Try the model
BAY

Baylor 14 at Oklahoma 27

OU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+1.2Home team on offense+31.0Score differential+24.2Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:04: Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:08: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:50: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 25 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +6.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:30: Gabe Brkic 50 yd FG GOOD — OU win probability +4.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:59: Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BAY made the numbers' call on 11 of 15
  1. Q1 10:11OU 4th & 3 at BAY 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:44BAY 4th & 4 at OU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01BAY 4th & 7 at OU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:58OU 4th & 16 at OU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:40BAY 4th & 4 at OU 29, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:13OU 4th & 8 at OU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:16BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:32OU 4th & 11 at OU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:22BAY 4th & 11 at OU 29, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:32OU 4th & 12 at OU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:10BAY 4th & 16 at BAY 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:46BAY 4th & 11 at BAY 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:58BAY 4th & 19 at BAY 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:46BAY 4th & 6 at OU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:50BAY 4th & 3 at OU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−4.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:58OU 4th & 8 at OU 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:23BAY 4th & 10 at OU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:30OU 4th & 14 at BAY 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:40BAY 4th & 15 at BAY 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:01BAY 4th & 4 at OU 48, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:13BAY 4th & 5 at OU 11, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:29OU 4th & 5 at BAY 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:03BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BAY made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 1:04OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:08OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:50BAY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:17OU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:59BAY Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:4793% → 92%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
92.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
92.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
92.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
92.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 21 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
92.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 9 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+15
92.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 15 yds to the Bayl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Bayl 10Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
92.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.0%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the Bayl 3Similar
Q1 10:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
91.9%
Gabe Brkic 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2MISSED FG
15 plays · 46 yds · 4:508% → 10%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
91.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 4 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
91.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 10 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
91.4%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+15
91.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 15 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Ben SimsSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
91.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
91.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 6 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+7
90.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 7 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
90.3%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
90.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+4
90.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
90.5%
John Mayers 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5090% → 90%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
90.4%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Jalen Pitre for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 20
OWN 19
-1
90.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 21
OWN 18
+5
89.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 16
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1011% → 11%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
89.3%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
88.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 6 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
88.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
89.3%
John Mayers 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2389% → 89%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
89.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
89.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+3
88.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 3 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+42
88.5%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the OKLAHOMA 22 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4611% → 11%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
88.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
88.8%
Josh Fleeks run for no gain to the Bayl 30Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+3
88.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 3 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
88.7%
Issac Power punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Drake Stoops at the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3288% → 87%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-10
88.1%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Josh Landry for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 20
OWN 7
+3
87.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+6
87.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 11
OWN 16
+5
86.9%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 51 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 5 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:1013% → 13%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
87.4%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Khalil Keith) to the Bayl 33Similar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+39
87.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jaylen Ellis for 39 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
86.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jaylen EllisSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-1
86.3%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
86.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 11
OPP 29
-34
87.4%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Tre Norwood return for 34 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3988% → 86%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
88.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
87.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jeremiah HallSimilar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
86.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 12
OWN 49
+3
86.4%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 40 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 3 yds to the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0513% → 12%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
86.9%
Josh Fleeks run for 1 yd to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
86.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jonah WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-7
87.5%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Isaiah Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 8Similar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 16
OWN 8
0
88.0%
Issac Power punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:5288% → 88%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
88.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
87.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Howard for 12 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
87.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 11 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
88.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Abram Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+15
87.8%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
87.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 17Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
87.7%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Christian Morgan return for no gain to the Bayl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:1014% → 13%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
86.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 4Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-3
86.0%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 1Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
87.2%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 1Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+7
87.3%
Issac Power punt for 37 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 7 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:4187% → 92%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
87.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 8 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
87.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
86.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
86.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Christian Morgan) to the Bayl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:549% → 10%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.7%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
90.5%
Jonah White run for 17 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4011% → 10%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 4 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-13
88.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 13 yards to the Bayl 11Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 19
OWN 11
0
90.2%
Jonah White run for no gain to the Bayl 11Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
90.4%
Issac Power punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:2791% → 96%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
90.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 25 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
90.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 1 yd to the Bayl 26Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+5
90.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 5 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+12
90.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 12 yds to the Bayl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
90.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 19Similar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+10
90.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 9Similar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:086% → 12%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyler Henderson for 6 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
94.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 3 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
94.0%
Jonah White run for 1 yd to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
94.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 18 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jaylen EllisSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
94.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Christoph HenleSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+9
94.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyler Henderson for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-5
94.5%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Khalil Keith) to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+7
94.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
94.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
94.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+5
95.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+25
88.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 25 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3490% → 88%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
89.5%
T.J. Pledger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.3%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:3512% → 11%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
88.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 6 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
87.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
88.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
87.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tre Brown) to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jonah WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
87.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
87.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyler HendersonSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 10
OPP 40
-8
89.0%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted D.J. Graham return for 8 yds to the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:3291% → 95%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
90.8%
T.J. Pledger run for 28 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
91.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 34Similar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+3
91.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+7
91.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-9
90.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Christian Morgan for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 33Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+50
94.7%
Gabe Brkic 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:357% → 6%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
92.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+15
93.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ronnie Perkins) to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.7%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 44Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-5
93.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
93.9%
Issac Power punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:0695% → 99%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
95.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
95.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 13 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
95.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
50
0
95.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Rhamondre StevensonSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
50
+11
95.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 11 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
96.0%
T.J. Pledger run for 8 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+9
96.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 9 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
96.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 6 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+8
96.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 8 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
96.6%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Bayl 6Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 5:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
97.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Holding (3 Yards) to the Bayl 3Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
97.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 8Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 8 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
20 plays · 96 yds · 3:521% → 6%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+14
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 14 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for no gain to the Bayl 18Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+11
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 11 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 9 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 8 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+17
99.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 17 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 9 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+6
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 6 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 3 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jacoby Clarke for 5 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 2
OPP 8
-3
99.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jacoby Clarke for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+7
99.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ronnie Perkins) to the Okla 2Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:2299% → 99%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-1
98.7%
T.J. Pledger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 43Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.7%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 12Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+8
98.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+6
98.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jonah White for 6 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:50
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 25 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q4 0:59
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-5.4
TD · Q2 1:04
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com