Try the model
LSU

LSU 41 at Vanderbilt 7

VAN
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · FirstBank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:41 · Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior−41.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:28: Myles Brennan pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:07: Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 8 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK) — VAN win probability +5.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:12: Myles Brennan pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 51 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:25: Cade York 53 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:10: Cade York 31 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 10LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:41LSU 4th & 7 at VAN 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:36VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:09VAN 4th & 4 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:26LSU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:28VAN 4th & 4 at LSU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:16VAN 4th & 4 at LSU 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:09VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:25LSU 4th & 9 at VAN 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:25VAN 4th & 26 at VAN 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:10LSU 4th & 3 at VAN 13, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:10VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:10VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:57LSU 4th & 1 at VAN 44, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:09LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:28LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:07VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:12LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:46LSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:11LSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
8.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-2
8.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden Harrison for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
8.2%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+16
8.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 51 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 16 yds to the LSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
8.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+8
8.6%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 8 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
8.6%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jontre KirklinSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
8.6%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 8 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
8.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-5
8.7%
LSU Penalty, false start (Arik Gilbert) to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
8.7%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+22
9.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 22 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
9.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 5 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
9.6%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
9.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 5 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
9.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 9 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-5
9.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Cam Johnson) to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
9.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
9.6%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
9.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:4489% → 90%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
11.1%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Racey McMathSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
11.1%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 15 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
11.0%
John Emery Jr. run for 14 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
10.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
10.7%
John Emery Jr. run for 17 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
10.1%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 28 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
10.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce for 19 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
10.8%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
10.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Justin Ball) to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+5
10.6%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+6
10.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 4
50
0
10.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
11.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+8
11.2%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 8 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
11.1%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 22 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
10.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-5
10.7%
LSU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 8
50
0
10.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 8
50
0
10.8%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 8
50
0
11.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:2712% → 12%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
12.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-5
12.2%
Ken Seals sacked by Siaki Ika for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
11.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce, broken up by Andre AnthonySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+28
11.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 38 , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 28 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:3588% → 91%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
11.7%
John Emery Jr. run for 17 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
11.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-2
11.6%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 16Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
9.3%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
10.0%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
10.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 19 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
10.4%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
10.4%
Ken Seals run for 2 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+4
10.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 4 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
10.3%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-Rahman, broken up by Eli RicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
9.1%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
9.2%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete, broken up by Donovan KaufmanSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-2
9.3%
Myles Brennan pass intercepted Randall Haynie return for 2 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:5910% → 16%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
10.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for no gain to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+40
10.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 40 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
10.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
10.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 4 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+4
10.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the LSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
10.6%
Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
10.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden Harrison for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 8Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
15.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 8 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5586% → 91%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
13.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
13.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 16 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
9.5%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 51 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 3:4711% → 11%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
10.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 12 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
11.3%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 6 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
11.3%
Ken Seals run for 2 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
11.1%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
11.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 8 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
11.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the LSU 11Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
11.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
11.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the LSU 8Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
11.3%
Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the LSU 4Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
11.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
10.9%
Pierson Cooke 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
9.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
9.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
10.0%
Myles Brennan run for no gain to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
10.3%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
10.4%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
10.5%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
10.3%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ja'Veon MarlowSimilar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+10
10.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 53 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 10 yds to the LSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:5391% → 92%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
9.1%
Myles Brennan pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 2 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
9.1%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 10 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
8.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Trey Palmer for 12 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
8.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
8.8%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
9.0%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jontre KirklinSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+53
7.9%
Cade York 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
8.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 10 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
8.5%
Ken Seals sacked by Travez Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
8.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for no gain to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-8
8.2%
Ken Seals sacked by Andre Anthony for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 24 VANDERBILT Penalty, intentional grounding (Ken Seals) to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 21
OWN 24
-5
8.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Brayden DeVault-Smith) to the Vandy 19Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 26
OWN 19
+48
8.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 49 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 48 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0393% → 96%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
6.8%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jontre Kirklin, broken up by Dashaun JerkinsSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
7.0%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jontre KirklinSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+7
7.1%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 7 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
4.0%
Cade York 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
5.6%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
5.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
5.7%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
5.5%
Dashaun Jerkins run for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
5.7%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
5.7%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
5.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:2997% → 99%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
2.6%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 9 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
2.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.6%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 12 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.4%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
2.4%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert, broken up by Lorenza SurgersSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+22
2.5%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Racey McMath for 22 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
2.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+7
2.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
1.3%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 29 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22INT
14 plays · 66 yds · 0:462% → 3%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-9
2.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
2.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 17 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
2.6%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 3 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
2.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+1
2.8%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 1 yd to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
2.8%
[SH], Seals, Ken pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahman, A, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Derek Stingley) 15 yards to the LSU34, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
3.0%
Jayden Harrison run for 16 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
3.0%
Seals, Ken pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahman, A, PENALTY LSU offside (Neil Farrell) 5 yards to the LSU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 13
0
2.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+7
2.9%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
2.9%
Mike Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-21
3.4%
Ken Seals pass intercepted Todd Harris Jr. return for 21 yds to the LSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
0.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+9
0.4%
[SH], Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Jeudy-Lally, G) 9 yards to the LSU31, 1ST DOWN LSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
0.4%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 13 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
0.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
0.4%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 16 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
0.4%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 17 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.2%
John Emery Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Ken Seals pass intercepted Eli Ricks return for no gain to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25Uncategorized
12 plays · 45 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
0.2%
Myles Brennan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 7
50
0
0.2%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 7
50
+6
0.2%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Alex Adams for 6 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+7
0.2%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Koy Moore for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
0.2%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
0.1%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+8
0.1%
Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
0.1%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
0.1%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
0.1%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
0.1%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:07
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 8 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 4:12
Myles Brennan pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 51 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
-3.9
FG · Q3 7:10
Cade York 31 yd FG GOOD
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com