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TA&M

Texas A&M 48 at South Carolina 3

SC
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:10 · Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense−54.0Pregame prior−4.8Score differential−43.0Garbage-time factor−14.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:04: Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:05: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:14: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:04: Kellen Mond run for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small PAT MISSED) — TA&M win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:55: Kellen Mond pass complete to Devon Achane for 52 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:36SC 4th & 8 at SC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:01SC 4th & 4 at SC 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:24SC 4th & 10 at SC 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:47TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19TA&M 4th & 2 at SC 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−1.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:05SC 4th & 15 at TA&M 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:04SC 4th & 4 at TA&M 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:03SC 4th & 3 at SC 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:10SC 4th & 3 at TA&M 43, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:11SC 4th & 5 at TA&M 34, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:55SC 4th & 13 at TA&M 31, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 4:04TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:05TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:04TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:55TA&M Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:01TA&M Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:02TA&M Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1922% → 23%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
21.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
21.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
22.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
22.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+7
22.5%
Luke Doty run for 7 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
22.7%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 8
OWN 44
-3
22.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds , Ainias Smith returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2577% → 76%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
22.9%
Kellen Mond run for 13 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
23.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
23.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
23.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 6
OWN 28
-6
23.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 49 yds , Jammie Robinson returns for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3924% → 24%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
23.8%
Shi Smith run for 6 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
24.1%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
23.9%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
23.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:5176% → 77%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
23.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 11 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
23.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 13 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
23.9%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
24.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
24.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 5 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+3
25.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
24.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
25.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+1
25.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
25.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
25.6%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:3524% → 24%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.0%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico PowersSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
23.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
23.6%
Hill, Collin pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
24.6%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
24.3%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
24.1%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+7
23.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 7 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0876% → 76%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
24.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 7 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
23.6%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
24.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1224% → 24%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
24.2%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-4
24.3%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+7
23.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 7 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:4176% → 82%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
24.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
24.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 18 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
23.5%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
23.6%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+10
24.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
23.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+14
23.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 14 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
23.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+2
23.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
18.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.5%
Collin Hill pass intercepted Keldrick Carper return for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:2182% → 82%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
18.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
18.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
17.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-10
17.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+12
17.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
18.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah SpillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:5520% → 19%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
19.5%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
19.1%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+12
18.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Josh Vann for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
50
+28
20.0%
Kevin Harris run for 28 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
20.5%
Collin Hill sacked by Aaron Hansford for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+1
20.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
19.3%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+44
18.7%
Parker White 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:4182% → 92%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
17.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+9
16.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 9 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+52
16.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 52 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
15.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
15.1%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
8.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
10.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4891% → 97%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+36
8.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 36 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
7.8%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
7.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
7.0%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
6.1%
Devon Achane run for 14 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
3.5%
Kellen Mond run for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15INT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:564% → 4%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.4%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
4.1%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
3.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 13 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
4.0%
Collin Hill sacked by DeMarvin Leal and Bobby Brown III for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+4
3.7%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+8
3.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
3.8%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-1
3.9%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
3.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Deshaun FenwickSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 4
OPP 48
-17
3.8%
Collin Hill pass intercepted Leon O'Neal Jr. return for 17 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
1.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Devon Achane for 52 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
1.9%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
1.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Adam Prentice for 3 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
1.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 6 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
1.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:5199% → 100%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
1.1%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
1.0%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
1.0%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.8%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
0.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 7 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
0.7%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
0.7%
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+18
0.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Devon Achane for 18 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
0.6%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
0.5%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
0.5%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
0.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+11
0.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 11 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
0.4%
Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:500% → 0%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
0.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
50
0
0.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
50
+6
0.2%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+1
0.2%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
0.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
0.2%
Ryan Hilinski run for 1 yd to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+6
0.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-2
0.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+6
0.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 6 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-3
0.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+48
0.1%
Parker White 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:43100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Deondre Jackson run for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
0.2%
Earnest Crownover run for 6 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Haynes King run for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
0.1%
Earnest Crownover run for 9 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+6
0.1%
Deondre Jackson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
0.1%
Earnest Crownover run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
0.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+42
0.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 42 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21Uncategorized
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:14
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q2 9:05
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
-6.1
TD · Q3 11:04
Kellen Mond run for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small PAT MISSED)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com