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OKST

Oklahoma State 13 at Oklahoma 41

OU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:09: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +3.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:03: Shane Illingworth pass complete to Logan Carter for 15 yds for a TD (Brady Pohl KICK) — OKST win probability +7.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:39: Gabe Brkic 29 yd FG GOOD — OU win probability +4.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:57: Brady Pohl 38 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +6.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:15: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 30 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:39OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:33OU 4th & 10 at OKST 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−4.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:01OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:39OU 4th & 11 at OKST 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:57OKST 4th & 10 at OU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:49OU 4th & 8 at OU 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:38OKST 4th & 9 at OU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:34OU 4th & 5 at OU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:52OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:59OU 4th & 13 at OU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:34OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:17OU 4th & 1 at OKST 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−3.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:50OU 4th & 2 at OKST 26, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−5.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:02OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:52OKST 4th & 13 at OU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:28OU 4th & 4 at OKST 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:00OKST 4th & 9 at OU 28, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:40OKST 4th & 5 at OU 5, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:37OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:26OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:09OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:03OKST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:15OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:28OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5666% → 67%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+45
65.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 45 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
65.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Rhamondre StevensonSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
65.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+15
65.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 15 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5134% → 33%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-11
66.3%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 10 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the OKSt 10Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 21
OWN 10
-5
66.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 5Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 26
OWN 5
+12
66.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 14
OWN 17
0
66.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 14
OWN 17
-9
66.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds , Marvin Mims returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:3567% → 71%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
66.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+10
66.8%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Wease, Theo, PENALTY OKLAST holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
67.2%
Mikey Henderson run for 8 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
67.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
67.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+27
67.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 27 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
70.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 20 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0730% → 30%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
69.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
69.9%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted David Ugwoegbu return for no gain to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:3171% → 76%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
71.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+12
71.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 12 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the OKSt 9Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
75.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3725% → 29%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.2%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
75.5%
LD Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
75.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
76.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 13 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
77.4%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
78.0%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+18
78.6%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
77.5%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
78.2%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Logan Carter for 6 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
78.5%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+14
79.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brendan Radley-Hiles) to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
71.2%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Logan Carter for 15 yds for a TD (Brady Pohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:5674% → 79%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
74.1%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Trace Ford and Sione Asi for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+29
74.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 29 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
75.3%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
50
+8
75.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+19
75.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 19 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
76.3%
T.J. Pledger run for no gain to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
76.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
76.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
79.1%
Gabe Brkic 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1822% → 21%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
78.0%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
78.2%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
78.6%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:5680% → 87%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
80.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 19 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
81.2%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Rambo, Charleston, PENALTY OKLAST roughing passer (Walterscheid, Kody) 15 yards to the OKLAST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
81.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+3
81.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+18
81.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 18 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
82.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 14Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+4
83.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-2
83.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to T.J. Pledger for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
87.0%
Gabe Brkic 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:3212% → 19%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
87.6%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+44
87.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 29 yds to the OKLAHOMA 48 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
86.3%
Shane Illingworth run for 2 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-5
86.4%
LD Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+15
87.8%
Illingworth, Shane pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Brown, Tre) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.4%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
87.0%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 7
OPP 18
-3
86.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
80.9%
Brady Pohl 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5984% → 83%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
83.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
83.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 4 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-2
83.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Malcolm Rodriguez for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+1
82.9%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 44 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:4618% → 22%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
81.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 25 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
80.5%
LD Brown run for 9 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+9
80.0%
Presley, Brennan pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 9 yards to the OKLAHOMA21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
80.0%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
80.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
80.9%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
78.5%
Brady Pohl 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5180% → 79%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
80.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
80.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
79.2%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 52 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
81.4%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5218% → 17%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
81.9%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-4
82.8%
LD Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
83.4%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
83.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3684% → 83%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
84.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 8 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-11
84.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 11 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
83.7%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+1
83.4%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 58 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 36 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (4 Yards) to the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:2516% → 16%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
84.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Hunter Woodard) to the OKSt 2Similar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+4
84.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
84.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+5
84.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
84.3%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+16
84.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
83.7%
Shane Illingworth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
84.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
83.7%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
84.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:1087% → 89%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
86.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 17 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
87.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
87.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+5
87.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 5 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+6
87.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
89.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
89.2%
T.J. Pledger run for 8 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-1
89.1%
T.J. Pledger run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+43
88.9%
Gabe Brkic 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2613% → 9%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
87.1%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
86.9%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
88.9%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.8%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-8
90.3%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Nik Bonitto and Isaiah Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 31 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+7
90.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Landon Wolf for 7 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
90.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3093% → 99%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
92.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 8 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
93.4%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 7 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
93.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 8 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
94.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
94.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 25 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
98.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 30 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:012% → 1%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 13 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+14
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 14 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
98.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for no gain to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 8
OPP 39
-5
98.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 43 yds, downed at the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 5:1299% → 100%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+30
98.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 30 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+12
98.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 12 yds Mikey Henderson fumbled, forced by Rodarius Williams, recovered by OklaSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+11
99.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 11 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-2
99.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+7
99.2%
T.J. Pledger run for 7 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 31 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23DOWNS
16 plays · 76 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+13
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+25
99.9%
Dezmon Jackson run for 25 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+12
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 12 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+14
99.9%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 14 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
99.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 5Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
100.0%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+4
100.0%
Mikey Henderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+8
100.0%
Mikey Henderson run for 8 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:03
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Logan Carter for 15 yds for a TD (Brady Pohl KICK)
-7.8
FG · Q2 4:57
Brady Pohl 38 yd FG GOOD
-6
TD · Q4 14:15
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 30 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com