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MISS

Ole Miss 54 at Vanderbilt 21

VAN
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:10 · 36-J.Wheatley punts 31 yards from MIS 38, out of bounds at the MIS 7.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−1.5Pregame prior−38.0Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:58: 2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs 36 yards for a touchdown. — MISS win probability +3.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:17: 8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan runs 43 yards for a touchdown. — VAN win probability +3.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:33: 2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs 1 yard for a touchdown. — MISS win probability +3.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:28: 8-K.Seals complete to 19-C.Pierce. 19-C.Pierce runs 16 yards for a touchdown. — VAN win probability +7.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:56: 2-M.Corral complete to 11-D.Drummond. 11-D.Drummond runs 14 yards for a touchdown. — MISS win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:10VAN 4th & 18 at MISS 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:05VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:03VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:42MISS 4th & 1 at VAN 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−1.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:30VAN 4th & 10 at MISS 42, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:10VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 45, down 34
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:58VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 45, down 40
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:56MISS 4th & 18 at VAN 25, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:28MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 34, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MISS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:47MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:55MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:58MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:17VAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:28VAN Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:56MISS Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:12MISS Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:33VAN Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:0790% → 89%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
10.0%
2-M.Corral complete to 11-D.Drummond. 11-D.Drummond pushed ob at MIS 35 for 6 yards (5-D.Williams).Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+8
10.1%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs ob at MIS 43 for 8 yards.Similar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
10.2%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 50 for 7 yards (10-D.Odeyingbo).Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 0
+4
10.3%
9-J.Ealy to VAN 46 for 4 yards (14-M.Worship).Similar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
10.4%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore pushed ob at VAN 32 for 14 yards (23-J.Mahoney).Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
10.6%
2-M.Corral complete to 1-J.Mingo. 1-J.Mingo to VAN 18 for 14 yards (33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
10.8%
9-J.Ealy to VAN 17 for 1 yard (26-A.Orji,33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+12
10.9%
9-J.Ealy to VAN 5 for 12 yards (14-M.Worship).Similar
Q1 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
10.9%
2-M.Corral to VAN 1 for 4 yards (48-A.Mintze).Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.7%
24-S.Conner runs 1 yard for a touchdown. Penalty on VAN 48-A.Mintze, Offside, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:3111% → 12%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.9%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 30 for 5 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
11.0%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 48 for 18 yards (46-M.Sanogo).Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
11.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to MIS 47 for 5 yards (46-M.Sanogo,21-A.Finley).Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
11.5%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 44 for 3 yards (91-H.Northern,55-B.Brown).Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+14
11.7%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to MIS 30 for 14 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
12.0%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to MIS 31 for -1 yard (46-M.Sanogo,89-R.Anderson).Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+3
12.2%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 28 for 3 yards (2-J.Jordan).Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-1
12.2%
8-K.Seals sacked at MIS 37 for -9 yards, FUMBLES (0-L.Henry). 21-K.Brooks to MIS 38 for -1 yard (89-R.Anderson).Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 18
OPP 38
+31
12.0%
36-J.Wheatley punts 31 yards from MIS 38, out of bounds at the MIS 7.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 4:0788% → 89%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
12.1%
24-S.Conner to MIS 5 for -2 yards (10-D.Odeyingbo,90-C.Tidd).Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+6
12.2%
2-M.Corral complete to 13-B.Sanders. 13-B.Sanders pushed ob at MIS 11 for 6 yards (5-D.Williams).Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+39
12.4%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to MIS 50 for 39 yards (8-A.Williams).Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+3
11.9%
2-M.Corral to VAN 47 for 3 yards (7-D.Moore,14-M.Worship).Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
12.1%
2-M.Corral scrambles to VAN 47 for no gain (14-M.Worship).Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+13
12.3%
24-S.Conner to VAN 34 for 13 yards (14-M.Worship,13-B.Harris).Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
12.3%
2-M.Corral complete to 1-J.Mingo. 1-J.Mingo to VAN 23 for 11 yards (6-G.Jeudy).Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
12.3%
8-E.Moore to VAN 19 for 4 yards (7-D.Moore).Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+11
12.4%
9-J.Ealy pushed ob at VAN 8 for 11 yards (5-D.Williams).Similar
Q1 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
12.5%
9-J.Ealy to VAN 9 for -1 yard (13-B.Harris).Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
10.7%
