Try the model
TCU

TCU 6 at West Virginia 24

WVU
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:41 · Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, downed at the TCU 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Home team on offense+14.3Pregame prior+3.6Score differential+3.0Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:00: Jarret Doege run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +4.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:32: Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 26 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +8.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:57: Casey Legg 42 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +9.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:49: PENALTY TCU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY WVU U off-setting, NO PLAY. — TCU win probability +4.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:01: Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 38 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +7.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TCU 4th & 9 at WVU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:01TCU 4th & 10 at WVU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−3.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:32TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:35WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:15TCU 4th & 7 at WVU 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:43WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:57WVU 4th & 25 at TCU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:49TCU 4th & 14 at WVU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:41WVU 4th & 8 at TCU 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:08TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:02WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:56TCU 4th & 24 at TCU 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:42WVU 4th & 6 at TCU 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:06WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:00WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:32WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:01WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.2%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
61.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
61.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 17 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
61.2%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
61.2%
Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
61.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+10
61.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 10 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
61.2%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
61.2%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
61.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
61.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
61.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 7:3361% → 66%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
61.1%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 7
0
61.1%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+15
60.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
61.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete, broken up by Ar'Darius WashingtonSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
61.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+9
61.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+14
61.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 14 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
61.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
61.5%
T.J. Simmons run for 15 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
61.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 23 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
61.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
61.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+8
61.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 8 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
61.8%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 2Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.8%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 1Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.1%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:5435% → 38%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
64.9%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
65.0%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
65.1%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+15
65.6%
Sandy, Jordy punt 55 yards to the WVU14, Alec Sinkfield return to the WVU24 (Demercado, E.), PENALTY WVU roughing the kicker (Tony Mathis Jr.) 15 yards to the TCU46, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
64.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 2 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+23
64.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 23 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
63.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 15 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
63.1%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+3
63.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 3 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-1
64.2%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
62.0%
Griffin Kell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2963% → 72%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.6%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
62.4%
Leddie Brown run for 30 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
64.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
64.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-15
64.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sam James) to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 19
OPP 38
+2
63.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 17
OPP 36
+10
62.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan (Hod-Tomlinson), PENALTY TCU holding (Hod-Tomlinson) 10 yards to the TCU26, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
71.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 26 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.2%
Quentin Johnston run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
69.3%
Zach Evans run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.9%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
70.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
72.0%
T.J. Simmons run for 1 yd to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-2
72.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
71.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+24
70.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds, downed at the WESTVIR 25 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
70.2%
Taye Barber run for 7 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
69.7%
Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
69.5%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
69.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darwin BarlowSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
69.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
71.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 3:5973% → 75%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
72.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-5
72.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
72.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+18
72.1%
Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
73.0%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
73.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
73.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
75.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
76.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
75.6%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
74.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (Jarret Doege) to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
74.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Moehrig at the TCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
75.5%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 20 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Pro Wells) to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 17
OWN 10
+5
75.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 5 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+9
75.7%
Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+4
75.7%
Taye Barber run for 4 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
75.0%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 7:0377% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
77.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+34
76.9%
Leddie Brown run for 34 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
78.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
78.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+10
77.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 10 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
78.5%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+4
78.4%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
78.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Zach Frazier) to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-1
78.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
-2
78.4%
Jarret Doege sacked by Parker Workman for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
-2
77.3%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
-5
76.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Brandon Yates) to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
+42
85.2%
Casey Legg 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:0216% → 22%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
83.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Alonzo AddaeSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
83.7%
Max Duggan run for 15 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
82.4%
Kendre Miller run for 11 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
81.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Carter Ware for 7 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+19
81.1%
Kendre Miller run for 19 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
81.1%
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
81.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 14Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
83.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
82.3%
Griffin Kell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 65
OPP 0
0
77.9%
PENALTY TCU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY WVU U off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
83.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 12 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
84.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
84.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
83.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
82.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, downed at the TCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
84.3%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Johnston, Q., PENALTY WVU pass interference (Dreshun Miller) 15 yards to the TCU16, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
84.3%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+10
85.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 10 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
83.2%
Kendre Miller run for 13 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
82.0%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
81.5%
Taye Barber run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
82.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
83.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:0187% → 88%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
86.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
86.7%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 22
+6
85.6%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-10
86.5%
Jarret Doege sacked by Earl Barquet for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 22 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, intentional grounding (Jarret Doege) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
87.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds , Trevon Moehrig returns for no gain to the TCU 42 Trevon Moehrig fumbled, recovered by WVirg Sean MahoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:5390% → 97%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
89.8%
Sam James run for 4 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+38
97.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 38 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Zach Evans, broken up by Sean MahoneSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
96.2%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-10
96.2%
Max Duggan sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 19
OWN 19
-5
96.3%
TCU Penalty, false start (Deshawn McCuin) to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 24
OWN 14
+45
96.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 45 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 3:2898% → 98%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.5%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+31
97.5%
Leddie Brown run for 31 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
97.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-4
97.6%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+6
97.5%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
98.0%
Casey Legg 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18INT
8 plays · 71 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.1%
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
96.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+52
97.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 52 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
96.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 4 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
96.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 5 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
96.6%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
96.3%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-42
96.3%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Tykee Smith return for 42 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
98.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-2
98.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Moehrig at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
98.4%
Zach Evans run for 11 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.4%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
98.3%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 7:57
Casey Legg 42 yd FG GOOD
+9.2
TD · Q2 11:32
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 26 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q4 12:01
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 38 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)
+7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com