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CCU

Coastal Carolina 38 at Kansas 23

KU
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD+8.3KU 24.2%Velton Gardner run for 61 yds for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 28 - HOME 17 · Q3 0:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:04 · Velton Gardner run for 61 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−16.3Score differential−7.4Garbage-time factor−7.1Pregame prior+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:57: Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +15.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:29: Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 14 yds for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined — KU win probability +9.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:04: Velton Gardner run for 61 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KU win probability +8.3 pts (now 24%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:55: Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +16.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:00: Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KU win probability +9.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 13 at CCU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 6:35KU 4th & 11 at CCU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:15CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 44, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:40CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 44, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.1%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:48CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 46, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:41KU 4th & 1 at CCU 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:29KU 4th & 5 at CCU 14, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -1.9%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:29CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:59CCU 4th & 10 at KU 43, up 12
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:22KU 4th & 15 at KU 10, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:13CCU 4th & 10 at KU 10, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:22CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:37CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:57CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:55CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:04KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:55CCU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:00KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1INT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Thomas MacVittie pass complete to Takulve Williams for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Thomas MacVittie pass incomplete, broken up by Derick BushSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
62.9%
Thomas MacVittie run for 17 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
62.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
+12
62.9%
Velton Gardner run for 12 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.9%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the CCaro 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
62.9%
Thomas MacVittie pass complete to Takulve Williams for 4 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-8
62.9%
Thomas MacVittie pass intercepted Derick Bush return for 8 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:1738% → 42%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
62.5%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 38Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
62.6%
Grayson McCall run for 6 yds to the CCaro 46 Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by CCaro Grayson McCallSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
62.4%
Baden Pinson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
62.4%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
62.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+11
62.3%
CJ Marable run for 11 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
62.3%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+8
62.2%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
62.2%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
58.0%
Grayson McCall run for 12 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
59.1%
Thomas MacVittie pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 5 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
59.2%
Thomas MacVittie pass complete to Takulve Williams for 3 yds Takulve Williams fumbled, forced by D'Jordan Strong, recovered by CCaro Enock Makonzo KANSAS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:5842% → 49%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
57.6%
CJ Marable run for 12 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
57.6%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
57.6%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
57.7%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
57.6%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to C.J. Brewer for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:2953% → 51%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
52.6%
Miles Kendrick run for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
53.1%
Velton Gardner run for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
53.5%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+16
53.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Takulve Williams for 16 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
53.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-6
52.0%
Miles Kendrick sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 41
0
50.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Takulve Williams, broken up by Alex SpillumSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
50.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:0752% → 68%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
48.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for no gain to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Gavin Potter) to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+43
48.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 43 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
47.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
47.4%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
47.5%
KANSAS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
47.6%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
47.3%
Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
47.3%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Heiligh, Jaivon, PENALTY KU pass interference (Prunty, Karon) 5 yards to the KU2, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
32.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:2236% → 32%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
35.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
36.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
37.1%
Thomas MacVittie run for no gain to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+10
36.8%
Thomas MacVittie pass incomplete to Williams,Pooka (Clark, Jerrod), PENALTY CCU holding (Gladney, Kendricks) 10 yards to the CCU45, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
37.4%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
37.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
37.2%
Thomas MacVittie run for 6 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
37.7%
Thomas MacVittie pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-1
37.6%
Thomas MacVittie run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
37.1%
Thomas MacVittie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+53
31.6%
Jacob Borcila 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2072% → 69%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
28.1%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
27.5%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
29.8%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
30.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0028% → 30%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
28.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
28.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+10
28.4%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 10 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
28.7%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 6 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-3
29.6%
Miles Kendrick pass intercepted Jeffrey Gunter return for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:1575% → 85%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
24.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
24.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 7 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
24.9%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
15.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 25 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 29 yds · 0:4918% → 7%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
18.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
9.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 10 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
11.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Takulve Williams for 3 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
7.8%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+11
7.8%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
8.1%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Takulve WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+47
7.4%
Jacob Borcila 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
13 plays · 21 yds · 4:1290% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
9.8%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
9.9%
Reese White run for 9 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
9.8%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
9.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 6 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
9.6%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 44Similar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
5.0%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
4.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Dru ProxSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
4.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah Likely, broken up by Kyle Mayberry COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
4.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 8:125% → 14%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
4.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+1
4.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
4.4%
Velton Gardner run for 9 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
4.5%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
4.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
4.6%
Takulve Williams run for 9 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-1
4.9%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
5.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+1
4.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
4.8%
Thomas MacVittie pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, PENALTY CCU pass interference (Bush, Derick) 15 yards to the CCU31, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
5.1%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+19
4.3%
Thomas MacVittie run for 19 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
5.2%
Thomas MacVittie sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 23Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 14
OPP 23
-4
4.8%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 18
OPP 27
+13
4.3%
Thomas MacVittie pass complete to Takulve Williams for 13 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+14
13.8%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 14 yds for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.4%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.5%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
10.4%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
10.9%
Charles Ouverson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:0916% → 24%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
15.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
15.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 8 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
24.2%
Velton Gardner run for 61 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 5:0577% → 96%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
22.7%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+22
22.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 22 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
20.8%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+3
20.6%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+17
20.8%
Grayson McCall run for 17 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
20.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 23 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
20.0%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
20.0%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.6%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:476% → 16%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
5.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+37
5.7%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 37 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
6.7%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Takulve Williams for 4 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+16
7.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to James Sosinski for 16 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
7.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
7.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
6.5%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+13
6.2%
Kendrick,Miles pass incomplete to Takulve Williams, PENALTY CCU pass interference (Makonzo, Enock) 13 yards to the CCU2, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
6.8%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 5Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.8%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
6.7%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
6.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-3
7.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
7.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
8.1%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by Derick BushSimilar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
8.0%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
7.6%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+5
7.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 5 yds to the Kans 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 4 yds · 3:1695% → 98%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
5.3%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
5.3%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
5.4%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
5.2%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
5.3%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
2.3%
Marable, CJ rush for 2 yards to the KU0, clock 01:23, PENALTY CCU holding (White, Reese) 10 yards to the KU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
2.4%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
1.6%
Massimo Biscardi 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
N/A pass incomplete to Lawrence ArnoldSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
0.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 13 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
0.9%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 16
OWN 32
-1
0.9%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 17
OWN 31
-5
0.9%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Chris Hughes) to the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:55
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q2 10:57
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-15.3
TD · Q3 2:29
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 14 yds for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com