2-M.Corral complete to 84-K.Yeboah. 84-K.Yeboah runs 9 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4411% → 11%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.1%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 27 for 2 yards (22-T.Tisdale,95-T.Robinson).Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
11.3%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 28 for 1 yard (0-L.Henry).Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
11.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan to VAN 32 for 4 yards (0-L.Henry).Similar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
11.4%
36-J.Wheatley punts 4 yards from VAN 32, out of bounds at the VAN 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
1 play · 36 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
7.8%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs 36 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:269% → 12%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
8.5%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 13 for 5 yards (89-R.Anderson,32-J.Jones).Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+9
8.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan to VAN 22 for 9 yards (13-S.Williams,32-J.Jones).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
8.3%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 25 for 3 yards (2-J.Jordan). Penalty on MIS 55-K.Hill, Illegal use of hands, 15 yards, enforced at VAN 25.Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
8.6%
8-K.Seals pushed ob at VAN 41 for 1 yard (91-H.Northern).Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
8.6%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 46 for 5 yards (0-L.Henry,32-J.Jones).Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
8.5%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to MIS 46 for 8 yards (6-M.Battle).Similar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
8.6%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 43 for 3 yards (0-L.Henry,32-J.Jones).Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+43
12.4%
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan runs 43 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:2789% → 93%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
11.2%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to MIS 34 for 11 yards (28-A.George).Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
10.9%
9-J.Ealy pushed ob at MIS 39 for 5 yards (26-A.Orji).Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
10.7%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 43 for 4 yards. Penalty on MIS 78-J.James, Holding, 10 yards, enforced at MIS 43.Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+15
11.1%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to MIS 48 for 15 yards (23-J.Mahoney).Similar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
10.7%
Penalty on MIS 72-R.Newman, False start, 5 yards, enforced at MIS 48. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+19
10.9%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore pushed ob at VAN 38 for 19 yards (33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
10.5%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to VAN 5 for 33 yards (33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q2 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
10.5%
2-M.Corral to VAN 1 for 4 yards (23-J.Mahoney).Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.7%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs 1 yard for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:239% → 9%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 25 for no gain (21-A.Finley,9-B.Mack).Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.0%
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan to VAN 30 for 5 yards (2-J.Jordan).Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
9.0%
8-K.Seals complete to 21-K.Brooks. 21-K.Brooks to VAN 38 for 8 yards (33-C.Johnson).Similar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
9.3%
Penalty on VAN 57-D.Birchmeier, False start, 5 yards, enforced at VAN 38. No Play.Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
8.8%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 33 for no gain (22-T.Tisdale).Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
8.8%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 11-T.Alexander.Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
8.7%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 11-T.Alexander.Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+55
8.7%
36-J.Wheatley punts 55 yards from VAN 33 Downed at the MIS 12.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 3:4993% → 96%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
7.2%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to MIS 26 for 14 yards (5-D.Williams,33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
7.2%
2-M.Corral complete to 13-B.Sanders. 13-B.Sanders to MIS 33 for 7 yards (6-G.Jeudy).Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
7.1%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 33 for no gain (28-A.George).Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+14
7.4%
2-M.Corral complete to 84-K.Yeboah. 84-K.Yeboah pushed ob at MIS 47 for 14 yards (7-D.Moore).Similar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
6.8%
2-M.Corral complete to 1-J.Mingo. 1-J.Mingo to VAN 42 for 11 yards (5-D.Williams,28-A.George).Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
6.7%
2-M.Corral complete to 1-J.Mingo. 1-J.Mingo pushed ob at VAN 33 for 9 yards (5-D.Williams).Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
6.4%
2-M.Corral incomplete. Intended for 8-E.Moore.Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
6.6%
9-J.Ealy to VAN 33 for no gain (5-D.Williams,23-J.Mahoney).Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
7.3%
9-J.Ealy to VAN 28 for 5 yards (7-D.Moore,33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.3%
2-M.Corral incomplete. Intended for 13-B.Sanders.Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
3.9%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs 28 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:305% → 10%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.9%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 34 for 9 yards (2-J.Jordan).Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
4.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 21-K.Brooks. 21-K.Brooks to VAN 42 for 8 yards (4-T.Knight).Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
