Try the model
VAN

Vanderbilt 0 at Missouri 41

MIZ
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:39 · Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+31.0Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:14: Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:51: Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:18: Tyler Badie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:47: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 35 — MIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:31: Harrison Mevis 44 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:23VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:39VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24MIZ 4th & 3 at VAN 28, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13VAN 4th & 6 at MIZ 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:35MIZ 4th & 3 at VAN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:43VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:19VAN 4th & 28 at VAN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MIZ 4th & 14 at midfield, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35MIZ 4th & 3 at VAN 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:31MIZ 4th & 3 at VAN 27, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:17VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 28, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:40VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:09VAN 4th & 4 at MIZ 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:00VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:09VAN 4th & 16 at VAN 31, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:14MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:51MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:18MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:29MIZ Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:46MIZ Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3016% → 17%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
83.9%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 10 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.9%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
83.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
83.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
83.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:5784% → 84%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
83.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
83.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
83.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 13 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
83.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+7
83.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 7 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3016% → 17%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.6%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
83.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
83.4%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Keyon Henry-BrooksSimilar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+7
83.5%
Ken Seals run for 7 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
83.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:0884% → 83%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
83.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (Zeke Powell) to the Misso 5Similar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+27
83.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 27 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
83.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 20 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
83.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
83.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 13 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
83.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
83.9%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
83.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for no gain to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
83.4%
Harrison Mevis 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5917% → 17%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
83.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
82.7%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
50
+2
82.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
82.2%
Mitchell Pryor run for 4 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-2
82.0%
Ken Seals sacked by Nick Bolton for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
82.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:1683% → 83%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
82.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+10
82.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
82.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
82.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 7 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+11
83.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for no gain to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
83.3%
Jalen Knox run for 1 yd to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+6
82.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 6 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
82.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3119% → 18%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
81.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
81.2%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
81.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
82.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:4282% → 88%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
82.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+11
82.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 11 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
82.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 15 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
83.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 12 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
83.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 1 yd to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+2
83.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Kris Abrams-Draine for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+12
82.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 12 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
83.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 21 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 6 yds · 4:2314% → 13%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
86.0%
Ken Seals run for 7 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 4 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+9
86.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
85.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Grant Miller) to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-5
86.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 14
OWN 49
-2
86.6%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 16
OWN 47
0
86.7%
Ken Seals sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for 0 yards to the Vandy 47 Ken Seals fumbled, recovered by Vandy Keyon Henry-Brooks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 16
OWN 47
-12
87.0%
Ken Seals sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 28
OWN 35
+8
87.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 53 yds , Cade Musser returns for 8 yds to the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:5888% → 96%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
87.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 13 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
88.1%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+24
88.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 24 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
89.1%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
90.0%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:185% → 5%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Keyon Henry-BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.7%
Ken Seals run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
94.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:4796% → 96%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+19
96.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 19 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 5 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-9
95.8%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
50
-14
95.5%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo for a loss of 14 yards to the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:1596% → 96%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 36Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
96.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 9 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
96.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+19
96.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 19 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
96.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+16
96.4%
Elijah Young run for 16 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.5%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Vandy 3Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
96.4%
Harrison Mevis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14FUMBLE
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:174% → 3%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
96.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
96.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 8 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
96.6%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
96.7%
Michael Owusu run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 14
OWN 41
-2
96.9%
Mitchell Pryor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+17
97.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 17 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
96.8%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 10 yds to the Misso 34 Keyon Henry-Brooks fumbled, forced by Devin Nicholson, recovered by Misso Jarvis WareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5198% → 100%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
97.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+23
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 23 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
97.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
98.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Niko HeaSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
98.2%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
99.7%
Harrison Mevis 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.7%
Mike Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Mitchell PryorSimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 12 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 6 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 21 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 25 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:010% → 0%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 14 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Mitchell Pryor run for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Mike Wright run for 5 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-1
99.9%
Mike Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 4
OPP 32
-1
99.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ja'Veon Marlow for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Kris Abrams-Draine for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+35
99.9%
Elijah Young run for 35 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
99.9%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+9
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 9 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 25 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-11
99.9%
Ken Seals sacked by TEAM for a loss of 11 yards to the Vandy 14 VANDERBILT Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ken Seals) to the Vandy 14Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+10
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Ken Seals run for 7 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ja'Veon Marlow for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 16
OWN 31
-1
100.0%
Ken Seals sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Harrison Smith punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
100.0%
Jerney Jones run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+11
100.0%
Jerney Jones run for 11 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Jerney Jones run for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
Jerney Jones run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+26
100.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Micah Wilson for 26 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:18
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 7:51
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+3.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:47
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 35
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com