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LSU

LSU 7 at Texas A&M 20

TA&M
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:16 · Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+9.2Home team on offense+29.2Score differential+21.1Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5Time remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:16: Isaiah Spiller 52 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +2.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Seth Small 40 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +2.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:08: Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah Spiller — TA&M win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:36: Buddy Johnson 15 Yd Interception Return (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +6.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:38: Terrace Marshall Jr. 3 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick) — LSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 11 of 14LSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 14
  1. Q1 13:33TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26LSU 4th & 1 at TA&M 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:10TA&M 4th & 14 at LSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:13LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:09TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:22LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 26, down 3
    Close callPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:09TA&M 4th & 10 at LSU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:06LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 12, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:28LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:37TA&M 4th & 1 at LSU 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−1.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:02TA&M 4th & 21 at TA&M 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:48LSU 4th & 10 at TA&M 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:48TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:29LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:06TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  16. Q2 0:43LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 13:42LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 12:43TA&M 4th & 14 at TA&M 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 11:24LSU 4th & 7 at TA&M 42, down 13
    Close callPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q3 6:16TA&M 4th & 22 at TA&M 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  21. Q3 4:53TA&M 4th & 19 at LSU 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  22. Q3 0:17LSU 4th & 25 at LSU 1, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−1.6
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 14:10TA&M 4th & 4 at midfield, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  24. Q4 12:16LSU 4th & 16 at LSU 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  25. Q4 9:46TA&M 4th & 10 at LSU 36, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  26. Q4 8:25LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 10, down 20
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  27. Q4 5:09TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 42, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  28. Q4 1:21LSU 4th & 1 at TA&M 16, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.6
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 0:16TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:36TA&M Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:38LSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2188% → 87%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
87.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah SpillerSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
87.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
87.3%
Nik Constantinou punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:0113% → 13%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+18
87.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 18 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
86.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+8
86.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Koy Moore for 8 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
86.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:1287% → 86%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+41
86.8%
Kellen Mond run for 26 yds to the TEXASAM 39 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (JaCoby Stevens) to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
86.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
86.6%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Flott, Cordale) 4 yards to the LSU20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
86.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
86.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer, broken up by JaCoby StevensSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
86.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
86.2%
Seth Small 41 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5214% → 14%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert, broken up by Buddy JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Tyrion Davis-Price, broken up by Aaron HansfordSimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 36 yds, downed at the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5886% → 85%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah Jones, broken up by Derek Stingley Jr.Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
85.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer, broken up by Jabril CoxSimilar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
85.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4114% → 14%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
85.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
85.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 1 yd to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+2
85.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 2 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+3
85.7%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 46 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 29 LSU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0785% → 84%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+18
85.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
85.4%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
85.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer, broken up by Jabril CoxSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
84.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
84.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds, downed at the LSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5715% → 15%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
84.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
84.5%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+5
84.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 5 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
84.6%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:4484% → 86%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
84.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+52
86.7%
Isaiah Spiller 52 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+15
86.3%
LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Cameron Lewis) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4114% → 13%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
86.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
85.9%
Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
85.9%
Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
86.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+5
87.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 34 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 5 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:4287% → 87%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
86.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 32 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
87.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+6
87.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 6 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+13
86.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
87.4%
Carson Green run for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 21Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 16
OPP 21
0
87.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer, broken up by Jabril CoxSimilar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+15
86.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-9
86.5%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 15 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAM Isaiah SpillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:2713% → 15%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+54
86.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 54 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
85.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
85.3%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Jaylon Jones return for no gain to the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:5286% → 86%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
86.2%
Spiller, Isaiah rush for loss of 1 yard to the TEXASAM20, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Hocker, Jared) 10 yards to the TEXASAM11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 20
OWN 11
-1
86.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 10Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 21
OWN 10
0
86.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 21
OWN 10
0
86.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 10Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
85.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the TexAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0914% → 14%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
85.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+10
85.9%
TJ Finley run for 10 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
85.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