3.0%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 44 for 2 yards (89-R.Anderson).Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+13
2.9%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to MIS 43 for 13 yards (46-M.Sanogo).Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.1%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 7-C.Johnson.Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
3.1%
8-K.Seals complete to 4-J.Bostic. 4-J.Bostic to MIS 31 for 12 yards (46-M.Sanogo).Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
3.1%
Penalty on MIS 13-S.Williams, Unnecessary roughness, 15 yards, enforced at MIS 31. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
10.1%
8-K.Seals complete to 19-C.Pierce. 19-C.Pierce runs 16 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11Uncategorized
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:1694% → 94%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
6.4%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 41 for 16 yards (33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
5.8%
2-M.Corral complete to 1-J.Mingo. 1-J.Mingo runs ob at MIS 49 for 8 yards.Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
5.5%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to VAN 46 for 5 yards (13-B.Harris).Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.6%
2-M.Corral incomplete. Intended for 1-J.Mingo.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:308% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.3%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 29 for 4 yards (32-J.Jones).Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
8.4%
8-K.Seals complete to 19-C.Pierce. 19-C.Pierce to VAN 45 for 16 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
9.1%
8-K.Seals complete to 19-C.Pierce. 19-C.Pierce to MIS 47 for 8 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
9.4%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 42 for 5 yards (90-N.Haynes,9-B.Mack).Similar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
9.2%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 43 for -1 yard (9-B.Mack).Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+1
8.8%
9-R.Griffin to MIS 42 for 1 yard (13-S.Williams).Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
8.7%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to MIS 42 for no gain (32-J.Jones).Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 10
OPP 42
+33
8.4%
36-J.Wheatley punts 33 yards from MIS 42, out of bounds at the MIS 9.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 2:2694% → 98%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
5.7%
2-M.Corral to MIS 21 for 12 yards (4-R.Haynie).Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
5.7%
2-M.Corral complete to 11-D.Drummond. 11-D.Drummond pushed ob at MIS 25 for 4 yards (4-R.Haynie).Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
5.6%
2-M.Corral complete to 11-D.Drummond. 11-D.Drummond pushed ob at MIS 30 for 5 yards (4-R.Haynie).Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
5.6%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 34 for 4 yards (26-A.Orji,13-B.Harris).Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
5.5%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to MIS 46 for 12 yards (23-J.Mahoney).Similar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
5.1%
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to MIS 49 for 3 yards (23-J.Mahoney,14-M.Worship).Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+37
4.9%
2-M.Corral complete to 1-J.Mingo. 1-J.Mingo to VAN 14 for 37 yards (28-A.George).Similar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
2.1%
2-M.Corral complete to 11-D.Drummond. 11-D.Drummond runs 14 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:2898% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
2.1%
2-M.Corral complete to 24-S.Conner. 24-S.Conner to VAN 20 for 1 yard (26-A.Orji).Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
2.0%
2-M.Corral incomplete. Intended for 13-B.Sanders. Penalty on VAN 4-R.Haynie, Pass interference, 10 yards, enforced at VAN 20. No Play.Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
2.0%
24-S.Conner to VAN 9 for 1 yard (33-D.Jerkins,9-D.Davis).Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.0%
2-M.Corral scrambles, pushed ob at VAN 9 for no gain (48-A.Mintze).Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.9%
2-M.Corral complete to 84-K.Yeboah. 84-K.Yeboah runs 9 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:562% → 2%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.5%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 31 for 6 yards (0-L.Henry,5-J.Haynes).Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
1.3%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 31 for no gain (22-T.Tisdale,95-T.Robinson).Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
1.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 37 for 6 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.3%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 19-C.Pierce.Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
1.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 42 for 5 yards (4-T.Knight).Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
1.2%
8-K.Seals scrambles, pushed ob at VAN 45 for 3 yards (33-C.Johnson).Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+43
1.5%
36-J.Wheatley punts 43 yards from VAN 45 to MIS 12, fair catch by 8-E.Moore.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 3:1799% → 100%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
0.8%
2-M.Corral complete to 9-J.Ealy. 9-J.Ealy to MIS 21 for 9 yards (26-A.Orji,14-M.Worship).Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 1
OWN 21
0
0.7%
10-J.Plumlee scrambles to MIS 21 for no gain (96-N.Clifton).Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+13
0.6%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 34 for 13 yards (23-J.Mahoney,16-B.Anderson).Similar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
0.6%
9-J.Ealy to MIS 48 for 14 yards (14-M.Worship,33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
0.5%
24-S.Conner pushed ob at VAN 44 for 8 yards (50-E.Barr).Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+7
0.5%
10-J.Plumlee to VAN 37 for 7 yards (13-B.Harris,33-D.Jerkins).Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.5%
10-J.Plumlee incomplete. Intended for 5-D.Jackson.Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
0.5%
10-J.Plumlee incomplete. Intended for 8-E.Moore. Penalty on VAN 33-D.Jerkins, Pass interference, 15 yards, enforced at VAN 37. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.5%
