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ARK

Arkansas 31 at Texas A&M 42

TA&M
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:56 · Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 11 yds to the TexAM 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+29.9Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:43: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds for a TD TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Layden Robinson) to the Ark 8 (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +3.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:13: Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyson Morris for 1 yd for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK) — ARK win probability +5.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:13: Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +4.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:22: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:36: Rakeem Boyd run for 14 yds for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK) — ARK win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARK made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:58TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:56ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:18ARK 4th & 9 at TA&M 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:38ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:06ARK 4th & 13 at TA&M 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:22ARK 4th & 13 at TA&M 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:32ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:39TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:18ARK 4th & 17 at ARK 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:39TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:26ARK 4th & 5 at TA&M 28, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:05TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARK made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:09ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:57TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:34TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:43TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:13ARK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:13TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:22TA&M Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:56TA&M Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:09ARK Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:36ARK Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4786% → 85%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 15 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
85.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+5
85.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
85.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
85.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:3915% → 18%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
85.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 10 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
85.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 8 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
84.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 5 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
84.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+28
84.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 28 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
84.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
84.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 7 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+5
84.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 5 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
83.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
83.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the TexAM 7Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+1
83.5%
Treylon Burks run for 1 yd to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 6 yds for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0582% → 83%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
82.2%
Kellen Mond run for 10 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.9%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
81.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
81.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 15 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
81.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
81.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 7 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
80.8%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
83.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 35 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5418% → 18%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
82.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
82.1%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+11
82.3%
Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 11 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:1883% → 85%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
82.5%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
82.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+6
82.1%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Jones, Hezekiah, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference (Brown, Montaric) 6 yards to the ARKANSAS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
82.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 15 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Catalon) to the Ark 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
85.0%
Ainias Smith run for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:1016% → 17%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.0%
Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
83.3%
Trelon Smith run for 9 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
83.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 13 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
82.9%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
82.6%
Trelon Smith run for 8 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
82.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trelon Smith for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
82.1%
Treylon Burks run for no gain to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
82.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
83.2%
A.J. Reed 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:3184% → 88%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
83.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
83.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 37 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dan Moore Jr.) to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+7
83.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 7 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+14
83.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 14 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
84.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-10
84.4%
Spiller, Isaiah rush for 9 yards to the ARKANSAS39, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Green, Kenyon) 10 yards to the TEXASAM42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
83.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+35
83.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 20 yds to the TEXASAM 38 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Julius Coates) to the Ark 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
84.9%
Ainias Smith run for 8 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+8
84.8%
Ainias Smith run for 8 yds to the Ark 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
84.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Ark 6Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds for a TD TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Layden Robinson) to the Ark 8 (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2413% → 20%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.1%
Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
86.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 9 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.6%
Treylon Burks run for no gain to the Ark 41Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
86.7%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Buddy Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 40Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+9
87.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 9 yds to the Ark 49Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+36
86.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 36 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
85.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 14 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyson Morris for 1 yd for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:4883% → 89%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
83.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 9 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
83.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
83.8%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+8
83.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 8 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
84.1%
Kellen Mond run for 14 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
84.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 32 yds to the Ark 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:0012% → 11%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
87.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 16 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
87.3%
Franks, Feleipe pass incomplete to Burks, Treylon, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Johnson, Antonio) 15 yards to the TEXASAM44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
86.2%
Franks, Feleipe pass incomplete to Burks, Treylon, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (O'Neal Jr., Leon) 15 yards to the TEXASAM29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
85.3%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+7
88.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-6
87.9%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+49
89.3%
A.J. Reed 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
91.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 4:3511% → 12%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 8 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
88.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
88.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-4
88.4%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 38Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+22
89.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 7 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Antonio Johnson) to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
88.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
88.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 8 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
87.4%
Franks, Feleipe pass incomplete to Woods, Mike, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Jones, Myles) 15 yards to the TEXASAM14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
87.4%
Treylon Burks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
87.6%
Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 16 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Ark Feleipe FranksSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 12
OPP 16
-10
88.7%
Franks, Feleipe pass complete to Boyd, Rakeem for 10 yards to the TEXASAM6, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding (Cunningham, Myron) 10 yards to the TEXASAM26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 22
OPP 26
+9
90.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 9 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+34
88.2%
A.J. Reed 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5488% → 96%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
88.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
88.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 8 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.7%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
89.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 10 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
89.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 26 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
89.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+9
89.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 9 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
96.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:445% → 5%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
94.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
94.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trey KnoxSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
95.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Hudson HenrySimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+10
95.1%
Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 10 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:3197% → 100%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
96.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+13
96.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
96.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+14
96.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 14 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.5%
Devon Achane run for 30 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:421% → 4%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 9 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+28
99.0%
Feleipe Franks run for 28 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
98.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 12 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Trelon Smith run for no gain to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
96.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 16 yds for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:2498% → 98%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
97.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dorian Gerald) to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
97.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-10
98.0%
Smith, Ainias rush for 4 yards to the TEXASAM47, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Green, Kenyon) 10 yards to the TEXASAM33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+3
97.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
97.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 22 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to De'Vion WarrenSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-7
97.0%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Bobby Brown III for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 39Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 17
OWN 39
+2
97.4%
Reid Bauer punt for 51 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3398% → 98%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
98.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-3
98.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+5
98.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
98.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
97.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+15
97.6%
Feleipe Franks run for 15 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.4%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyson MorrisSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
97.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+8
98.2%
Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 5
OPP 28
0
98.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
98.9%
Achane, Devon rush for 4 yards to the TEXASAM32, PENALTY TEXASAM illegal formation 5 yards to the TEXASAM23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-1
98.8%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+4
98.9%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ark 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:211% → 4%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 21 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 9 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
99.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
99.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 16 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 7 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
96.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 14 yds for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:22
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 4:13
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Tyson Morris for 1 yd for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 1:13
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com