Try the model
OKST

Oklahoma State 20 at Kansas State 18

KSU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:38 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:58: Blake Lynch 29 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +8.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:30: Brennan Presley run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +12.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 6:32: Will Howard run for 2 yds Will Howard fumbled, forced by Israel Antwine, recovered by OKSt Jason Taylor II , return for 85 yds (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +32.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:08: Will Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — KSU win probability +29.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:36OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:35KSU 4th & 9 at OKST 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:35OKST 4th & 6 at KSU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:14KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00OKST 4th & 1 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:58KSU 4th & 7 at OKST 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:58OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:53KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:55OKST 4th & 13 at KSU 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 27, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:39OKST 4th & 7 at KSU 18, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−8.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:39KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 21, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−5.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:30KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:58OKST 4th & 8 at KSU 16, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−11.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:48OKST 4th & 6 at midfield, up 1
    Close callPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:54OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 43, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:37KSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:30OKST Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:08KSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    30.9%−2.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
16.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
16.4%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 27 Spencer Sanders fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
16.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
17.3%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
17.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
17.2%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+3
17.2%
Ty Zentner punt for 48 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
18.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 1 yd to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
18.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 15 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
17.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
17.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-3
17.9%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+10
18.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 32 , Phillip Brooks returns for 10 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:1419% → 23%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
19.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
50
+6
19.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+10
19.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
19.4%
Harry Trotter run for 11 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
19.5%
Harry Trotter run for 6 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+1
19.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the OKSt 16Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
19.3%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
19.5%
Will Howard run for no gain to the OKSt 13Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
19.5%
Seth Porter run for 1 yd to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
19.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
22.6%
Blake Lynch 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.7%
LD Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
22.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 22 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
22.0%
LD Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
22.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to LD BrownSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+5
22.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
22.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
23.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
23.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-2
23.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
23.1%
Jack Blumer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0176% → 75%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
24.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
23.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 1
50
0
23.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
50
0
25.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:5325% → 35%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
25.4%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
25.5%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
25.2%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
25.5%
Will Howard run for 25 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
26.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jax Dineen for 13 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
27.0%
Phillip Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+16
27.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Jax Dineen for 16 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
27.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the OKSt 14Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
27.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
26.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
34.6%
Blake Lynch 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-15
31.9%
Presley, B, rush for loss of 2 yards to the OSU27 (McPherson, J.), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Johnson, B.) 15 yards to the OSU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+11
32.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 11 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
33.1%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Wyatt Hubert and Bronson Massie for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
33.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
39.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jax DineenSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
38.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
37.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Harry TrotterSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+26
36.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the KANSASST 16 KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Elijah Sullivan) to the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
35.8%
LD Brown run for 8 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
34.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+8
34.6%
LD Brown run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
34.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
33.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
33.8%
LD Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+1
35.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 13
OPP 44
0
35.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
37.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 2:1442% → 56%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
41.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 3
OWN 18
-3
42.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+69
43.1%
Will Howard run for 69 yds to the OKSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
46.8%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
46.8%
Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
45.9%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.2%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
54.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
58.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Jax Dineen for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
57.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
56.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.1%
Jack Blumer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:1542% → 45%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
58.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+11
58.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 11 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
57.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
57.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 11 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
56.3%
Sanders,Spencer pass complete to Presley, B, for 3 yards to the KS48 (Sullivan, E.;McPherson, J.), PENALTY KS 12 men on the field 5 yards to the KS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+25
55.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
54.1%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
54.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
55.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Landon Wolf, broken up by Kiondre ThomasSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
54.6%
Alex Hale 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
57.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Josh Rivas) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
56.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
56.5%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
55.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+30
54.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 20 yds, downed at the OKSt 41 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:1046% → 60%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+50
54.1%
LD Brown run for 50 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
51.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (Teven Jenkins) to the KanSt 6Similar
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
51.7%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
52.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
39.6%
Brennan Presley run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.4%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
44.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 5 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
43.9%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
43.0%
Jack Blumer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:4256% → 63%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
44.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+23
43.4%
LD Brown run for 23 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
40.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
40.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+6
41.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
39.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 9 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
38.9%
LD Brown run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
38.9%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the KanSt 17Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-7
38.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 16
OPP 24
+8
42.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
36.9%
Alex Hale 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5838% → 37%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
38.6%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
39.9%
Phillip Brooks run for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
42.7%
Will Howard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
43.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
42.8%
Will Howard run for no gain to the KanSt 47 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by KanStSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
37.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
38.3%
Sanders,Spencer rush for loss of 1 yard to the OSU11 (Jones, Wayne), PENALTY KS offside (Jones, Wayne) 5 yards to the OSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 5
OWN 17
-1
37.9%
LD Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+1
38.4%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+11
39.9%
LD Brown run for 11 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
37.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 18 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
34.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
35.2%
Dezmon Jackson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
34.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 4 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-5
36.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, delay of game (Spencer Sanders) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 6
50
0
38.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 2:0842% → 19%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+58
42.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 58 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
51.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+8
50.8%
Will Howard run for 8 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+85
18.6%
Will Howard run for 2 yds Will Howard fumbled, forced by Israel Antwine, recovered by OKSt Jason Taylor II , return for 85 yds (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:1715% → 48%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
15.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jax Dineen for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
15.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
15.8%
Will Howard run for 11 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
17.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-4
15.3%
Will Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+25
13.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 25 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
19.1%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Brooks, Phillip, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Harper, Thomas) 15 yards to the OSU6, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
19.1%
Keenan Garber run for 4 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.3%
Will Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:1379% → 81%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
21.2%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-4
19.4%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+5
19.3%
LD Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
19.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
27.9%
Will Howard pass intercepted Tre Sterling return for 13 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -14 yds · 0:0087% → 84%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
13.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 14
OPP 42
-5
14.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 19
OPP 47
-5
16.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 6:32
Will Howard run for 2 yds Will Howard fumbled, forced by Israel Antwine, recovered by OKSt Jason Taylor II , return for 85 yds (Alex Hale KICK)
-32.3
TD · Q4 2:08
Will Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+29.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com