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VAN

Vanderbilt 35 at Kentucky 38

UK
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-3.8UK 84.6%Mike Wright pass complete to BenBresnahan for 2 yds for a TD (PiersonCooke KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 21 · Q2 3:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:40 · Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 2 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+25.5Home team on offense+3.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:40: Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 2 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK) — VAN win probability +3.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +6.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:53: Mike Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK) — VAN win probability +5.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:14: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +7.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:30: Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK) — VAN win probability +17.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:15VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:36UK 4th & 1 at VAN 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:40VAN 4th & 2 at UK 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00UK 4th & 1 at VAN 10, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%−1.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:53VAN 4th & 2 at UK 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:38UK 4th & 5 at UK 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 15 at UK 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:14VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:56UK 4th & 14 at VAN 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:17UK 4th & 9 at UK 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:15UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:30VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:28UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:40VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:34UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:53VAN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:14UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:13VAN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:30VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4590% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 7 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+15
89.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 15 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
89.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 7 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
89.9%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
89.9%
Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
89.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
89.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
89.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 15 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
89.3%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start ( Yards) to the Vandy 1Similar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
89.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
89.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+6
89.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 6 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
89.2%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
89.2%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+3
89.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 3 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
89.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4889% → 91%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
88.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
89.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
89.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
89.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
89.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
89.2%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Eljah Hamilton) 15 yards to the VANDY32, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
91.0%
Terry Wilson run for 32 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:1110% → 13%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
90.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
90.3%
Ken Seals run for 8 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
90.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
90.2%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
90.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
90.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 3 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
90.1%
Ken Seals run for no gain to the Kent 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+15
90.0%
[SHOT], K Henry-Brooks rush for no gain to the UK49 (Kelvin Joseph), PENALTY UK face mask (Jamar Watson) 15 yards to the UK34, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
86.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Wes Farley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:5488% → 92%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
87.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
87.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 7 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
88.4%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+27
88.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 27 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
88.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 8 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+5
88.6%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
91.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 21 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
21 plays · 78 yds · 6:4410% → 15%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
90.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
90.3%
[SHOT], Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce, PENALTY UK offside defense (Marquan Mccall) 5 yards to the VANDY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+6
90.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 6 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
90.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
90.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden Harrison for no gain to the Vandy 35 VANDERBILT Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+12
90.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 12 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
90.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
50
0
89.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
50
+20
90.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 20 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
89.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 7 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+8
89.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
89.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
89.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 7 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
89.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.5%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the Kent 2Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.6%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 2 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 3:3487% → 88%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
86.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 15 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
87.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+6
86.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
87.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Asim Rose Jr., broken up by Brayden DeVault-SmithSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-15
87.0%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps, PENALTY UK personal foul (Justin Rigg) 15 yards to the VANDY45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 25
OPP 45
-10
86.3%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for no gain to the VANDY45 (Joel Decoursey), PENALTY UK holding (Austin Dotson) 10 yards to the UK45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 35
OWN 45
+9
86.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 9 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 26
OPP 46
+27
85.7%
Terry Wilson run for 27 yds to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
87.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 5 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
87.8%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+4
87.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose Jr. for 4 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+28
87.6%
Chance Poore 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
86.6%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
87.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+39
87.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 26 , Josh Ali returns for 39 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:5789% → 95%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
88.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+9
88.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 9 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
88.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 8 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
88.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the Vandy 5Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
88.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:417% → 14%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
93.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 6 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
92.8%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
92.9%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
92.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 20 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
92.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+6
92.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 6 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
92.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 5 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
91.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-5
91.9%
[SHOT], Ken Seals pass incomplete to Justin Ball, QB hurry by Quinton Bohanna, PENALTY VANDY illegal touching (Justin Ball) 5 yards to the UK22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+5
92.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 5 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+10
92.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 10 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.9%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
91.9%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
92.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 2Similar
Q3 2:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.5%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:1588% → 89%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
89.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
89.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
89.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Elijah HamiltonSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
88.6%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:0110% → 9%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
90.2%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 9 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
89.1%
[SHOT], Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 14 yards to the VANDY40 (Jamin Davis), PENALTY VANDY illegal touching (Cam Johnson) 0 yards to the VANDY26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
89.8%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
89.6%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+20
90.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 20 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.5%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
88.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+6
88.3%
Ken Seals run for 6 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
88.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
88.3%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-4
89.0%
Ken Seals sacked by Jamar Watson and Joshua Paschal for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
90.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
3 plays · 91 yds · 1:3790% → 98%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
89.8%
Terry Wilson run for 11 yds to the Kent 22 Terry Wilson fumbled, forced by Anfernee Orji, recovered by Kent Justin Rigg for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
90.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+74
97.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Rocko Griffin, broken up by Brandin EcholsSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+51
97.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 51 yds , Josh Ali returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:2498% → 98%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
97.6%
JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+14
97.6%
Beau Allen pass complete to Michael Drennen II for 14 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
97.8%
Beau Allen pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 20 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
98.4%
[SHOT], PENALTY UK delay of game 5 yards to the VANDY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 15
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Beau Allen pass incomplete, broken up by Michael OwusuSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+6
98.3%
Beau Allen pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 6 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 9
OPP 42
-5
98.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:282% → 6%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete, broken up by M.J. Devonshire Jr.Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 14 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
97.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 7 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+8
97.6%
Mitchell Pryor run for 8 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
97.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 12 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
97.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Phil Hoskins) to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
96.9%
Mitchell Pryor run for 15 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
96.9%
[SHOT], Ken Seals pass incomplete to James Bostic, PENALTY UK pass interference (M.J. Devonshire) 7 yards to the UK2, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for 2 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:5196% → 96%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
95.5%
JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 27Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
96.4%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 0
0
95.9%
PENALTY UK unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY VANDY unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 32
-5
96.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 27Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
95.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 0:593% → 23%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+23
97.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 23 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
96.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+7
95.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 7 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
95.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 9 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
95.7%
Mitchell Pryor run for 4 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
95.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Mitchell Pryor for 12 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
95.1%
[SHOT], Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, PENALTY UK holding (Marquez Bembry) 7 yards to the UK7, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.3%
Team run for no gain to the Kent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:30
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q4 9:14
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q3 10:34
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com