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UL

Louisiana 31 at Iowa State 14

ISU
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:18 · Nate Snyder 27 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+24.8Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:28: Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +6.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:14: Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 60 yds , Chris Smith return for 95 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +8.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:17: Breece Hall run for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +7.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:02: Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 78 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +20.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q4 13:58: Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for 83 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +27.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:32UL 4th & 11 at UL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25ISU 4th & 6 at UL 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    79.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02UL 4th & 8 at UL 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18UL 4th & 10 at ISU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:40ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:19ISU 4th & 4 at UL 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:52UL 4th & 8 at UL 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:14ISU 4th & 5 at UL 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:11UL 4th & 19 at UL 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−2.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:59UL 4th & 8 at ISU 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−7.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:14ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−3.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:58ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:06ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:47UL 4th & 6 at UL 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:11ISU 4th & 5 at UL 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:10UL 4th & 1 at ISU 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:28ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:17ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:02UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:10UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1818% → 18%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
82.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
82.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+10
82.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 10 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
82.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
81.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming, broken up by Tayvonn KyleSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-4
81.7%
Levi Lewis sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
81.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds , D.J. Miller Jr. returns for no gain to the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 5:0582% → 80%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
81.6%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+10
81.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 10 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
81.3%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
81.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 9 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
81.3%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
81.3%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
81.0%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
80.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Kene Nwangwu for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
80.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
80.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 29 yds, downed at the LaLaf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1820% → 20%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
79.9%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
79.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
79.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
80.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
80.1%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the 50 yardline, Breece Hall fumbled, recovered by LaLafSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:1721% → 24%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
78.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-4
78.7%
Levi Lewis sacked by Latrell Bankston for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+17
79.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 17 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
78.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 2 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
77.9%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+8
77.8%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
76.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
76.5%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+15
76.6%
Trey Ragas run for 15 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
76.1%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 7Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-7
75.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
76.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
76.4%
Nate Snyder 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:5678% → 76%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
77.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
77.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+16
76.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
77.4%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
77.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
77.4%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
76.6%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
77.5%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
77.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
77.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
76.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2326% → 26%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
74.3%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
74.2%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
73.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+2
74.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 37 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:1777% → 83%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
76.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
76.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan SoehnerSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+19
76.0%
Breece Hall run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
77.0%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
76.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+12
76.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 12 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
76.6%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 2:4374% → 83%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
73.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 15 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
75.4%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
75.6%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+15
74.7%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Butler, Percy) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
75.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-10
75.5%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Soehner, Dylan, PENALTY IOWAST holding (Juergensen, Noah) 10 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 19
OPP 42
+15
73.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 15 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+16
74.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 16 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
82.6%
Breece Hall run for 11 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11END OF HALF
13 plays · 61 yds · 1:0520% → 26%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+16
80.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Devon Pauley for 16 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
78.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
78.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 14 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
77.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 5 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+12
77.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 12 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
76.7%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+12
77.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the IowSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
77.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Levi Lewis) to the IowSt 11Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+30
74.2%
Nate Snyder 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:3677% → 78%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
76.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
76.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+15
75.1%
Brock Purdy run for 15 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
77.8%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
77.8%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
77.6%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-5
76.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Sean Foster) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+13
78.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 13 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
79.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
77.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Asjlin WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:4925% → 23%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
75.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Golden Eke for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
73.4%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
73.2%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
73.0%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
74.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Golden EkeSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 12
OWN 44
-7
75.4%
Levi Lewis sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 19
OWN 37
-8
76.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 36 yds , D.J. Miller Jr. returns for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 19 D.J. Miller Jr. fumbled, recovered by IowSt IOWA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (9 Yards) to the IowSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14INT
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:2177% → 75%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
76.5%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 7Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-3
76.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 4Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 16
OWN 4
0
74.8%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Asjlin Washington return for no gain to the IowSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2630% → 28%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
69.6%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
68.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
70.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for no gain to the IowSt 12Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
72.4%
Nate Snyder 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3176% → 74%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.4%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
76.7%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-6
75.6%
Brock Purdy sacked by Ferrod Gardner for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 21Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+56
73.8%
Joe Rivera punt for 56 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
1 play · 78 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
53.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 78 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5756% → 28%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
58.6%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
56.2%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
54.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
56.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+83
28.3%
Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for 83 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:3429% → 22%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
28.7%
Brock Purdy run for 7 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+9
28.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
27.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 7 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
27.7%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
26.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
25.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
23.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen, broken up by Percy ButlerSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+7
21.9%
Joe Rivera punt for 55 yds , Eric Garror returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1377% → 81%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
22.7%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
20.0%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+2
19.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+3
19.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2919% → 17%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
18.7%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
19.0%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
19.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
18.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 5 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
19.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
16.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen, broken up by Percy ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 6:5587% → 99%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
13.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+6
12.7%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+19
11.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 19 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
10.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
9.4%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
9.0%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+6
7.1%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
6.1%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 12Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+9
4.4%
Chris Smith run for 9 yds to the IowSt 3Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
4.4%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the IowSt 2Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
1.2%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
2.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q4 13:58
Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for 83 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-27.8
TD · Q3 2:02
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 78 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-20.5
TD · Q2 4:14
Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 60 yds , Chris Smith return for 95 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com