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VAN

Vanderbilt 12 at Texas A&M 17

TA&M
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:10 · Ken Seals pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 5 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+13.1Home team on offense+5.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:20: Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:45: Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 7 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK) — VAN win probability +11.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 14:00: Seth Small 25 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:39: VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down — TA&M win probability +6.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:45: Ken Seals pass incomplete — VAN win probability +7.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:58VAN 4th & 5 at TA&M 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:27TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:58VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11VAN 4th & 15 at TA&M 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:57VAN 4th & 9 at TA&M 44, down 2
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:59TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17VAN 4th & 11 at TA&M 41, down 2
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:00TA&M 4th & 2 at VAN 7, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−12.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:44VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 27, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:10VAN 4th & 2 at midfield, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.8%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:56TA&M 4th & 1 at VAN 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−4.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−6.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:24VAN 4th & 19 at VAN 27, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:33TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:20TA&M Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:45VAN Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:572% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
97.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 21 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
97.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce for 8 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
97.7%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
97.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 6 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+14
97.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 14 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
97.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+4
97.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-1
97.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
97.1%
Pierson Cooke 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2297% → 97%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
97.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
97.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
97.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
97.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:213% → 3%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
97.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+2
96.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
96.8%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 37 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1497% → 97%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.7%
Ainias Smith run for 3 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
96.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 26 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
96.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+11
96.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kam Brown for 11 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Caleb ChapmanSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.6%
Ainias Smith run for 25 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:144% → 4%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
96.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 4 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+27
96.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 27 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 5
OPP 38
+4
95.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+12
95.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 12 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
95.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+2
95.4%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 11
OPP 23
-4
95.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden Harrison for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+45
95.6%
Pierson Cooke 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FUMBLE
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:1296% → 95%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
95.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 8 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
95.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 5 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
95.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 23 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
95.3%
Ainias Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 39Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+11
95.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 11 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
94.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-9
95.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 1 yd to the Vandy 24 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+6
94.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 6 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+8
94.5%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 10 yards to the Vandy 46 Kellen Mond fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Vandy Dashaun Jerkins , return for 8 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7SF
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:026% → 7%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
93.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
93.9%
Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
93.8%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
93.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 52 yds to the TexAM 0 , Ainias Smith returns for no gain TEXAS A&M Personal Foul Penalty in the endzone, SAFETY. Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:107% → 8%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
93.3%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 13 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.9%
Ken Seals run for 4 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
92.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 11 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
92.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
91.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 7 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-2
91.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-5
92.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
92.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4693% → 92%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.8%
Ainias Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19 Ainias Smith fumbled, recovered by TexAM Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
92.6%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
92.3%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
92.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:369% → 9%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
91.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 16 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
90.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-3
90.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Justin Ball for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
90.7%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
91.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3592% → 91%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
91.5%
Kellen Mond sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+6
91.2%
Ainias Smith run for 6 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-1
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2091% → 94%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
90.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 57 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
91.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
94.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:327% → 9%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
93.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 8 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
93.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
50
+7
92.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
92.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
92.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Tyrell Alexander for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
91.6%
Ken Seals run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
91.4%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 3 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
91.2%
Ken Seals pass intercepted Demani Richardson return for no gain to the TexAM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2493% → 93%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
93.3%
Ainias Smith run for 6 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-5
93.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 8Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+2
93.0%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+21
92.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 21 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
93.0%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds to the TexAM 43 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15TD
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:158% → 21%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
91.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-3
91.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+16
92.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 16 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for no gain to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
91.1%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+14
91.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 14 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
90.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+1
90.3%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 1 yd to the TexAM 7Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
79.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 7 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:4083% → 87%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
82.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kam Brown for 15 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
84.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 9 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+30
84.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 30 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
85.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kellen MondSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
85.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-5
84.5%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+13
82.9%
Kellen Mond run for 13 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
86.8%
Seth Small 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5814% → 14%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
86.4%
Ken Seals run for 4 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
86.2%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+5
86.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ja'Veon Marlow for 5 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
85.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:1687% → 88%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
86.9%
Ainias Smith run for 11 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
86.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 24 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
88.5%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+5
87.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 5 yds Jalen Preston fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:3018% → 17%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
83.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+8
83.6%
Ken Seals run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 2
50
+5
81.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 5 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
79.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
77.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-10
76.9%
Ken Seals sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 17
OPP 30
-35
83.5%
Ken Seals pass intercepted Leon O'Neal Jr. return for 35 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4390% → 90%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
90.3%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.9%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
90.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 9 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
90.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-1
89.6%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 36 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2118% → 13%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.1%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
82.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ja'Veon Marlow for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-8
85.2%
Ken Seals sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
86.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:5089% → 96%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.4%
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
90.3%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
90.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 8 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
94.4%
Ainias Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
50
+15
94.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.4%
Ainias Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:45
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 7 yds for a TD (Pierson Cooke KICK)
-11.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:45
Ken Seals pass incomplete
-7.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:39
VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com