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MIZ

Missouri 17 at South Carolina 10

SC
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:18 · Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, downed at the SCaro 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Pregame prior−8.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:58: Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 4:59: Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +16.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:59: Mitch Jeter kickoff for 30 yds — MIZ win probability +7.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 4:59: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Connor Bazelak for 5 yds Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by Misso — MIZ win probability +6.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:53: Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 39 — MIZ win probability +14.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 2 at MIZ 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:36MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:18SC 4th & 4 at SC 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:10SC 4th & 11 at SC 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:10MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 9 at SC 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:58SC 4th & 6 at MIZ 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:34SC 4th & 10 at SC 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:13SC 4th & 4 at MIZ 30, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13MIZ 4th & 19 at MIZ 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:12SC 4th & 5 at SC 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:59MIZ 4th & 9 at SC 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:48SC 4th & 10 at SC 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:57MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:27SC 4th & 5 at MIZ 8, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−6.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:52MIZ 4th & 6 at SC 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:10MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:58MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:59SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
40.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Collin Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
40.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith (J. BLEDSOE), PENALTY MU pass interference (J. BLEDSOE) 15 yards to the SC37, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
40.7%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
40.7%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
40.7%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+9
40.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
40.7%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
40.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
41.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
41.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
41.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
41.7%
Grant McKinniss punt for 51 yds, downed at the SCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
42.2%
Collin Hill run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
42.1%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
41.9%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
41.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, downed at the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:4258% → 61%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
41.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 21 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
41.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
41.6%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
39.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 20 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.1%
Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
40.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
40.0%
Collin Hill sacked by Martez Manuel for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+11
39.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds , Cade Musser returns for 11 yds to the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
39.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
39.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 8 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
38.8%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 47Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-6
39.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 9 yds to the SOCAROLINA 44 MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 20
OWN 41
0
39.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 20
OWN 41
+5
40.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
40.1%
Grant McKinniss punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0439% → 38%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
39.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-6
39.2%
Collin Hill sacked by Devin Nicholson and Martez Manuel for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 9Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 15
OWN 9
-4
38.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 19
OWN 5
+10
38.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 10 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
38.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:5562% → 69%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
37.7%
Jalen Knox run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
37.7%
C. BAZELAK pass incomplete to J. KNOX (Jaylan Foster), PENALTY SC pass interference (Jaylan Foster) 15 yards to the SC40, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
37.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+28
37.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 28 yds to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
37.5%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
37.5%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
31.9%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
32.5%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
31.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Josh Vann for 6 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
32.2%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
32.1%
Luke Doty run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
31.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 12 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
33.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-3
33.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
33.2%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Deshaun FenwickSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
33.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10INT
12 plays · 55 yds · 2:4172% → 75%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
28.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
28.3%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+6
28.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
27.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
27.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+16
27.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 16 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
27.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
27.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
24.8%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
24.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
25.3%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Cam Smith return for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:2725% → 25%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
25.4%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+4
25.7%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
25.6%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 14
OWN 11
0
25.5%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+4
25.2%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
25.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 1:3076% → 84%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
23.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
23.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jay Maclin for 5 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+7
23.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 7 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
23.1%
Connor Bazelak run for 14 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
22.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
22.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
22.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 7 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
22.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
22.6%
C. BAZELAK pass incomplete to J. KNOX, PENALTY SC face mask (Keir Thomas) 9 yards to the SC8, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
22.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 3 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
19.6%
C. BAZELAK pass incomplete to T. DOVE, PENALTY SC face mask (John Dixon) 3 yards to the SC2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
16.2%
Harrison Mevis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
20.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
20.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
20.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
20.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 50 yds, downed at the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:4720% → 23%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.2%
Luke Doty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
19.9%
Luke Doty run for 14 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
21.7%
Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
22.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
22.0%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+9
21.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 9 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
22.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+5
22.5%
Luke Doty run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
22.5%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
22.6%
Parker White 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.5%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
18.6%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+10
19.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 10 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
17.6%
Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
17.4%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
17.3%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
17.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-5
17.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Team) to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-7
17.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
19.3%
Grant McKinniss punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
17.4%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+10
17.2%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
17.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 11 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
17.9%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks, PENALTY MU pass interference (E. RAKESTRAW) 9 yards to the SC40, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
18.9%
Kevin Harris rush for 1 yard to the SC41 (J. BLEDSOE;E. RAKESTRAW), PENALTY SC holding (Jovaughn Gwyn) 10 yards to the SC30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+12
17.5%
Luke Doty run for 12 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
19.2%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
19.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks, broken up by Martez ManuelSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
18.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:3487% → 92%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+28
13.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 28 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
12.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
11.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
10.9%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+4
11.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 4 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
11.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-5
12.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
8.2%
Grant McKinniss punt for 30 yds, downed at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
12.9%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks, PENALTY MU pass interference (E. RAKESTRAW) 15 yards to the SC28, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
13.4%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-10
12.9%
Luke Doty rush for 5 yards to the SC33 (T. WILLIAMS), PENALTY SC holding (Jakai Moore) 10 yards to the SC18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+12
12.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 12 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-2
12.7%
Luke Doty sacked by Ennis Rakestraw Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+6
12.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds , Cade Musser returns for 6 yds to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
6.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for no gain to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
6.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
6.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+1
7.0%
Grant McKinniss punt for 47 yds , Jammie Robinson returns for 1 yd to the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:288% → 29%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
8.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 5 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-10
8.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Trey Adkins for 13 yards to the SC41 (T. GILLESPIE), PENALTY SC holding (Eric Douglas) 10 yards to the SC18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+10
8.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Trey Adkins for 10 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+25
8.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 25 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
9.9%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+17
9.9%
Luke Doty run for 17 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
11.5%
Luke Doty run for 8 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+9
11.7%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 26 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Martez Manuel) to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+5
11.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
11.0%
Luke Doty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 15
OPP 18
+10
9.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Trey Adkins for 10 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+6
10.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 6 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
11.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Misso 1Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:0786% → 90%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
14.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Connor Bazelak for 5 yds Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by MissoSimilar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
13.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+14
13.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 14 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
12.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
9.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
8.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Niko Hea, broken up by Jammie RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
10.2%
Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds, downed at the SCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
16.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 5 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 6
-2
16.6%
Luke Doty run for 2 yds to the SCaro 8 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal forward pass (Luke Doty) to the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+16
15.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 16 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
17.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
18.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
18.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
19.1%
Luke Doty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-8
18.7%
Luke Doty pass intercepted Devin Nicholson return for 8 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
4.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-2
4.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:59
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+16.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:53
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 39
-14.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:59
Mitch Jeter kickoff for 30 yds
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com