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KSU

Kansas State 0 at Iowa State 45

ISU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:23 · Joe Rivera punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense+33.6Pregame prior+5.7Score differential+29.3Blowout margin+15.4Garbage-time factor+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +3.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:38: Xavier Hutchinson 21 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:30: Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 06:30 — KSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:30: Breece Hall 33 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:01: Breece Hall 21 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick) — ISU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:07KSU 4th & 2 at ISU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:49KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:10ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:56KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:30KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:00ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:56KSU 4th & 2 at ISU 48, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:28ISU 4th & 8 at KSU 15, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:23KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 11, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:55ISU 4th & 7 at KSU 28, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:51KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:23ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 36, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:17KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 34, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:00ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:38ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:30ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:01ISU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:55ISU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.8%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
82.8%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+20
82.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
82.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+15
82.8%
Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
82.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 33 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:5317% → 18%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
82.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 29 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
82.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-2
82.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
82.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 5 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
82.3%
Harry Trotter run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
82.3%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+13
82.4%
Will Howard run for 13 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
82.3%
Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 5Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
81.9%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the IowSt 2Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
82.1%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 97 yds · 6:2783% → 87%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
82.5%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+4
82.5%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+6
82.3%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY KS pass interference (Boye-Doe, Ekow) 6 yards to the ISU15, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+28
82.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 28 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
82.9%
Brock Purdy run for 17 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
83.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 13 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
83.1%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-5
83.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Dylan Soehner) to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+5
83.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+18
82.9%
Brock Purdy run for 18 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
83.1%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the KanSt 6Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.1%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the KanSt 6Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
85.4%
Howard, Will pass incomplete, PENALTY ISU personal foul (Uwazurike, Eyioma) 15 yards to the KS26, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
85.3%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-2
85.2%
Keenan Garber run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-8
85.4%
Will Howard sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 25 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by KanSt Cooper Beebe , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
86.7%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan Soehner, broken up by Jahron McPhersonSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+51
86.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 47 yds, downed at the IOWAST 8 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (D.J. Render) to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
86.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete, broken up by Drew WileySimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+8
86.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 8 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
86.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
86.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn, broken up by Jake HummelSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 11
OWN 3
0
86.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
86.7%
Jack Blumer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the KanSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 3:1888% → 94%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
87.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 13 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
87.8%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
87.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
87.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
94.3%
Xavier Hutchinson 21 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
92.6%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Lawrence White IVSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to D.J. RenderSimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 41 yds, downed at the IowSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 88 yds · 1:0394% → 98%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+26
94.4%
Breece Hall run for 26 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
94.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 29 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.0%
Breece Hall 33 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
98.2%
Will Howard pass intercepted Mike Rose return for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:1698% → 99%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
98.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+2
98.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+11
97.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 11 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
98.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
98.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
98.8%
Breece Hall 21 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
99.1%
Nick Ast run for 5 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
99.0%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
98.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-12
98.8%
Nick Ast sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 22
OWN 22
+22
98.9%
Nick Ast pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.8%
Nick Ast pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 8 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Nick Ast pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Greg Eisworth IISimilar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Nick Ast pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1299% → 100%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
99.3%
Brock Purdy run for 19 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
99.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.3%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe Scates, broken up by Daniel GreenSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Kiondre ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
99.5%
Connor Assalley 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.4%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
99.4%
Nick Ast pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
99.4%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.4%
Nick Ast pass complete to D.J. Render for 1 yd to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
99.4%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-5
99.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Cooper Beebe) to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-9
99.4%
Nick Ast sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Jack Blumer punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:04100% → 100%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.7%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+10
99.7%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
99.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+9
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+7
99.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+23
99.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 23 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Nick Ast pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-3
99.8%
Nick Ast run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 31 Nick Ast fumbled, forced by Will McDonald IV, recovered by IowSt JaQuan BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 5 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-5
99.9%
Brock, Jirehl rush for 4 yards to the KS19 (Henington, Ryan), PENALTY ISU illegal shift (Dean, Easton) 5 yards to the KS28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
99.8%
Connor Assalley 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 32 Tyler Burns fumbled, forced by Zach Petersen, recovered by IowSt Dae'Shawn DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Joe ScatesSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+20
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Joe Scates for 20 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers run for 12 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Nick Ast pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Nick Ast pass complete to Keenan Garber for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 43 yds, downed at the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-7
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers sacked by Spencer Trussell for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Joe Rivera punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Nick Ast pass complete to Konner Fox for 6 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jack Blumer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
Brock, Jirehl rush for 3 yards to the ISU35 (Duke, Khalid;Allen, Nick), PENALTY ISU illegal formation 5 yards to the ISU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+38
99.9%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 38 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:38
Xavier Hutchinson 21 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)
+6.4
TD · Q2 14:56
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 4:30
Breece Hall 33 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com