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TA&M

Texas A&M 24 at Alabama 52

ALA
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:15 · TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:44: Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 17 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +5.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:07: Najee Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +3.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:19: Kellen Mond pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Wright return for 47 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +4.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:22: Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:24: Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 87 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:37TA&M 4th & 9 at ALA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:19ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:41TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:21TA&M 4th & 2 at ALA 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:02ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:03TA&M 4th & 11 at ALA 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:46TA&M 4th & 7 at ALA 23, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:14ALA 4th & 7 at TA&M 8, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:19ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:58ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:13TA&M Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:44TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:07ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:19ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:22ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:24ALA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:25TA&M Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:33ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:0813% → 15%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
86.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 14 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
86.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kam Brown for 9 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
86.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
86.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
85.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
85.7%
Ainias Smith run for 14 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
85.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 1 yd to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
85.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
85.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
85.4%
Seth Small 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0186% → 86%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
85.5%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
85.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
85.3%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+78
86.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 78 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:3314% → 14%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
86.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
85.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
85.9%
Ainias Smith run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-5
86.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
86.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 13
OWN 35
-5
86.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 18
OWN 30
+11
86.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 11 yds to the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:5786% → 89%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
86.1%
Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
86.1%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 1 yd to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+35
85.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 35 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
86.5%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+12
86.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 12 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
86.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 4 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
86.4%
Jaylen Waddle run for 3 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
88.6%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1712% → 16%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.0%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
87.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
88.0%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Wydermyer, Jalen, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
87.7%
Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
87.4%
Ainias Smith run for 5 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
84.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 47 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:0585% → 86%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
85.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 20 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
85.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 23 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.1%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
86.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-43
85.7%
Mac Jones pass intercepted DeMarvin Leal return for 43 yds to the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
80.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 17 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1182% → 81%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.2%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
82.2%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
82.0%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jaylen WaddleSimilar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
81.4%
Sam Johnson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2419% → 20%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
80.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
80.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
80.1%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
80.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:2381% → 86%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
81.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 17 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
82.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 20 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
82.5%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
82.4%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
81.9%
Mac Jones run for 2 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
82.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 16 yds to the TexAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.9%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11INT TD
10 plays · 10 yds · 2:4416% → 11%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.6%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
85.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 10 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
84.1%
Mond, Kellen pass complete to Lane, Chase for 3 yards to the TEXASAM41, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+7
85.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 7 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-47
89.4%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Wright return for 47 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:3411% → 11%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
89.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
89.3%
Ainias Smith run for 10 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
89.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 15 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
88.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kam Brown for 9 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 34
-2
88.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+1
89.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Alab 35Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
89.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 0:5391% → 97%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
90.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
91.0%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.1%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+11
91.1%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 11 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
91.3%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
91.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+9
92.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
92.6%
Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Smith, DeVonta, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 13 yards to the TEXASAM2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5596% → 96%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Mac Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie IIISimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Sam Johnson punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:425% → 6%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
95.1%
Kellen Mond run for 8 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+2
95.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
95.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
95.5%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+15
96.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 15 yds to the Alab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
95.8%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
96.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
96.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+29
93.6%
Seth Small 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2695% → 99%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
95.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 3 yds to the Alab 28 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 18Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 17
OWN 18
-5
95.2%
Jones, Mac pass complete to Smith, DeVonta for 10 yards to the ALABAMA28, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal shift 5 yards to the ALABAMA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+5
94.6%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-5
94.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+87
98.5%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 87 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 6:172% → 1%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 10 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 18 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
98.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
98.4%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
98.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 41Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+2
98.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 2 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 12
OPP 39
-5
98.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jalen Wydermyer) to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+18
98.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 18 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
98.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the Alab 21Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-2
98.9%
Ainias Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:2199% → 100%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
99.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 16 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
99.5%
Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Metchie III, John, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASAM27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.6%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+7
99.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-2
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 8Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+27
99.9%
Will Reichard 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:300% → 1%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 43 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+14
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 14 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ryan RenickSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ryan RenickSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2299% → 100%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.3%
Mac Jones sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 21Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+14
99.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 14 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 63 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22INT
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
99.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Chase Lane for 17 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Haynes King run for 8 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Haynes King run for 7 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
100.0%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Haynes King run for 3 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+22
100.0%
Haynes King run for 22 yds to the Alab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Haynes King pass intercepted, touchback. Malachi Moore return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-9
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:44
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 17 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
-5.7
TD · Q2 0:22
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 6:19
Kellen Mond pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Wright return for 47 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com