85.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Taylor for 3 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Roughing Passer (Erick Young) to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
84.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-1
84.8%
TJ Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
85.7%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Arik GilbertSimilar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
86.5%
Cade York 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:5487% → 86%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 11 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
87.1%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
87.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-10
87.5%
Spiller, Isaiah rush for 8 yards to the TEXASAM48, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Smith, Ainias) 10 yards to the TEXASAM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+5
86.7%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Micah Baskerville) to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-5
86.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Kenyon Green) to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
86.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
86.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1612% → 12%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Arik GilbertSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
87.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1887% → 87%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
87.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Cordale FlottSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
87.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
87.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
86.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1712% → 12%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
87.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
87.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
87.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
88.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19END OF HALF
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:3888% → 91%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
87.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
88.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 9 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
88.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
88.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
87.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
87.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
88.3%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Glen Logan) to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+40
90.6%
Seth Small 40 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1311% → 11%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
88.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
89.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
89.4%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5491% → 89%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
90.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
90.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Neil Farrell Jr.Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
89.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:1111% → 10%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
89.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 26 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
88.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 3 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
88.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert, broken up by Andre White Jr.Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
88.5%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
89.6%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23FUMBLE
9 plays · 11 yds · 4:5990% → 91%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
89.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 8Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+11
90.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 11 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
91.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 12 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
91.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Carson Green) to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 15
OWN 26
-13
91.2%
Spiller, Isaiah rush for 5 yards to the TEXASAM31, PENALTY TEXASAM personal foul 13 yards to the TEXASAM13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 28
OWN 13
-4
91.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 9Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 32
OWN 9
0
91.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 9Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 32
OWN 9
+10
90.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 10 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 22
OWN 19
-11
90.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 11 yards to the LSU 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexAM Connor BlumrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:1592% → 92%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah SpillerSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
92.6%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 11
OPP 34
-8
92.4%
Kellen Mond sacked by Ray Thornton for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 19
OPP 42
0
92.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 33 yds, downed at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:109% → 3%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
91.1%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-15
97.5%
Buddy Johnson 15 Yd Interception Return (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 4:073% → 2%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
97.5%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 9 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Deculus) to the LSU 5Similar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
97.5%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 6Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+10
97.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 10 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
97.8%
Max Johnson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 15Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+2
98.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 2 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 9
OWN 17
-15
98.2%
Max Johnson sacked by Andre White Jr. for a loss of 15 yards to the LSU 2Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 24
OWN 2
-1
98.4%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-1 Yards) to the LSU 1Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 25
OWN 1
+55
98.4%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 45 yds TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chris Russell Jr.) to the TexAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0299% → 99%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
98.6%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
98.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 4
50
0
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 4
50
0
98.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
98.7%
Max Johnson run for 9 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+6
98.7%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-6
98.8%
Max Johnson sacked by Bobby Brown III for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 16
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins, broken up by Jaylon JonesSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 16
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
98.9%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Flott, Cordale) 15 yards to the LSU49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.0%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah Jones, broken up by Derek Stingley Jr.Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, downed at the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
99.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 3 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+3
99.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 3 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OWN 10
0
99.1%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert, broken up by Myles JonesSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 4
OWN 10
+58
99.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 48 yds TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darvon Hubbard) to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:0899% → 99%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+2
99.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
99.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-3
99.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 32TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 4:241% → 4%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 14 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Arik GilbertSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 15 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+5
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 5 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrion Davis-PriceSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.4%
Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 3 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
99.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
99.3%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Marlon Martinez) to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+15
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 15 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.3%
Terrace Marshall Jr. 3 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 33Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:36
Buddy Johnson 15 Yd Interception Return (Seth Small Kick)
+6.4
TD · Q4 0:38
Terrace Marshall Jr. 3 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)
-2.8
TD · Q1 0:16
Isaiah Spiller 52 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com