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UGA

Georgia 37 at Arkansas 10

ARK
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:14 · George Caratan punt for 57 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 19 yds to the Geo 26 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive holding (11 Yards) to the Geo 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior−43.3Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 8:23: A.J. Reed 25 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +9.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:00: Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 19 yds for a TD (S. Bennett Run For Two-point Conversion) — UGA win probability +10.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:20: Stetson Bennett pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +9.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:53: Feleipe Franks pass intercepted for a TD Eric Stokes return for 30 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +5.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:15: Zamir White run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12UGA 4th & 4 at ARK 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:05UGA 4th & 17 at UGA 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:14ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:24UGA 4th & 12 at ARK 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:30UGA 4th & 1 at ARK 36, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:30UGA 4th & 21 at ARK 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    87.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:14ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:07UGA 4th & 2 at ARK 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.0%−1.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 10:07UGA 4th & 1 at ARK 24, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%−1.0
    68% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 6:11ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 30, up 5
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 5:10UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:21ARK 4th & 12 at UGA 42, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  16. Q2 0:00UGA 4th & 2 at ARK 21, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−7.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:23ARK 4th & 8 at UGA 8, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−9.7
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:00ARK 4th & 11 at ARK 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:15ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:49UGA 4th & 21 at UGA 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:24ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 17, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:23UGA 4th & 3 at ARK 21, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:17ARK 4th & 9 at UGA 30, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:48ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:00UGA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:20UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:53UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:15UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for no gain to the Ark 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete, broken up by Malik HerringSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.8%
Feleipe Franks run for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+35
4.8%
George Caratan punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARKANSAS 29 ARKANSAS Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:5395% → 94%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
5.0%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-10
5.0%
D'Wan Mathis rush for 16 yards to the AR48 (Dorian Gerald;Montaric Brown), PENALTY UGA holding 10 yards to the UGA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 18
OWN 26
+12
5.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 12 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+9
5.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to George Pickens for 9 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
5.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
5.0%
D'Wan Mathis run for 6 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-5
5.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
5.0%
D'Wan Mathis run for 5 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
5.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:176% → 7%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
5.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 11Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+2
5.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+12
5.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Tyson Morris, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Eric Stokes) 12 yards to the AR25, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.9%
Treylon Burks run for 3 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
5.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete, broken up by Richard LeCounteSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+28
5.8%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 28 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
6.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
5.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+49
7.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 49 yds for a TD, (A.J. Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
James Cook run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete, broken up by Simeon BlairSimilar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
7.3%
D'Wan Mathis run for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
7.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
7.7%
Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
7.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Rakeem BoydSimilar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
7.6%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Rakeem Boyd, broken up by Jermaine JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+15
7.6%
George Caratan punt for 50 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
50
+3
7.8%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-5
7.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to James Cook for 5 yds to the Geo 42 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
7.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
8.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 12
OWN 48
-5
8.2%
Jake Camarda punt 47 yards to the AR5, downed, PENALTY UGA illegal formation 5 yards to the UGA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
8.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ark 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
9.0%
Rakeem Boyd rush for loss of 4 yards to the AR3 (Monty Rice), PENALTY UGA face mask (Monty Rice) 15 yards to the AR22, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
9.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 14 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
9.2%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-38
9.1%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted Richard LeCounte return for 38 yds to the Ark 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
8.9%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Ark 12Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
8.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Zamir White for no gain to the Ark 12Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
9.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass intercepted Montaric Brown return for no gain to the Ark 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
10.2%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the Ark 3Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+4
10.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 7Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
10.0%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 8
OWN 7
+19
9.9%
George Caratan punt for 57 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 19 yds to the Geo 26 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive holding (11 Yards) to the Geo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
10.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to George Pickens for 11 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
10.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
10.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-5
10.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 47Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
10.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
10.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ark 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11SF
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1912% → 12%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
11.7%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start ( Yards) to the Ark 1Similar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
11.7%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 5
0
12.3%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+9
12.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 9 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
11.5%
T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 14 yards for a SAFETY T.J. Hammonds fumbled, recovered by Ark for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
10.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Kearis Jackson, broken up by Bumper PoolSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
10.7%
James Cook run for 7 yds to the Ark 38Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
10.6%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+5
10.9%
D'Wan Mathis run for 5 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
10.4%
James Cook run for 6 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
10.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-17
10.6%
N/A sacked by Dorian Gerald for a loss of 17 yards to the Ark 42Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 21
OPP 42
0
11.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3313% → 15%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
13.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 22Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
13.2%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 1 yd to the Ark 23Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
12.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 2 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
15.1%
Sam Loy punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
15.5%
James Cook rush for 9 yards to the UGA48 (Jalen Catalon), PENALTY UGA illegal formation 5 yards to the UGA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+8
16.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 8 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+11
15.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 11 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
14.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 8 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
14.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Ark 39Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
14.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete, broken up by Taurean CarterSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+6
15.5%
Stetson Bennett run for 6 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
14.4%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+6
14.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to - Rosemyjacksaint for 6 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
14.9%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Ark 24Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
15.3%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Ark 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
20.7%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
20.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to De'Vion WarrenSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+6