10-J.Plumlee incomplete. Intended for 13-B.Sanders.Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.5%
10-J.Plumlee runs 22 yards for a touchdown. Penalty on MIS 50-J.Cunningham, Holding, 10 yards, enforced at VAN 22. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+5
0.5%
Team penalty on MIS, Illegal substitution, 5 yards, enforced at VAN 32. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 25
OPP 37
+37
0.5%
10-J.Plumlee complete to 13-B.Sanders. 13-B.Sanders runs 37 yards for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18INT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.4%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 33 for 8 yards (4-T.Knight).Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
0.3%
9-R.Griffin to VAN 40 for 7 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
0.4%
9-R.Griffin to VAN 45 for 5 yards (32-J.Jones).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
0.3%
9-R.Griffin to VAN 46 for 1 yard (50-P.Lucas).Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-1
0.3%
21-K.Brooks to VAN 45 for -1 yard (0-L.Henry).Similar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+7
0.3%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson pushed ob at MIS 48 for 7 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.3%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 44 for 4 yards (21-A.Finley,36-A.Cistrunk).Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-21
0.3%
8-K.Seals incomplete. INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Finley at MIS 21. 21-A.Finley to MIS 42 for 21 yards (11-T.Alexander).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
0.4%
25-H.Parrish pushed ob at VAN 31 for 27 yards (44-C.James).Similar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
0.3%
10-J.Plumlee to VAN 17 for 14 yards (33-D.Jerkins,88-M.Owusu).Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
0.3%
10-J.Plumlee sacked at VAN 19 for -2 yards (12-B.DeVault-Smith).Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+3
0.3%
10-J.Plumlee complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore to VAN 16 for 3 yards (50-E.Barr). Penalty on MIS 50-J.Cunningham, Holding, 10 yards, enforced at VAN 19. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 22
OPP 29
-8
0.3%
5-D.Jackson to VAN 37 for -8 yards (44-C.James).Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 30
OPP 37
+12
0.3%
25-H.Parrish to VAN 25 for 12 yards (9-D.Davis).Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 18
OPP 25
0
0.3%
92-L.Logan 42 yards Field Goal is No Good.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:170% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 2-A.Abdur-Rahman.Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan to VAN 32 for 7 yards (2-J.Jordan,36-A.Cistrunk).Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan to VAN 36 for 4 yards (21-A.Finley,36-A.Cistrunk).Similar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 48 for 12 yards (6-M.Battle).Similar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.2%
9-R.Griffin to MIS 47 for 5 yards (2-J.Jordan).Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 19-C.Pierce. 19-C.Pierce pushed ob at MIS 41 for 6 yards (29-L.Daniel).Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 9-R.Griffin. 9-R.Griffin to MIS 38 for 3 yards (36-A.Cistrunk).Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
0.2%
9-R.Griffin to MIS 35 for 3 yards (2-J.Jordan).Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
0.2%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 2-A.Abdur-Rahman. Team penalty on MIS, Offside, 5 yards, enforced at MIS 35. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 4-J.Bostic.Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 21-K.Brooks. 21-K.Brooks to MIS 14 for 16 yards (29-L.Daniel).Similar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
0.2%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 11 for 3 yards (50-P.Lucas,17-D.Clowney).Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
0.2%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 19-C.Pierce.Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+9
0.2%
8-K.Seals complete to 21-K.Brooks. 21-K.Brooks to MIS 2 for 9 yards (4-T.Knight).Similar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.2%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 2 for no gain (93-S.David).Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
21-K.Brooks to MIS 1 for 1 yard (93-S.David,30-Z.Baker).Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
21-K.Brooks runs 1 yard for a touchdown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
25-H.Parrish to MIS 33 for 8 yards (50-E.Barr).Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
25-H.Parrish to MIS 36 for 3 yards (4-R.Haynie).Similar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
10-J.Plumlee to MIS 40 for 4 yards (50-E.Barr,99-M.Langham).Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
0.1%
25-H.Parrish to MIS 35 for -5 yards (88-M.Owusu).Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-1
0.1%
10-J.Plumlee to MIS 34 for -1 yard (50-E.Barr,12-B.DeVault-Smith).Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+51
0.2%
96-M.Brown punts 51 yards from MIS 34. 7-C.Johnson to VAN 22 for 7 yards. Penalty on VAN 11-J.Harris, Illegal crackback block by offense, 11 yards, enforced at VAN 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
0.1%
8-K.Seals incomplete. Intended for 88-J.Harrison.Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
0.1%
25-M.Pryor to VAN 20 for 9 yards (36-A.Cistrunk).Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+10
0.1%
25-M.Pryor to VAN 30 for 10 yards (21-A.Finley).Similar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.1%
8-K.Seals complete to 7-C.Johnson. 7-C.Johnson runs ob at VAN 36 for 6 yards.Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
0.1%
8-K.Seals complete to 21-K.Brooks. 21-K.Brooks to MIS 16, FUMBLES (36-A.Cistrunk). 21-A.Finley to MIS 16 for no gain.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
0.1%
25-H.Parrish to MIS 19 for 3 yards (9-D.Davis,44-C.James).Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
0.1%
25-H.Parrish to MIS 22 for 3 yards (9-D.Davis).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:28
8-K.Seals complete to 19-C.Pierce. 19-C.Pierce runs 16 yards for a touchdown.
+7.1
TD · Q2 12:17
8-K.Seals complete to 86-B.Bresnahan. 86-B.Bresnahan runs 43 yards for a touchdown.
+3.8
TD · Q2 8:33
2-M.Corral complete to 8-E.Moore. 8-E.Moore runs 1 yard for a touchdown.
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com