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TEX

Texas 41 at Oklahoma State 34

OKST
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTQ4OTTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:55 · Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 1 yd to the Texas 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTQ4OTPlay 33Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior+5.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:09: Tylan Wallace 9 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick) — OKST win probability +10.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:57: D'Shawn Jamison 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Cameron Dicker PAT failed) — TEX win probability +12.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:27: Jake Smith 12 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Sam Ehlinger Pass to Cade Brewer for Two-Point Conversion) — TEX win probability +39.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:05: Alex Hale 34 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +34.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Joshua Moore 15 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick) — TEX win probability +24.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 12:42TEX 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:23TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55OKST 4th & 23 at OKST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:43TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:56TEX 4th & 3 at OKST 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:34TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 25, down 4
    Close callPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49OKST 4th & 8 at TEX 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:15OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:20TEX 4th & 19 at TEX 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:38TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 44, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:17OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:56TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 48, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:17TEX 4th & 4 at OKST 24, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−0.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−12.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:27TEX 4th & 7 at OKST 12, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%−2.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    25.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−12.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:44OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:13TEX 4th & 17 at TEX 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−9.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:05OKST 4th & 2 at TEX 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−14.5
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−30.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:23OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:31TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:36OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:20TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:15OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:09OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:57TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:27TEX Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    56.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1044% → 44%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
56.1%
Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+24
56.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 24 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
56.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
56.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+3
56.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 5
50
0
56.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:1456% → 59%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
56.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+28
56.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 28 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
56.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
56.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+20
56.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to LD Brown for 5 yds to the OKLAST 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
57.0%
Braydon Johnson run for 19 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
58.7%
Tylan Wallace 11 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5442% → 41%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
58.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
58.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Bijan RobinsonSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+11
58.2%
Bijan Robinson run for 11 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
58.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
58.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0559% → 59%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
58.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
58.8%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by Texas Jacoby JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:3242% → 45%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
57.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 10 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
57.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.5%
Keaontay Ingram 1 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:3157% → 56%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
56.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
56.2%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson, Braydon, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
57.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 15 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
57.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-5
57.2%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 16
OPP 49
-7
56.6%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jacoby Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 23
OWN 44
+1
56.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 1 yd to the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0643% → 43%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
56.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+3
56.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+5
56.9%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Eagles, Brennan, PENALTY OKLAST offside 5 yards to the TEXAS18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
56.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
55.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-2
56.4%
Derek Kerstetter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 25 Derek Kerstetter fumbled, recovered by Texas Sam EhlingerSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+10
57.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 10 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:0157% → 63%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
57.2%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-3
57.6%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+32
56.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to LD Brown for 32 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+25
58.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 25 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
62.9%
Landon Wolf 5 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0239% → 46%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
61.4%
Ehlinger, Sam pass complete to Brewer, Cade for 7 yards to the TEXAS32, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Wiley, Jared) 12 yards to the TEXAS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+11
61.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 11 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+19
61.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 19 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
61.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
60.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
60.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 3 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
60.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+41
54.5%
Brennan Eagles 41 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:0257% → 58%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
57.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 12 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
57.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-41
57.9%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Jalen Green return for 41 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0847% → 47%
Q2 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
53.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
54.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 1 yd to the OKSt 3Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
53.0%
Cameron Dicker 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3554% → 63%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.3%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
54.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
55.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+12
53.9%
LD Brown run for 12 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
56.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 4 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
56.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 7 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+35
56.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 35 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
62.5%
Chuba Hubbard 5 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2940% → 38%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
60.1%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
60.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 5 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
60.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 58 yds, downed at the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14FG
18 plays · 69 yds · 4:4561% → 70%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
61.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+28
61.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 28 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
62.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
63.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
63.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
63.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+10
62.8%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY TEXAS holding 10 yards to the TEXAS37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
64.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+1
65.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
64.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 8 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
