99.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 14 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Jammie Robinson) to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Michael Drennen II for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+1
99.0%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
99.0%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
99.0%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick Muse, broken up by Brandin EcholsSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
98.6%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+2
98.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rashad Amos for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
98.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.2%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 15 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.3%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
99.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
99.3%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Max Duffy punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:271% → 6%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
98.9%
Rashad Amos run for 18 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
98.8%
Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-1
98.8%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 31 Rashad Amos fumbled, forced by Jamar Watson, recovered by SCaro Jakai MooreSimilar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Rashad AmosSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+22
98.9%
Kai Kroeger pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 22 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
98.8%
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+9
98.7%
Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
98.5%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+30
94.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 30 yds for a TD (Luke Doty pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
99.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 79 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FUMBLE
17 plays · 37 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete, broken up by Abule Abadi-FitzgeraldSimilar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.3%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 5 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick Muse, broken up by Yusuf CorkerSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.3%
Luke Doty run for 9 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
99.3%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
50
-2
99.3%
Luke Doty sacked by Justin Rogers for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Luke Doty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+15
99.5%
Luke Doty run for 15 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rashad Amos for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+7
99.3%
Luke Doty run for 7 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.5%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-5
99.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for a loss of 5 yards Dakereon Joyner fumbled, forced by Jamar Watson, recovered by Kent Kordell LooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Team run for no gain to the Kent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:14
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 10:30
Asim Rose Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q4 5:12
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 30 yds for a TD (Luke Doty pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com