20.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trelon Smith for 6 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
19.7%
George Caratan punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George Pickens, broken up by Montaric BrownSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
21.6%
Stetson Bennett run for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
20.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis Jackson, broken up by Jalen CatalonSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-6
21.3%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Bumper Pool and Dorian Gerald for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
22.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to James CookSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
22.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 54 yds, fair catch by De'Vion Warren at the Ark 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 2:1624% → 27%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
23.6%
Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+16
23.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 1 yd to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, personal foul (Tyrique Stevenson) to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
25.1%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
25.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Blake Kern, broken up by Monty RiceSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
25.4%
KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-10
24.7%
Feleipe Franks rush for 8 yards to the UGA30 (Azeez Ojulari), PENALTY AR holding (Brady Latham) 10 yards to the UGA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 18
OPP 48
-5
27.2%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Myron Cunningham) to the Ark 47Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 23
OWN 47
+11
26.9%
Trelon Smith run for 11 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 12
OPP 42
+5
26.6%
George Caratan punt 20 yards to the UGA22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UGA roughing the kicker 5 yards to the UGA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 7
OPP 37
-5
27.8%
ARKANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
26.6%
George Caratan punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:0070% → 75%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
29.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 6 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+26
28.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 26 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
26.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to James CookSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+19
27.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 19 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
24.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
24.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 3 yds to the Ark 26Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+5
26.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 5 yds to the Ark 21Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
24.7%
Jack Podlesny 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.7%
James Cook run for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
21.9%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+13
22.1%
Zamir White run for 13 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
20.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George Pickens, PENALTY AR holding (Julius Coates) 5 yards to the AR48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 48
0
20.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
20.6%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Ark 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
20.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 5 yds James Cook fumbled, forced by Jalen Catalon, recovered by Ark Myles Slusher , return for 7 yds to the Ark 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:1529% → 38%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
28.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
28.9%
Feleipe Franks run for 7 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
29.0%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 6 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
29.5%
Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+11
28.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 11 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
29.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+15
29.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 15 yds to the Geo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
29.5%
Feleipe Franks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
29.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trey Knox for 3 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
28.4%
Feleipe Franks sacked by Nolan Smith and Nakobe Dean for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 8Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
37.8%
A.J. Reed 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:2368% → 81%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
32.0%
Stetson Bennett run for 9 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+20
30.2%
Zamir White run for 20 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
29.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 8 yds to the Ark 20Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+13
29.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 13 yds to the Ark 7 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-12
29.1%
N/A run for a loss of 12 yards to the Ark 19Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
18.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 19 yds for a TD (S. Bennett Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
23.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 15Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
22.8%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Tyson CampbellSimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 15
0
21.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for no gain to the Ark 15Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
21.2%
George Caratan punt, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:1181% → 90%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
18.7%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Ark 20Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
18.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+13
19.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 13 yds to the Ark 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
10.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 24INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:2712% → 7%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-30
6.7%
Feleipe Franks pass intercepted for a TD Eric Stokes return for 30 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
6.7%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+27
6.6%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
50
0
7.6%
Treylon Burks pass intercepted Richard LeCounte return for no gain to the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:3895% → 99%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
4.8%
Zamir White run for 11 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
4.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Zamir White for 9 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
4.5%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
4.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
4.6%
Stetson Bennett run for no gain to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+23
4.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Matt Landers for 23 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
4.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 2 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
4.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+16
4.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 16 yds to the Ark 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
4.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Ark 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
4.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Matt Landers for 4 yds to the Ark 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+4
4.2%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Ark 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.1%
Zamir White run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 0
0
1.4%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to DeVion Warren for 13 yards to the AR38, PENALTY UGA roughing passer off-setting, PENALTY AR illegal touching off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.5%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
1.5%
Sam Loy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis run for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to - Rosemyjacksaint for 6 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
1.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-10
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 28 yards to the AR28 (Jalen Catalon), PENALTY UGA holding (Xavier Truss) 10 yards to the UGA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-8
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Zach Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
1.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 63 yds, downed at the Ark 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
0.9%
Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
0.9%
Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+4
0.9%
Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trelon Smith for 4 yds to the Ark 17Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+23
0.8%
George Caratan punt for 49 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for 23 yds to the Ark 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 30FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3699% → 100%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete, broken up by Isaiah NicholsSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
0.6%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+11
0.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Nakobe Dean, QB hurry by Xavier Kelly, PENALTY AR pass interference (Jerry Jacobs) 11 yards to the AR28, 1ST DOWN UGA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
0.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 31Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 13
OPP 31
-2
0.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 33Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+12
0.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Brett Seither for 12 yds to the Ark 21Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
0.1%
Jack Podlesny 38 yd FG GOOD ARKANSAS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 31DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
0.1%
KJ Jefferson run for 19 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
0.2%
Trelon Smith run for 10 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
0.2%
Trelon Smith run for 9 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+6
0.2%
KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
0.2%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
0.2%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Trey KnoxSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+3
0.2%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trelon Smith for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+3
0.1%
Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 9
OPP 30
-11
0.0%
KJ Jefferson sacked by Nolan Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 32END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:00
Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 19 yds for a TD (S. Bennett Run For Two-point Conversion)
-10.3
FG · Q3 8:23
A.J. Reed 25 yd FG GOOD
+9.4
TD · Q3 3:20
Stetson Bennett pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com