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AUB

Auburn 22 at South Carolina 30

SC
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:24 · Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds, downed at the Aub 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense−5.4Pregame prior−6.8Garbage-time factor−1.7Score differential−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:49: Kevin Harris run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +7.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:24: Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — AUB win probability +4.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:35: Collin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q3 6:31: Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds for a TD AUBURN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SC win probability +18.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:54: Kevin Harris run for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +26.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:32AUB 4th & 7 at SC 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:32SC 4th & 25 at SC 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33SC 4th & 3 at SC 47, down 9
    Close callPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:24SC 4th & 10 at SC 45, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:22AUB 4th & 4 at SC 21, up 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−12.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:31AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−3.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:13SC 4th & 4 at AUB 21, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−10.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:39AUB 4th & 5 at SC 5, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%−2.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:13SC 4th & 6 at AUB 44, up 8
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:09AUB 4th & 5 at SC 12, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 12.7 ptsWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%−12.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−16.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:33AUB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:49SC Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:24AUB Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35SC Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:31SC Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:54SC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.0%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
40.0%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
40.0%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
40.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 53 yds, downed at the Aub 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:5760% → 59%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 21Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+22
40.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to D.J. Williams for 22 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
40.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
40.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 11 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
40.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 6 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
40.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
40.3%
Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
40.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 9 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
40.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
40.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
40.3%
Bo Nix sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+4
40.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 4 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
41.3%
Anders Carlson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.3%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
41.3%
Collin Hill sacked by Zakoby McClain for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-9
40.9%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 23 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jovaughn Gwyn) to the SCaro 13Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-3
40.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
40.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:0159% → 62%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
41.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 8 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+11
41.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
41.1%
Eli Stove run for 12 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
40.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 14 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
40.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
40.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
38.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
39.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 2
OWN 17
0
39.8%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+12
39.3%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 12 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
39.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-4
39.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+15
39.2%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith, PENALTY AU pass interference (Roger McCreary) 15 yards to the SC40, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
40.2%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Smoke MondaySimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
40.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
40.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
39.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds, downed at the Aub 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:3461% → 61%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+22
38.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 22 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Luke Deal for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
38.4%
AUBURN Penalty, false start (Brandon Council) to the Aub 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
38.9%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Jaycee Horn return for no gain to the Aub 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:0040% → 47%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
39.6%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+9
39.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
39.6%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+9
39.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds to the Aub 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
46.8%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2557% → 65%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
43.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
43.1%
Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+44
42.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 44 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
40.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+11
40.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 11 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
35.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 20 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
36.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete, broken up by Owen PappoeSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
36.2%
Collin Hill run for no gain to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
35.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
34.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds, downed at the Aub 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0063% → 65%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
36.8%
D.J. Williams run for 6 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+6
36.7%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
36.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 7 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
36.0%
Bo Nix run for 7 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
35.5%
D.J. Williams run for no gain to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
35.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian CapersSimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+5
37.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 7 yards to the AU41 (John Dixon), PENALTY SC offside (K. Enagbare) 5 yards to the AU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
35.0%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Jaylin Dickerson return for no gain to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:2835% → 47%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
35.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
35.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+10
34.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
36.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 6 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+6
36.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
36.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
36.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
35.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
36.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Josh Vann for 11 yds to the Aub 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
36.5%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.1%
Collin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:3258% → 60%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
42.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 5 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
40.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 8 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
40.1%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-6
40.3%
Bo Nix sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 4:3858% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
41.8%
AUBURN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
42.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, PENALTY SC encroachment (Jabari Ellis) 5 yards to the AU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
42.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, PENALTY SC holding (Jaycee Horn) 10 yards to the AU40, 1ST DOWN AU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
40.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 12 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
39.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
39.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
40.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 5 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
39.8%
D.J. Williams run for 10 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
38.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 0
0
38.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, QB hurry by Brad Johnson, PENALTY AU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY SC pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
38.7%
Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
39.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
35.5%
Anders Carlson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5137% → 61%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
37.2%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
39.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
38.1%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Smoke Monday) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
50
+5
40.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
41.0%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+19
40.5%
Kevin Harris run for 19 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
42.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 19 yds to the Aub 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
42.5%
Collin Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 10Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
61.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds for a TD AUBURN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
54.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli Stove, broken up by Tonka HemingwaySimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
55.1%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 32Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
56.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian CapersSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+3
57.6%
Aidan Marshall punt for 42 yds , Jammie Robinson returns for 3 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16INT
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:0057% → 62%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
57.0%
Dakereon Joyner run for 14 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
59.7%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
60.3%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 3
50
+15
59.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Keveon Mullins, PENALTY AU pass interference (Smoke Monday) 15 yards to the AU35, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
62.1%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+10
62.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Adam Prentice for 10 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
62.0%
Collin Hill pass intercepted Owen Pappoe return for 1 yd to the Aub 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
56.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+10
56.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 10 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
55.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
55.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-34
57.0%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Jaycee Horn return for 34 yds to the Aub 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
83.2%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:5421% → 19%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.7%
Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
77.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
79.8%
Bo Nix rush for 5 yards to the AU34 (Ernest Jones), PENALTY AU holding 10 yards to the AU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
81.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 12 yds to the Aub 31 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive holding (Seth Williams) to the Aub 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
81.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 10 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
80.6%
Aidan Marshall punt for 49 yds, downed at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:2884% → 91%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
84.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaro Collin HillSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+8
83.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+32
83.3%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 32 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
86.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 9 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+8
86.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the Aub 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
86.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
86.7%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+2
85.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
90.7%
Parker White 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21FG
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:349% → 15%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
90.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 30 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
88.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 19 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
87.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 19 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
87.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
87.0%
D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q4 6:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
85.3%
Anders Carlson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 3:2691% → 95%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.5%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
90.8%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
90.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.6%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
91.3%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+14
90.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith, PENALTY AU pass interference (Roger McCreary) 14 yards to the AU48, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
91.6%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 12
50
+1
95.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+5
95.5%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
94.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:065% → 7%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
95.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 12 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+17
95.5%
Bo Nix run for 17 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+16
94.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 16 yds to the SOCAROLINA 35 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+18
93.3%
Bo Nix run for 18 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
92.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to D.J. Williams for 4 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-9
92.3%
Bo Nix sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 22 AUBURN Penalty, intentional grounding (Bo Nix) to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+10
94.6%
Bo Nix run for 10 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+3
92.6%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9 AUBURN Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:54
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+26.2
TD · Q3 6:31
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds for a TD AUBURN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+18.9
TD · Q2 0:35
Collin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com