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WVU

West Virginia 13 at Texas 17

TEX
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:19 · Kolton McGhee punt for 41 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+14.8Home team on offense−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Blowout margin+0.2Score differential−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 10:11: Casey Legg 25 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +5.3 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:31: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 33 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +12.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:22: Casey Legg 34 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:30: Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 05:30 — TEX win probability +6.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:48: Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 04:48 — TEX win probability +8.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 7:26TEX 4th & 4 at WVU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.1%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:56WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 9, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:22TEX 4th & 1 at WVU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55TEX 4th & 4 at WVU 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:44WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:31TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:17WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:51TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:43WVU 4th & 5 at TEX 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:07TEX 4th & 7 at WVU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:11WVU 4th & 2 at TEX 9, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%−1.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−10.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:08WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:42TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−1.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:22WVU 4th & 17 at TEX 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−10.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:48TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−3.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:24WVU 4th & 1 at TEX 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%−3.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−16.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:19TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−3.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:44WVU 4th & 1 at TEX 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−19.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:35TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:58WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:31TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0569% → 70%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
68.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 54 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
68.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 3 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
68.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+11
68.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 11 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
68.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
68.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2231% → 33%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
69.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
69.3%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
69.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
69.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
69.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 9
50
0
69.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 9
50
+38
69.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 38 yds to the Texas 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
67.1%
Leddie Brown run for 12 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:0468% → 68%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+33
68.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 18 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
68.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
68.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
68.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
67.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 40 yds, downed at the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0933% → 32%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
67.5%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
67.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+3
67.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 3 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
68.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2368% → 68%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
68.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
68.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
68.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
67.7%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:4833% → 34%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
66.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
66.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+10
66.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
65.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 9
50
0
65.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. BanksSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 9
50
-2
65.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 11
OWN 48
-2
66.5%
Kolton McGhee punt for 41 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:0466% → 68%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
66.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+12
66.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 12 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
66.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+10
67.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
67.5%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Eagles, Brennan, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference 15 yards to the WESTVIR44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
68.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+21
67.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tarik Black for 21 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
68.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
68.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-2
67.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
67.8%
Cameron Dicker 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0533% → 32%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
66.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
67.1%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
68.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0767% → 66%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
67.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 8 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+1
67.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
66.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
67.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
67.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
66.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+46
66.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 17 Alec Sinkfield fumbled, recovered by WVirg Alec SinkfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1433% → 31%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
67.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
67.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
67.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for no gain to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+5
68.1%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
68.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds, downed at the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2069% → 67%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+5
68.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-5
68.7%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Dylan Tonkery for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
66.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 yds, downed at the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12Uncategorized
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:5733% → 35%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
66.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 5 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+4
67.4%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
67.8%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
66.9%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-6
67.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Moro Ojomo for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+28
68.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 28 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
65.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
66.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+21
65.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 6 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
63.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 4 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
63.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-2
63.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-14
65.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jarret Doege for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 46 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Jarret Doege) to the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:2370% → 69%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
70.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
70.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+10
69.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
71.5%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXAS holding 10 yards to the WESTVIR43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 20
OPP 43
-1
69.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 21
OPP 44
0
69.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 21
OPP 44
+14
68.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 14 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
68.8%
Cameron Dicker 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
70.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:3433% → 42%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
65.4%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
65.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 4 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
64.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
63.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 10 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
63.6%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+18
62.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 18 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
62.0%
Jarret Doege run for 7 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+1
61.8%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 9Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
63.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+25
57.8%
Casey Legg 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:2463% → 80%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
64.8%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+17
63.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 17 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
66.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 11 yds to the WVirg 32 Bijan Robinson fumbled, forced by Alonzo Addae, recovered by Texas Joshua Moore for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
67.2%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+33
79.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 33 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1625% → 24%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
74.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
74.3%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-4
72.7%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 42 Leddie Brown fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
75.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for no gain to the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1379% → 77%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
79.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+1
79.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 1 yd to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
77.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jared WileySimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+22
77.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 48 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 22 yds to the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:5827% → 30%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
72.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+11
72.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
71.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 6 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
70.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
70.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 14 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
70.5%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
74.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by DeMarvion Overshown for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 17Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
70.5%
Casey Legg 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:1472% → 70%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
74.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 3 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Kai MoneySimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
73.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
73.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 6
OWN 41
-5
71.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:1431% → 30%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+44
64.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 29 yds to the TEXAS 40 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
62.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
62.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
63.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
70.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5275% → 73%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
74.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
74.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+13
73.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
75.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
73.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 38 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 6 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:3028% → 15%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
71.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+29
72.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 29 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
67.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 12 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
65.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+3
67.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+9
65.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
67.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 3 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
65.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
74.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+7
76.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 7 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
84.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:0086% → 96%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
86.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+1
87.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 13Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+8
86.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 8 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
89.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+35
92.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 35 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-1
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:31
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 33 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+12.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:48
Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 04:48
+8.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:30
Timeout WEST VIRGINIA, clock 05:30
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com