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TTU

Texas Tech 44 at Oklahoma State 50

OKST
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:13 · Xavier White run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+6.2Home team on offense+13.3Garbage-time factor+2.3Score differential+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:15: Erik Ezukanma 48 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Jonathan Garibay Kick) — TTU win probability +17.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:09: Jason Taylor II 48 Yd Kickoff Return (Brady Pohl Kick) — OKST win probability +19.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:23: Tre Sterling 65 Yd Interception Return (Brady Pohl PAT failed) — OKST win probability +14.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:32: Xavier White 70 Yd Run (Jonathan Garibay Kick) — TTU win probability +14.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 1:51: Alan Bowman pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 31 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +17.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:22TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01OKST 4th & 4 at TTU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:28TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12OKST 4th & 21 at OKST 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:15TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:08TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:28TTU 4th & 4 at OKST 26, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.5%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:15OKST 4th & 3 at TTU 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:58TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:04OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:30OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:13TTU 4th & 1 at OKST 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.5%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:34OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 34, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:40TTU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:24OKST 4th & 1 at TTU 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:01TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:19OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:54OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:33TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:22OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:15TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:09OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:23OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:32TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:22OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:44OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:57TTU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.3%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 1:51TTU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3320% → 20%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
80.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+9
80.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 9 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
80.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
80.1%
Myles Price run for 8 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
80.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
80.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:1280% → 79%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
80.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
80.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+6
79.8%
Dezmon Jackson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
79.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 24 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
80.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
79.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+17
79.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 17 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
79.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dee AndersonSimilar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
79.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
79.8%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
79.4%
Brady Pohl 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:4821% → 25%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
79.1%
Xavier White run for 7 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
78.8%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
78.7%
Xavier White run for no gain to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+3
78.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
78.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Travis Koontz for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
78.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+6
78.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 6 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
75.4%
SaRodorick Thompson 59 Yd Run (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:2776% → 78%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
75.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
75.7%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+22
75.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 12 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
76.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+15
76.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
76.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 8 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+12
75.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+8
75.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (1 Yards) to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.4%
Dezmon Jackson 1 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1923% → 23%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
77.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
77.0%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
76.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 3 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
76.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 3:1977% → 75%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
77.1%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+10
76.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+5
77.4%
Dezmon Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
77.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+12
76.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 8
50
0
77.3%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 8
50
-5
76.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-8
75.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Kosi Eldridge for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 21
OWN 37
0
75.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexTc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5125% → 24%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
75.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
75.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+3
75.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+1
75.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:0476% → 81%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
76.2%
Dezmon Jackson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
76.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 6 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
76.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
76.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+40
75.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 40 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.0%
Dezmon Jackson 7 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:5921% → 28%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
79.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 15 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
79.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+43
79.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 43 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
77.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
77.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
71.6%
SaRodorick Thompson 24 Yd Run (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0175% → 82%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
75.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 8 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
75.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+2
75.4%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
50
+9
75.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 9 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+14
75.8%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASTECH roughing passer 14 yards to the TEXASTECH27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
76.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
76.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
76.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+2
75.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.8%
Dezmon Jackson 7 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4720% → 19%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
79.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Travis Koontz for 5 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
79.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Travis Koontz for 2 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 3
OWN 25
-5
80.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
80.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 55 yds, downed at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 32 Dominic Richardson fumbled, recovered by TexTc DaMarcus FieldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2723% → 26%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
76.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+1
77.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
74.0%
Jonathan Garibay 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
14 plays · 77 yds · 2:0975% → 78%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
75.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
75.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
74.1%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
75.2%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
75.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
76.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
76.2%
Dezmon Jackson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
77.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 2 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
77.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1975% → 74%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
75.1%
Landon Wolf run for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 10 Landon Wolf fumbled, recovered by OKSt Landon WolfSimilar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 19
OWN 10
+16
74.8%
Dezmon Jackson run for 16 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+10
74.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
74.9%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
73.7%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Zech McPhearson return for no gain to the TexTc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
72.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds Erik Ezukanma fumbled, forced by Malcolm Rodriguez, recovered by OKSt Tre SterlingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0276% → 75%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
76.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 3 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
76.5%
Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+4
75.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
74.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cam White at the TexTc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:1326% → 24%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
73.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 24 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
74.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
74.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
75.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
76.3%
Jonathan Garibay punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4176% → 75%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
76.1%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
75.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 43 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:4225% → 46%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
74.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 14 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
72.9%
Xavier White run for 6 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
71.4%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
54.0%
Erik Ezukanma 48 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22INT TD
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:2926% → 16%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
74.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+9
74.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
73.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 15 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
70.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
70.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 10 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
69.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-1
69.4%
Myles Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-65
83.6%
Tre Sterling 65 Yd Interception Return (Brady Pohl PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4015% → 29%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.0%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
70.8%
Xavier White 70 Yd Run (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:5672% → 88%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
71.9%
Dezmon Jackson run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+23
74.8%
Dezmon Jackson run for 23 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
87.7%
Tylan Wallace 27 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Brady Pohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:1815% → 16%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
84.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
86.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+12
85.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 12 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
84.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 17 yds Myles Price fumbled, forced by Jarrick Bernard-Converse, recovered by OKSt Tre SterlingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0387% → 87%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
86.9%
Dezmon Jackson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+7
87.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
87.9%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
88.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
87.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+9
86.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for 9 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:0913% → 14%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
87.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 15 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
86.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 10 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
85.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
84.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Loic FouonjiSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
85.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-2
86.1%
Xavier White run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:2089% → 97%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
50
+21
89.1%
Dezmon Jackson run for 21 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
89.4%
Dezmon Jackson run for 14 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
89.4%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+2
89.8%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
96.8%
Spencer Sanders 9 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29SF
3 plays · -19 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
96.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 10 SaRodorick Thompson fumbled, recovered by TexTc SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 19
OWN 10
-10
97.1%
Alan Bowman sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
98.5%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 6
OWN 39
-5
98.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Chux Nwabuko III at the TexTc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 31TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 2:212% → 6%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
97.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+5
98.0%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Alan Bowman run for no gain to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+25
98.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 25 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
98.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for 11 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
97.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+7
97.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to John Holcomb for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
97.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Caden Leggett for 3 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
97.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Tahj Brooks for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+32
94.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 32FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.1%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41 Dezmon Jackson fumbled, recovered by TexTc Eric MonroeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 33TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:425% → 21%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-7
95.2%
Alan Bowman run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 34 Alan Bowman fumbled, recovered by TexTc Alan BowmanSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+16
96.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 1
50
+8
97.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
97.1%
Alan Bowman run for 8 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
96.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 3 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
79.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 31 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 34END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:2096% → 97%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
95.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+7
95.7%
Tylan Wallace run for 7 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
95.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+23
95.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 23 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 6Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:09
Jason Taylor II 48 Yd Kickoff Return (Brady Pohl Kick)
+19.6
TD · Q4 1:51
Alan Bowman pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 31 yds for a TD (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q3 7:15
Erik Ezukanma 48 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Jonathan Garibay Kick)
-17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com