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TENN

Tennessee 31 at South Carolina 27

SC
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+3SC 28.9%Parker White 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 27 · Q4 3:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:16 · Parker White 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Home team on offense−9.3Pregame prior−0.7Garbage-time factor−8.5Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:22: Collin Hill pass intercepted for a TD Henry To'o To'o return for 32 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +7.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:28: Eric Gray run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +10.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:27: Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +11.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:32: Collin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +19.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:35: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 32 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +31.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 9:59TENN 4th & 19 at TENN 36, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.2%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34SC 4th & 13 at TENN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06TENN 4th & 3 at SC 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:22SC 4th & 7 at SC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18TENN 4th & 6 at SC 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:43SC 4th & 15 at SC 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:30TENN 4th & 11 at SC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:54TENN 4th & 1 at SC 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%−3.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:18TENN 4th & 5 at SC 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−14.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:18SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−2.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:48SC 4th & 15 at TENN 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−6.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−15.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:35SC 4th & 12 at SC 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−3.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:06TENN 4th & 6 at SC 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−2.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:16SC 4th & 12 at TENN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−5.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:29TENN 4th & 24 at TENN 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−5.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:59SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:07TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:22TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:28TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:27SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:32SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:35TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0136% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
36.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 20 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
36.1%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+9
36.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
36.1%
Collin Hill pass incomplete, broken up by Matthew ButlerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
36.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 6 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+20
36.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 20 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
36.1%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+8
36.1%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
36.1%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Tenn 3Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.5%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.7%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
39.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 13 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
39.4%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
39.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-8
39.4%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 14
OWN 41
-5
40.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 19
OWN 36
+2
40.0%
Paxton Brooks pass complete to Will Albright for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 3:2541% → 42%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
40.5%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-4
43.1%
Shi Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 13
OPP 41
0
42.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
41.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 2:3457% → 62%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
42.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 10 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
42.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 7 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
42.4%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+30
42.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 30 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
41.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 10 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
41.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 31 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.3%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.3%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
40.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
39.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+20
39.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds , Eric Gray returns for 20 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
38.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton, broken up by Tonka HemingwaySimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
39.0%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
38.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
39.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7INT TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:5141% → 34%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
41.2%
Zaquandre White run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+11
41.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 11 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
40.9%
Collin Hill run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-11
41.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Collin Hill for a loss of 11 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 21
+5
41.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 16
OWN 26
-32
34.2%
Collin Hill pass intercepted for a TD Henry To'o To'o return for 32 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.0%
Zaquandre White run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
35.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 19 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
36.4%
Zaquandre White run for 6 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+2
37.0%
Collin Hill run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-5
36.7%
Collin Hill sacked by Deandre Johnson and Kivon Bennett for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
34.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
34.7%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+9
34.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
34.0%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+11
35.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Princeton Fant for 11 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+15
33.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kingsley Enagbare) to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
32.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
32.8%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
33.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
33.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
32.5%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 9
0
32.4%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+6
31.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 6 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
33.0%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
33.0%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-8
32.2%
Collin Hill sacked by Doneiko Slaughter for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
31.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, downed at the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
29.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
30.0%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-5
30.3%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 47 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, recovered by Tenn Jarrett Guarantano , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
32.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
31.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 14 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
32.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Legette for no gain to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
32.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for no gain to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-3
32.1%
Collin Hill sacked by Deandre Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 29 Collin Hill fumbled, recovered by SCaro Eric Douglas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:3269% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
30.9%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
30.0%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
29.2%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+10
29.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 10 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
28.8%
Ty Chandler run for 11 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
28.6%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+19
28.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 19 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
18.2%
Eric Gray run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0121% → 35%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
21.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Legette for 42 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
23.5%
Zaquandre White run for 7 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-3
23.8%
Zaquandre White run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+29
35.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:3372% → 72%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
28.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+13
28.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
27.8%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
27.3%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
28.0%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+46
28.0%
Brent Cimaglia 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:2232% → 56%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
32.0%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Kenneth George Jr.Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
31.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 14 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
34.0%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+19
33.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 19 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
35.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
37.1%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
37.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+20
35.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 20 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
37.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 6 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.4%
Collin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:1453% → 62%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
45.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 20 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
42.5%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+10
42.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 10 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
41.2%
Guarantano,J. pass incomplete to Keyton,R., PENALTY SC pass interference (Cam Smith) 15 yards to the SC15, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
40.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
40.8%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 5 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
42.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
37.6%
Brent Cimaglia 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.3%
Zaquandre White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
41.6%
Zaquandre White run for 6 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
42.7%
Shi Smith run for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
39.9%
Kai Kroeger punt 47 yards to the UT19, fair catch by Gray,E., PENALTY SC substitution infraction 5 yards to the SC29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4162% → 59%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
37.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Jerome Carvin) to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+7
38.6%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
37.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
39.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
41.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:5541% → 52%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
40.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 16 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
41.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+28
44.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Jeremy Banks) to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
49.1%
Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
49.2%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
49.2%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
49.2%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Tenn 12Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-5
46.3%
Collin Hill sacked by Deandre Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
52.1%
Parker White 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1351% → 84%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.9%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
46.0%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
47.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 33 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
16.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 32 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
24.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Zaquandre White for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
24.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Legette for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
23.1%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier Legette, broken up by Alontae TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
22.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 27 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0084% → 81%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
50
+4
16.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
16.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton, broken up by John DixonSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
16.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
19.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jammie Robinson at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:5524% → 29%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
23.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-2
24.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+16
22.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 16 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
24.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+15
27.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jeremy Banks) to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
29.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
31.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Xavier Legette) to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
29.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Deshaun FenwickSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
28.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+3
25.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
28.9%
Parker White 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
12 plays · 14 yds · 1:4781% → 90%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
18.7%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+20
15.2%
Ty Chandler run for 20 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
12.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-3
13.3%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 18
OWN 45
-4
14.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 22
OWN 41
-5
16.0%
Gray,E. rush for loss of 1 yard to the UT40 (J. Dickerson), PENALTY UT false start 5 yards to the UT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 27
OWN 36
+3
17.1%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 24
OWN 39
+42
10.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 42 yds , Cam Smith returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 18 Cam Smith fumbled, recovered by Tenn Jimmy HolidaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:3594% → 95%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
6.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 12
OPP 20
-2
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 14
OPP 22
-1
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:35
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 32 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
-31.4
TD · Q3 4:32
Collin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+19.3
TD · Q3 10:27
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com