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BAY

Baylor 23 at Texas Tech 24

TTU
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:57 · Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 5 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense−2.3Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6One-score game−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:04: Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +13.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:42: Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Garibay PAT BLOCKED) — TTU win probability +13.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:11: John Mayers 23 yd FG GOOD — BAY win probability +6.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:48: Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TTU win probability +17.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Jonathan Garibay 25 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +51.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00BAY 4th & 1 at TTU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15TTU 4th & 6 at BAY 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15BAY 4th & 3 at BAY 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:10TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:26BAY 4th & 13 at TTU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:57BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:12BAY 4th & 5 at TTU 5, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:12TTU 4th & 2 at BAY 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−1.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12TTU 4th & 10 at BAY 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−7.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:04TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:42BAY 4th & 7 at TTU 43, up 8
    Close callPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:56TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:11BAY 4th & 6 at TTU 6, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−7.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:46BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:48BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:41TTU 4th & 20 at BAY 28, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−6.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−11.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:30BAY 4th & 5 at TTU 44, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−5.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:55BAY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:04BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:42TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:48TTU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
51.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Drake Dabney for 8 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
51.1%
Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
51.1%
Qualan Jones run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
51.1%
Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
51.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
51.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
51.1%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:1752% → 53%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
51.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 5 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+10
51.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 10 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
51.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
51.9%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+3
51.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
52.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
52.0%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+3
51.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
52.9%
Jonathan Garibay 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 13 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
52.6%
Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
52.5%
Qualan Jones run for 5 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
52.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
52.8%
Issac Power punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
53.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 5 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-6
53.1%
Henry Colombi sacked by William Bradley-King for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+9
52.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 9 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 2
OWN 28
-5
52.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+11
52.4%
Jonathan Garibay punt for 56 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 11 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:4646% → 45%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
53.6%
Josh Fleeks run for 12 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
53.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 1 yd to the Bayl 45Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+8
53.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
52.8%
Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
53.4%
Josh Fleeks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
52.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by Eric MonroeSimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-6
53.1%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Riko Jeffers for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 13
OPP 48
+3
54.7%
Issac Power punt for 36 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for 3 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6INT TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4054% → 50%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
53.9%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+2
54.0%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-26
49.7%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Pitre return for 26 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:5550% → 49%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
50.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
50.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+12
49.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
50.4%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
50.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-10
49.5%
White, Xavier rush for 9 yards to the TTU39 (Morgan,C.), PENALTY TTU holding (Burger, Josh) 10 yards to the TTU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 20
+8
49.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
49.1%
Jonathan Garibay punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 6:4551% → 60%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
49.5%
Qualan Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+11
50.4%
Qualan Jones run for 11 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
49.1%
Qualan Jones run for no gain to the Bayl 42Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+5
49.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 5 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
48.8%
Jonah White run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyree Wilson) to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Qualan JonesSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
48.4%
Qualan Jones run for 14 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
48.2%
Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
48.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+8
48.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
45.6%
Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
45.6%
Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.0%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
40.3%
John Mayers 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 6:0042% → 47%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
42.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+21
43.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 21 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
45.3%
Myles Price run for 6 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
45.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
45.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
46.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 6 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+6
46.3%
Henry Colombi run for 6 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
46.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the Bayl 19Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
46.3%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 20Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+5
45.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+7
44.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
46.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 7Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
46.3%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 10Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
43.8%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
46.8%
Jonathan Garibay 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:1255% → 66%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
44.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
44.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+24
44.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 24 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
41.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 5 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
40.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+48
34.4%
John Mayers 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
40.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
40.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-7
41.9%
Myles Price run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 34 Myles Price fumbled, recovered by Bayl Dillon DoyleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5865% → 79%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
34.9%
Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
34.7%
Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-4
35.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+16
35.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 16 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
34.7%
Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
34.7%
Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 8Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
21.2%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.9%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
26.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma, broken up by Christian MorganSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
25.2%
Henry Colombi sacked by Garmon Randolph for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
25.1%
Jonathan Garibay punt for 48 yds, downed at the Bayl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-20
20.5%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Zech McPhearson return for 20 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:0727% → 41%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
27.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+9
28.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 9 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
28.2%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the Bayl 20Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+19
28.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 19 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.3%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Garibay PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
32.0%
Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+19
31.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 19 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
30.2%
McWilliams, T rush for no gain to the TTU46 (Jeffers, Riko), PENALTY BU illegal motion (Atkinson,Jared) 5 yards to the BU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-1
31.3%
Qualan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+9
31.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
30.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
32.0%
Issac Power punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for no gain to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
33.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
33.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
32.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
31.5%
Jonathan Garibay punt for 53 yds, downed at the Bayl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 3:5970% → 76%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
30.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 10 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
29.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 4 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+14
29.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Drake Dabney for 14 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
28.4%
Taye McWilliams run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
28.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JT WoodsSimilar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+15
28.9%
Qualan Jones run for 15 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
27.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+8
27.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the TexTc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
27.8%
Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 5Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
27.8%
Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 4Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
28.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
30.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 6Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
24.1%
John Mayers 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1124% → 22%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 11 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
24.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-3
25.9%
Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
23.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
22.4%
Jonathan Garibay punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
22.8%
Jonah White run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 3Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+3
22.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Drake Dabney for 3 yds to the Bayl 6Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+4
23.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 4 yds to the Bayl 10 BAYLOR Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
22.9%
Issac Power punt for 31 yds, downed at the Bayl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:2723% → 44%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
23.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 28 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
26.0%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the Bayl 10Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+8
26.0%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY BU pass interference (Pitre,Jalen) 8 yards to the BU2, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.1%
Xavier White run for no gain to the Bayl 2Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
31.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-10
30.8%
Brewer,Charlie rush for 4 yards to the BU29, PENALTY BU holding (Burton, Jake) 10 yards to the BU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+25
32.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 25 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
28.6%
Qualan Jones run for no gain to the Bayl 40Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
29.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the Bayl 48 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (Xavier Newman-Johnson) to the Bayl 38Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+4
30.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 4 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-2
29.5%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Colin Schooler for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 40Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
33.1%
Issac Power punt for 44 yds, downed at the TexTc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:4037% → 42%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
37.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+46
37.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 46 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
46.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Tahj Brooks for 6 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
46.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 1 yd to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
43.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 6 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
46.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
46.4%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the Bayl 13Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 5
OPP 13
-10
43.5%
Brooks, Tahj rush for 3 yards to the BU10, PENALTY TTU holding (Wright, Weston) 10 yards to the BU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
40.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 15
OPP 23
-5
36.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+46
42.1%
Jonathan Garibay 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:1166% → 77%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
33.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 15 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
30.6%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 38Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+13
32.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 13 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
29.6%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
21.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the TexTc 44Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
20.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
22.8%
Issac Power punt for 30 yds, downed at the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25FG
13 plays · 79 yds · 2:1433% → 95%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
32.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+30
32.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 30 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
38.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for a loss of 15 yards to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 25
OWN 33
+30
32.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 30 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
40.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 4 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+9
43.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 9 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
43.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
41.8%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+15
38.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 15 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
43.6%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
43.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Bayl 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
95.2%
Jonathan Garibay 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Jonathan Garibay 25 yd FG GOOD
+51.6
TD · Q4 11:48
Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+17.5
TD · Q3 11:04
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com