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TEX

Texas 69 at Kansas State 31

KSU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:16 · Tyler Burns run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:17: Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:44: Bijan Robinson run for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:01: Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +10.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:13: Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 29 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:01: Jordan Whittington run for 15 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58KSU 4th & 7 at TEX 35, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:38TEX 4th & 8 at KSU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40KSU 4th & 12 at TEX 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:30TEX 4th & 7 at KSU 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:40TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:52KSU 4th & 9 at TEX 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:48TEX 4th & 4 at KSU 4, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:48KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:24TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 12, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:34TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:19TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:54KSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:17TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:20KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:44TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:24KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:01TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 9:13KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 7:01TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 2:18TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 1:06TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
25.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
25.9%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
25.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+10
25.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 10 yds to the Texas 41 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (Chris Brown) to the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:3373% → 74%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
26.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 4 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+32
26.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 32 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
26.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+15
26.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 15 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
26.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 13 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
26.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
26.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3627% → 27%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
26.7%
Will Howard run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
50
+3
27.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
27.1%
Phillip Brooks run for 9 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
27.1%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
27.1%
Will Howard pass complete to D.J. Render for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
27.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+53
27.2%
Blake Lynch 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:2073% → 73%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
26.7%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+22
26.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
26.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+12
26.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 12 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
26.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 15 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
26.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+3
26.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 3 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
26.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua Moore, broken up by Bronson MassieSimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
26.8%
Cameron Dicker 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-21
27.2%
Will Howard pass intercepted Jerrin Thompson return for 21 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:1923% → 28%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
22.5%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
22.7%
Malik Knowles run for 5 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
22.8%
Will Howard run for 12 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
22.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
22.9%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+25
22.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
23.2%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
27.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 19 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:5274% → 80%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
26.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+15
26.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 15 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
26.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 11 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
19.6%
Bijan Robinson run for 30 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:1321% → 22%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.2%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+20
21.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 20 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
22.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 22 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
22.4%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
22.4%
Phillip Brooks run for 7 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-9
22.1%
Will Howard sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
22.1%
Blake Lynch 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1779% → 88%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
21.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 15 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
20.6%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+27
20.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 27 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
20.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles, broken up by Kiondre ThomasSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
20.6%
Jake Smith run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+10
20.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 10 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
20.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 7 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
12.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
14.9%
Will Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 16 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by Texas Jacoby JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4287% → 87%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
12.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-5
12.8%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+3
13.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 3 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
13.2%
Cameron Dicker 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:1015% → 21%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
14.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
14.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 6 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
14.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
15.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
50
+1
14.6%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
14.6%
Will Howard run for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+15
14.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 15 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
15.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 10 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
15.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+12
14.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 12 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
15.0%
Malik Knowles run for 3 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
21.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3483% → 82%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
17.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-2
17.4%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
17.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for no gain to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
18.3%
Cameron Dicker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
17.6%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1682% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Bijan Robinson, broken up by Wayne JonesSimilar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
9.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:1412% → 20%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
11.8%
Will Howard run for 15 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
12.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
12.1%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Juwan Mitchell) to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
13.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 12 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
13.5%
Harry Trotter run for 6 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+18
13.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
13.7%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
19.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4810% → 19%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
10.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 12 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
11.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 31 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
19.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 29 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1286% → 95%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+27
14.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 27 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
13.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles, broken up by Justin GardnerSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+11
13.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 11 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
13.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 17 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
4.9%
Jordan Whittington run for 15 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
8.4%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
8.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 2 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-5
8.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Christian Duffie) to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
8.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
8.0%
Jack Blumer punt for 29 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:5396% → 98%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
3.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
3.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+10
3.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
3.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
3.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kai Money for 6 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
3.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+33
3.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 33 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 15 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
1.6%
Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+9
1.6%
Will Howard run for 9 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
1.7%
Will Howard pass intercepted David Gbenda return for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
0.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 32 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
0.5%
Vaughn, Deuce rush for 13 yards to the KS38 (Brown,Chris), PENALTY KS holding (Poitier, Taylor) 10 yards to the KS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
0.5%
Phillip Brooks run for 5 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
0.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
0.4%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.4%
TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ta'Quon Graham) to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
0.5%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+17
0.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 17 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
0.5%
Will Howard run for 7 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
0.5%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-1
0.5%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
0.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
0.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+43
0.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 43 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
0.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
0.3%
Casey Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 7Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
0.3%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
0.2%
Cameron Dicker 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
0.2%
Malik Knowles run for 8 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
0.2%
Tyler Burns run for 10 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.2%
Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-6
0.2%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+2
0.2%
Phillip Brooks run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, downed at the Texas 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
0.3%
Gabriel Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+3
0.2%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+3
0.2%
Gabriel Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
0.2%
Cameron Dicker punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 29Uncategorized
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.1%
Tyler Burns run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:01
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q2 8:17
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q3 14:44
Bijan Robinson run for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com