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TTU

Texas Tech 18 at TCU 34

TCU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:52 · Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+14.8Home team on offense+7.3Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:32: Max Duggan run for 3 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +4.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: Quentin Johnston run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +7.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:33: Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 60 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +10.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:38: Max Duggan run for 48 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:47: Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 57 yds for a TD (M. Price Run For Two-point Conversion) — TTU win probability +10.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10TTU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:07TTU 4th & 30 at TTU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04TTU 4th & 19 at TTU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:48TCU 4th & 3 at TTU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:12TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:06TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:39TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:38TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:03TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:57TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:16TCU 4th & 16 at TCU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−2.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:52TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:52TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:26TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 38, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%
    38% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:33TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:31TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:45TCU 4th & 16 at TTU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−7.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:30TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:53TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:21TCU 4th & 12 at TTU 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:21TCU 4th & 6 at TTU 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:56TCU 4th & 2 at TTU 18, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−0.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−5.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:04TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 38, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:32TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:47TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:33TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:38TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:47TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:42TCU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -22 yds · 1:4324% → 24%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.2%
Henry Colombi run for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-16
76.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-16 Yards) to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 17
OWN 19
-6
76.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
76.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Travis KoontzSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-8
76.1%
Henry Colombi sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 30
OWN 5
+17
76.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds , Derius Davis returns for 17 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.1%
Max Duggan pass intercepted, touchback. Zech McPhearson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2624% → 24%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-8
75.6%
Henry Colombi sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 15
OWN 15
-4
75.5%
Henry Colombi sacked by Earl Barquet for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 19
OWN 11
+4
75.6%
TEAM punt for 25 yds , C.J. Ceasar II returns for 4 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4776% → 76%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
75.8%
Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
75.7%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
75.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
75.9%
Griffin Kell 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3124% → 24%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.7%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Trey ClevelandSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to John Holcomb for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
75.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
75.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds, downed at the TCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4975% → 75%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
75.4%
Duggan, Max pass complete to Conwright, Blair for 21 yards to the TCU48, PENALTY TCU ineligible downfield on pass (Coker, Andrew) 5 yards to the TCU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+8
75.2%
Darwin Barlow run for 8 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
75.3%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
75.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
74.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chux Nwabuko III at the TexTc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0625% → 24%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
75.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 4 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
75.1%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
75.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+16
75.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds , Derius Davis returns for 16 yds to the TCU 43 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:2975% → 74%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
74.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
74.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 6 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+7
74.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Carter Ware for 7 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
74.9%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-7
74.9%
Max Duggan sacked by Adam Beck for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-5
73.8%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Andrew Coker) to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+10
73.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-3
73.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 46 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1726% → 25%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
74.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 1 yd to the TexTc 15Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
74.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-6
74.6%
Henry Colombi sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 15
OWN 9
+20
75.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds , Derius Davis returns for 20 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:2175% → 80%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
75.2%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
75.5%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+13
75.0%
Zach Evans run for 13 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
75.5%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
75.5%
Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+4
74.9%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
75.4%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.1%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:1521% → 21%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
78.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 6 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+15
78.6%
Xavier White run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
50
+13
78.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 13 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
78.1%
Xavier White run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+12
78.7%
Myles Price run for 12 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
78.2%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
77.7%
Henry Colombi run for 6 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
77.7%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
77.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
77.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+6
78.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 2
OPP 7
0
79.2%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2480% → 79%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
80.0%
Kendre Miller run for no gain to the TCU 7Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+10
79.5%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Wells, Pro, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding (Watts, Cameron) 10 yards to the TCU17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
80.4%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-8
80.3%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 11 Max Duggan fumbled, recovered by TCU Derius DavisSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 16
OWN 11
0
79.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 16
OWN 11
0
79.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chux Nwabuko III at the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0820% → 19%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for no gain to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
79.9%
Xavier White run for 7 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
79.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Weston Wright) to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
80.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
81.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4681% → 80%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
81.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 4 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
81.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
80.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+32
80.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chux Nwabuko III at the TEXASTECH 39 TCU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:2721% → 18%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
79.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
79.2%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+3
79.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 3 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+3
79.7%
Henry Colombi run for 3 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
78.8%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-4
78.9%
Henry Colombi sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+17
81.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 17 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 4:5878% → 89%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
77.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 9 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+22
78.3%
Darwin Barlow run for 22 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
79.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
79.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston TCU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Austin Myers) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+10
78.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (DaMarcus Fields) to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
80.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 3 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+12
80.0%
Max Duggan run for 12 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
80.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
80.7%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+19
79.9%
Max Duggan run for 19 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
80.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
80.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.7%
Quentin Johnston run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1213% → 24%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+60
75.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 60 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3981% → 80%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.0%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
81.1%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
80.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 1 yd to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-9
79.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 45 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4522% → 20%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
77.7%
Chadarius Townsend run for 1 yd to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+1
78.0%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
79.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Chadarius TownsendSimilar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+50
79.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 48 yds , Derius Davis returns for 50 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3583% → 83%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
83.2%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
83.3%
Darwin Barlow run for 1 yd to the TexTc 9Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-11
82.3%
Taye Barber run for a loss of 11 yards to the TexTc 20 Taye Barber fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
83.2%
Griffin Kell 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0017% → 15%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
83.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
84.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
85.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds, downed at the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:0685% → 95%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-7
84.8%
Max Duggan sacked by Krishon Merriweather for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+21
84.3%
Derius Davis run for 6 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Adam Beck) to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
86.2%
Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+48
95.2%
Max Duggan run for 48 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:426% → 5%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Xavier WhiteSimilar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Austin McNamara punt blocked by Wyatt Harris blocked by Wyatt HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2796% → 96%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.6%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
95.9%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-6
96.2%
Max Duggan sacked by Colin Schooler for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
96.1%
Griffin Kell 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jaylon HutchingsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 1:125% → 16%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
95.2%
Henry Colombi run for 4 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
95.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 15 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
84.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 57 yds for a TD (M. Price Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26DOWNS
16 plays · 47 yds · 6:3986% → 93%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
85.7%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
85.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darwin BarlowSimilar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+16
84.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
87.3%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
87.8%
Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
88.5%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
88.7%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-1
88.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 14 yds to the TexTc 18 TCU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Taye Barber) to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
88.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+7
88.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 7 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
93.0%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-1
93.5%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+2
93.4%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 2
OPP 18
0
92.9%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27MISSED FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:039% → 10%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
90.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 12 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.7%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
90.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
90.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+15
91.2%
Colombi, Henry pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY TCU pass interference (Ceasar II, C.J.) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
88.4%
Henry Colombi run for 9 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+17
87.4%
Xavier White run for 17 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
87.2%
Henry Colombi run for 6 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+37
89.9%
Trey Wolff 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4894% → 99%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.0%
Zach Evans run for no gain to the TCU 20Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.2%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+81
99.1%
Max Duggan run for 81 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29INT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:593% → 2%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 3 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+9
97.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Henry Colombi pass intercepted Trevon Moehrig return for no gain to the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:47
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 57 yds for a TD (M. Price Run For Two-point Conversion)
-10.9
TD · Q3 8:33
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 60 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q3 0:38
Max Duggan run for 48 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com