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WVU

West Virginia 6 at Iowa State 42

ISU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:00 · Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds , Tarique Milton returns for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense+17.6Score differential+11.9Pregame prior+7.6Garbage-time factor+3.4Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:51: Breece Hall 23 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +3.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:17: Brock Purdy 10 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +4.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:49: Landen Akers 2 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +11.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:10: Charlie Kolar 16 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +2.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:00: Tyler Sumpter 32 Yd Field Goal — WVU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:40WVU 4th & 7 at ISU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:08ISU 4th & 3 at WVU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:48WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:56WVU 4th & 17 at ISU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:00WVU 4th & 17 at WVU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:59ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 31, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:07WVU 4th & 6 at ISU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:54ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:50WVU 4th & 3 at ISU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:58WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:00WVU 4th & 6 at ISU 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:07ISU 4th & 5 at WVU 28, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:03WVU 4th & 14 at ISU 39, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:46WVU 4th & 9 at ISU 18, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:51ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:17ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:49ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:10ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:07ISU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:07ISU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:0835% → 36%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
64.8%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
64.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 9 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
64.7%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
64.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+26
64.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 26 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
64.3%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
64.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+4
64.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 4 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-5
64.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Leddie Brown) to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
64.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:4165% → 68%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
64.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+31
64.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 31 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
65.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-2
65.1%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+9
64.7%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
65.1%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-5
65.1%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+6
64.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+5
64.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 5 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
68.2%
Breece Hall 23 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4733% → 32%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
67.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+1
67.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+1
68.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
68.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:2269% → 75%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
68.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
69.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Kene NwangwuSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
68.8%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
69.0%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28 IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Robert Hudson) to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+17
68.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 17 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
68.9%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22 Breece Hall fumbled, recovered by IowSt Breece Hall for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
69.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
69.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+3
69.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q2 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
74.8%
Brock Purdy 10 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5MISSED FG
18 plays · 49 yds · 6:1028% → 24%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
72.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
73.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+13
72.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 13 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
72.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 9 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
71.8%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
72.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
72.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+9
72.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 9 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
72.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
72.6%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
73.4%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
73.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
73.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Parker Moorer) to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
74.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan, broken up by Greg Eisworth IISimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 15
OPP 19
-2
74.9%
Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the IowSt 19 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Jarret Doege) to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 17
OPP 24
+41
76.3%
Casey Legg 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:0176% → 91%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
76.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
76.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 4 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
77.3%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
77.6%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Fortune, Nicktroy) 12 yards to the WESTVIR40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
77.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+10
78.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
78.3%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
79.6%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+20
79.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 20 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
79.8%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 1 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Shaw Jr.) to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-15
81.1%
Hall, Breece rush for 11 yards to the WESTVIR0, PENALTY IOWAST face mask (Kolar, Charlie) 15 yards to the WESTVIR26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 26
+21
81.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 21 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
80.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.3%
Landen Akers 2 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:3311% → 9%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-4
89.5%
Jarret Doege sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-6
91.2%
Jarret Doege sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 17
OWN 25
-3
91.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds , Tarique Milton returns for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4293% → 93%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
93.1%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
93.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5093% → 93%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
92.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+10
93.4%
Joe Rivera punt for 37 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 10 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:468% → 7%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
92.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+10
91.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 10 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
92.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam BrownSimilar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+4
92.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+5
93.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:0195% → 95%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
94.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 9 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
94.9%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.1%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
95.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Remsburg) to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
95.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darien Porter for no gain to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+8
95.3%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
95.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:595% → 4%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
94.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+13
95.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 13 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-6
95.0%
Jarret Doege sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+25
95.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 25 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
94.8%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
95.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
95.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:3196% → 100%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
96.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Tony Fields II) to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
95.8%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+23
95.9%
Breece Hall run for 23 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
97.0%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Charlie Kolar 16 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+19
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 19 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
99.7%
Kene Nwangwu 47 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Brown, Leddie rush for 6 yards to the IOWAST46, PENALTY IOWAST substitution infraction 5 yards to the IOWAST47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+15
99.8%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Smith, Reese, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference (White IV, Lawrence) 15 yards to the IOWAST32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+7
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 19Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+5
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 5 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr., broken up by Lawrence White IVSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
Tyler Sumpter 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:42100% → 100%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.8%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Allen, Chase, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Chandler-Semedo, Josh) 15 yards to the WESTVIR45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
99.9%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr., broken up by Tykee SmithSimilar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+9
99.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Breece Hall 28 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 4:060% → 0%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam BrownSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+23
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 23 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-4
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 14
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan, broken up by Tayvonn KyleSimilar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 14
OPP 39
+20
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 20 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the IowSt 18Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
99.9%
Tyler Sumpter 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19Uncategorized
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 1 yd to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Hunter Dekkers run for 7 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Jirehl Brock run for 7 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 11
50
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:49
Landen Akers 2 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)
+11.1
TD · Q2 14:17
Brock Purdy 10 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)
+4.6
TD · Q1 5:51
Breece Hall 23 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com