65.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
65.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 17Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+3
65.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
66.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
69.9%
Alex Hale 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3830% → 29%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
70.3%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
71.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+10
71.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 10 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+7
71.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 56 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:2569% → 69%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
68.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 41 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
71.7%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Ta'Quon Graham for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 16
OPP 40
0
69.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+33
69.2%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 20 Spencer Sanders fumbled, forced by Joseph Ossai, recovered by Texas Ta'Quon Graham , return for 0 yards , return for 33 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17FG
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:1636% → 36%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
64.3%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Amen Ogbongbemiga for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
66.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+40
63.7%
Cameron Dicker 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3863% → 62%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
64.2%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
62.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
61.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:4938% → 35%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
62.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+10
62.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 10 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
61.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
61.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
62.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
64.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 14
OWN 31
-5
64.7%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
65.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:0763% → 81%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
63.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+18
66.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
68.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Logan CarterSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
68.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
69.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 6 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+7
70.3%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
70.4%
LD Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+18
70.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
70.7%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 9Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
80.8%
Tylan Wallace 9 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
59.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:0568% → 67%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
67.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
66.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:2735% → 33%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
65.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
63.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 3 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
64.9%
Kai Money run for 9 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
62.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
62.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
62.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
63.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 4 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-5
62.0%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
65.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
67.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:1568% → 67%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
68.3%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
68.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
69.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
68.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
66.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:1134% → 33%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+29
66.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 29 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
62.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
63.3%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
64.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Al'Vonte WoodardSimilar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
67.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27FUMBLE
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:4169% → 78%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
69.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
68.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+5
67.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
0
60.4%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
60.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 13
OPP 25
-15
64.7%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson, Braydon, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
73.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
73.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 11 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
74.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 13 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
77.7%
LD Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 41 LD Brown fumbled, recovered by Texas Joseph Ossai , return for 8 yds to the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28TD
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:3736% → 73%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
64.3%
Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
67.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for no gain to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+15
68.6%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Eagles, Brennan, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Holmes, Christian) 15 yards to the OKLAST47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
62.0%
Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-15
62.2%
Ehlinger, Sam pass complete to Black, Tarik for 20 yards to the OKLAST26, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 15 yards to the TEXAS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 24
OWN 39
+8
67.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 8 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 16
OWN 47
-6
68.1%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Brock Martin and Calvin Bundage for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 22
OWN 41
+24
70.6%
Bujcevski, Ryan punt 39 yards to the OKLAST20, fair catch by Stoner, Dillon, PENALTY OKLAST roughing the kicker (Williams, Kanion) 15 yards to the OKLAST 44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
64.1%
Jake Smith run for 7 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
63.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
62.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
61.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+1
65.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+9
69.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 9 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
64.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+6
66.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 6 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
67.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+12
27.5%
Jake Smith 12 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Sam Ehlinger Pass to Cade Brewer for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3837% → 33%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
37.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
32.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 2:2575% → 84%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
24.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 2 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
24.9%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+9
25.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
20.8%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
19.3%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+3
18.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 17
OWN 36
+3
15.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31DOWNS TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 16:0826% → 17%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
26.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 7 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+20
22.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 20 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
25.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 28 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
38.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
37.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
29.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
62.3%
Alex Hale 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
40.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
43.7%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Moore, Joshua, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
40.5%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
16.5%
Joshua Moore 15 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 32Uncategorized
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 20%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
24.0%
LD Brown run for 11 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
28.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Texas 19Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+1
22.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the Texas 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+4
22.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Texas 14Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+2
21.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the Texas 12Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 12
-13
19.6%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 13 yards to the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:27
Jake Smith 12 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Sam Ehlinger Pass to Cade Brewer for Two-Point Conversion)
-39.5
FG · Q4 0:05
Alex Hale 34 yd FG GOOD
+34.9
TD · OT 0:00
Joshua Moore 15 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)
-24
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com