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ISU

Iowa State 52 at Kansas 22

KU
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+3.6KU 5.3%Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds for a TD(Andrew Parchment pass to KwamieLassiter II for Two-Point Conversion)AWAY 38 - HOME 22 · Q4 7:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:34 · Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Parchment pass to Kwamie Lassiter II for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior−9.9Home team on offense−28.5Score differential−16.6Garbage-time factor−11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:27: Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:12: Drake Nettles kickoff for 65 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. return for 100 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +5.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:14: Breece Hall run for 7 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy pass to Charlie Kolar for Two-Point Conversion) — ISU win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:34: Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Parchment pass to Kwamie Lassiter II for Two-Point Conversion) — KU win probability +3.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:05: Breece Hall run for 58 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:29KU 4th & 6 at KU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:02KU 4th & 13 at ISU 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:25ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:15KU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 4 at KU 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:12KU 4th & 6 at ISU 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:59ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:57KU 4th & 6 at KU 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:27ISU 4th & 1 at KU 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−1.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07KU 4th & 9 at KU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:02ISU 4th & 10 at KU 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:49KU 4th & 23 at KU 17, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:01KU 4th & 12 at KU 20, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:46ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:07ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:01KU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:00ISU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27ISU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:14ISU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:34KU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:05ISU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:14ISU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:314% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
3.9%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
3.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
4.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete, broken up by Isheem YoungSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
4.3%
Reis Vernon punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2996% → 95%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
4.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 11 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
4.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 5 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+9
4.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 9 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
4.3%
Breece Hall run for 16 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
4.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 21 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
4.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 18 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
4.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
4.7%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-10
4.7%
Daniels, Jalon pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 27 yards to the ISU39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KU holding (Bostick,Earl) 10 yards to the KU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+11
4.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the Kans 35 Jalon Daniels fumbled, forced by Isheem Young, recovered by IowSt Greg Eisworth IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:1395% → 95%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
4.9%
Breece Hall run for 31 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
4.8%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.7%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD KANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
5.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 15 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
5.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 13
OPP 45
0
5.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Velton GardnerSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
4.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Velton Gardner for no gain to the IowSt 45 IOWA ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
4.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:2295% → 95%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+19
4.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 19 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
4.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 5 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
4.9%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
4.9%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
5.2%
Brock Purdy sacked by DaJon Terry for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 15
OWN 35
-10
5.3%
Purdy, Brock pass complete to Shaw, Sean for 17 yards to the KU48 (Prunty, Karon), PENALTY ISU holding (Nwangwu, Kene) 10 yards to the ISU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 25
OWN 25
+2
5.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 23
OWN 27
+9
5.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
5.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 14 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
50
0
5.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
50
+7
5.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 7 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-7
5.9%
Jalon Daniels sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 10
50
0
5.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:2994% → 94%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
5.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
5.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+14
5.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Kenny Logan Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
5.8%
Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
5.6%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-1
5.6%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+3
5.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+3
5.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:117% → 10%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
6.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
6.9%
Daniels, Jalon rush for 2 yards to the ISU42, PENALTY KU holding (Clark,Malik) 10 yards to the KU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+10
6.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 10 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
6.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 4 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
6.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke GrimmSimilar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+36
6.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 36 yds to the IowSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
7.1%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 5Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
10.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:0092% → 93%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
8.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
8.2%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
8.2%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
8.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
8.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan SoehnerSimilar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
8.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+11
8.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
8.3%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
8.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Johnnie Lang Jr.Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+15
8.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 15 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
8.3%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
8.3%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11MISSED FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 3:538% → 9%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
8.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 16 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
8.5%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
8.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+8
8.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
8.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
8.7%
Velton Gardner run for 8 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
9.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Luke Grimm, broken up by Eyioma UwazurikeSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
9.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 14 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
9.5%
Jalon Daniels sacked by O'Rien Vance and Arnold Azunna for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
7.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
7.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+15
6.9%
Daniels, Jalon pass incomplete to Naylor,Ezra, PENALTY ISU roughing passer (Vance, O'Rien) 15 yards to the ISU20, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
8.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Luke Grimm for 5 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
8.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+33
8.7%
Jacob Borcila 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
7.8%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
7.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
7.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-3
8.0%
N/A run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 14:59
4TH & 14
OWN 31
-3
8.2%
Joe Rivera punt for 47 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
8.9%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
8.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-2
8.8%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
8.6%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds, downed at the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:4693% → 97%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
6.9%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
7.1%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+12
7.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 12 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
6.7%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY KU substitution infraction 5 yards to the KU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+3
7.0%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
7.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 1 yd to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
7.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+36
3.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:4992% → 99%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
8.2%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-10
6.9%
Hall, Breece rush for 4 yards to the ISU32 (Thomas,Ricky), PENALTY ISU holding (Simmons, Darrell) 10 yards to the ISU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+25
7.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 25 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
6.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 3
50
+24
6.2%
Kene Nwangwu run for 24 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
6.2%
Kene Nwangwu run for 11 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
6.2%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
1.3%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy pass to Charlie Kolar for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
2.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Mason Fairchild, broken up by Mike RoseSimilar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
2.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 13 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
2.4%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
2.4%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+7
2.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.5%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted Greg Eisworth II return for no gain to the IowSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
1.3%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
1.3%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
1.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar, broken up by Kyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
1.4%
Joe Rivera punt for 29 yds, downed at the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
1.7%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
1.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+29
1.7%
Reis Vernon punt for 48 yds , Greg Eisworth II returns for 29 yds to the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
1.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
1.2%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+4
1.2%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
1.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
1.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
1.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
1.1%
Connor Assalley 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:171% → 5%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
1.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-4
1.3%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+25
1.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 25 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
1.5%
Velton Gardner run for 21 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
1.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 7 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
1.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
1.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Mason Fairchild, broken up by Isheem YoungSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
5.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Parchment pass to Kwamie Lassiter II for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
3.4%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-12
3.4%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Kenny Logan Jr. return for 12 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
4.1%
Velton Gardner sacked by O'Rien Vance and JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 20
OWN 20
0
4.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 20
OWN 20
-3
4.0%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 23
OWN 17
0
4.0%
Reis Vernon punt for 41 yds , Greg Eisworth II returns for no gain to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
0.6%
Breece Hall run for 58 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
0.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-2
0.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Daniel Hishaw Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-2
0.8%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
0.8%
Liam Jones punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
0.5%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Easton Dean for 25 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
0.1%
Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Joe Scates for 30 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Gayflor Flomo run for no gain to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
0.1%
Gayflor Flomo run for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
0.1%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Jordan Brown for 4 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Amauri Pesek Hickson run for no gain to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:12
Drake Nettles kickoff for 65 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. return for 100 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q3 3:14
Breece Hall run for 7 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy pass to Charlie Kolar for Two-Point Conversion)
-4.8
TD · Q3 7:27
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 36 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com