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LSU

LSU 11 at Auburn 48

AUB
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+28.8Blowout margin+15.2Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Pregame prior+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:13: Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +5.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +10.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Cade York 50 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +8.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:35: Bo Nix run for 5 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +6.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:55: Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 14:16LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03AUB 4th & 1 at LSU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:13LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07AUB 4th & 5 at LSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54LSU 4th & 4 at AUB 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:45LSU 4th & 5 at AUB 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:45AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:36LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:54LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 29, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00LSU 4th & 4 at midfield, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:05LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 36, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:59AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 33, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:39AUB 4th & 6 at LSU 40, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:47LSU 4th & 1 at AUB 43, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:59LSU 4th & 7 at AUB 25, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 12:13AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:40AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:35AUB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:55AUB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:33AUB Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:37AUB Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:43LSU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3642% → 42%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
57.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
57.6%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 47 yds, downed at the Aub 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:0258% → 58%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
57.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
57.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
57.7%
Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
58.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
58.1%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
57.9%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
58.0%
Aidan Marshall punt for 44 yds, downed at the LSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:3842% → 43%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
57.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+9
57.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Tory Carter for 9 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
57.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
57.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 4 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+4
57.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
57.2%
TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
57.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
57.5%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:5858% → 58%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
57.7%
Eli Stove run for 9 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-3
58.2%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+8
57.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 8 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
57.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to J.J. Pegues for 5 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
58.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+10
58.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 10 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
58.8%
Anthony Schwartz run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
50
+4
59.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
58.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian CapersSimilar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
58.1%
Aidan Marshall punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5242% → 44%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
57.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Trey Palmer for 24 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
56.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
56.1%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+10
56.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 10 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
55.7%
TJ Finley sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 46Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+3
56.4%
TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+7
56.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 7 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+54
56.5%
Cade York 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:3959% → 60%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
58.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 38 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
60.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+18
60.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 18 yds Seth Williams fumbled, recovered by LSUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:1143% → 44%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
57.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Racey McMath for 22 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
55.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2661% → 66%
Q2 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
60.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:2536% → 36%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Chris CurrySimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.1%
Chris Curry run for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
63.8%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
63.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
62.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 12 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 4 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
61.9%
Chris Curry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 45Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+2
62.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Racey McMath for 2 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
63.9%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4165% → 66%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
65.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
66.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
66.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-5
68.3%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
66.2%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
65.6%
Aidan Marshall punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:0834% → 26%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Racey McMath for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
73.6%
TJ Finley sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 9 yards TJ Finley fumbled, recovered by Aub Christian Tutt , return for 20 yds, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:2127% → 25%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
73.3%
John Emery Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
72.6%
TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
72.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
73.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
73.7%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
73.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
75.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 54 yds, downed at the Aub 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 2:4875% → 92%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+26
74.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 26 yds to the Aub 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
76.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for no gain to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
76.0%
Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
78.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 28 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
78.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 4 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+12
78.9%
Eli Stove run for 12 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
79.1%
Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
91.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:2712% → 21%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
88.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 18 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.7%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Racey McMathSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
88.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Racey McMath for 14 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+50
79.1%
Cade York 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5086% → 96%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
86.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to J.J. Pegues for 16 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
88.2%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
88.4%
Eli Stove run for no gain to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+12
88.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 12 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
89.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian CapersSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
90.1%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
90.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 23 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.4%
Bo Nix run for 5 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Big Kat Bryant return for no gain to the LSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1097% → 99%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
96.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to J.J. Pegues for 8 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+7
97.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
96.9%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the LSU 2Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Racey McMath for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 51 yds , Eli Stove returns for 11 yds to the Aub 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:5699% → 100%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian CapersSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+21
99.4%
Bo Nix run for 21 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+12
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 12 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.5%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+10
99.5%
Bo Nix run for 10 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+6
99.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20Uncategorized
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+17
99.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 9 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-3
99.8%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
50
0
99.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
1 play · 91 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+91
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 91 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 8 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
99.9%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 5 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+18
99.9%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 51 yds , Mark-Antony Richards returns for 18 yds to the Aub 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 5 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Mark-Antony Richards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 33Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 9 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 16 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 43 yds for a TD, Max Johnson 2 point rush attempt goodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 6 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+11
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 11 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
100.0%
Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 5 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 9 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 3 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 12 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-7
100.0%
Max Johnson sacked by T.D. Moultry for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 17
OPP 35
+10
100.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Chris Curry for 10 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 7
OPP 25
-5
100.0%
Max Johnson sacked by Marquis Burks for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 7 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 2 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Mark-Antony Richards run for 3 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:40
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+10.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Cade York 50 yd FG GOOD
-8.1
TD · Q3 11:35
Bo Nix run for 5 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com