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Oklahoma 33 at TCU 14

TCU
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:20 · Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 38 yds to the TCU 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−35.3Score differential−19.4Pregame prior−4.1Garbage-time factor−12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:40: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 50 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +9.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:38: Daimarqua Foster run for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +5.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:19: Gabe Brkic 22 yd FG GOOD — OU win probability +5.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:57: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 61 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +11.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:42: Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 11 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +3.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:28TCU 4th & 17 at TCU 19, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43TCU 4th & 13 at TCU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37OU 4th & 9 at TCU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:47TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:46OU 4th & 4 at OU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:39TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:38TCU 4th & 2 at OU 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:34OU 4th & 14 at OU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:59TCU 4th & 14 at OU 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23OU 4th & 11 at TCU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:55TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:19OU 4th & 5 at TCU 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:46TCU 4th & 8 at OU 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:20TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:50OU 4th & 10 at TCU 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:33TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 19, down 23
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:17OU 4th & 7 at TCU 44, up 23
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:26OU 4th & 10 at TCU 13, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:57OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:40OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:38TCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:57OU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:42TCU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:5066% → 66%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
34.3%
T.J. Pledger run for 13 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
34.5%
T.J. Pledger run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+43
34.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Seth McGowan for 43 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
34.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 5 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
34.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 3 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+12
34.2%
T.J. Pledger run for 12 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 3:0935% → 34%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
34.5%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
34.4%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+12
34.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-11
34.6%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the TCU 37 TCU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TCU 22Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-3
34.3%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 19Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+30
34.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 30 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
35.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
35.0%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-6
34.9%
Max Duggan sacked by Marcus Stripling for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
34.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:4366% → 66%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
34.4%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+44
34.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 44 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
33.7%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+16
33.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 16 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
33.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
33.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
33.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
33.8%
Gabe Brkic 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3534% → 34%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
34.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
34.5%
Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-3
34.9%
Kendre Miller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
34.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
34.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4766% → 66%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
34.0%
Seth McGowan run for 11 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
33.7%
Spencer Rattler run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
33.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 10 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
33.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
33.7%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5433% → 32%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
32.5%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
32.7%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
32.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+4
31.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 50 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 4 yds to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4267% → 77%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
33.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Khari Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+15
33.3%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Stogner, Austin, PENALTY TCU pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
32.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
32.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+13
33.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+50
23.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 50 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4926% → 32%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
25.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 47 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
27.3%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-5
27.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+9
27.1%
Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+6
26.5%
Daimarqua Foster run for 6 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
26.7%
Daimarqua Foster run for 9 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-1
26.4%
Daimarqua Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
25.7%
Daimarqua Foster run for no gain to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
31.6%
Daimarqua Foster run for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5268% → 66%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
32.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-4
32.7%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
33.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
33.6%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2931% → 29%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 28 lat. to Mikel Barkley for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+8
30.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 8 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+15
29.6%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Johnston, Quentin, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
31.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
31.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
32.6%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
32.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-3
30.9%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
28.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:2170% → 72%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
30.0%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+18
30.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 18 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
29.0%
Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
28.5%
Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
28.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
28.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
27.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 5 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+11
27.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
26.5%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
26.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+3
27.3%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+54
27.6%
Gabe Brkic 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:2028% → 30%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
28.1%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+15
28.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darwin Barlow for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
29.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 18 yds to the OKLAHOMA 44 TCU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+5
28.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Procedure (5 Yards) to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+49
29.9%
Griffin Kell 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5027% → 25%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-12
27.4%
Max Duggan sacked by Brian Asamoah for a loss of 12 yards to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+14
25.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 14 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
24.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:2574% → 80%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
26.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+4
26.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 4 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+15
27.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 15 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
25.7%
Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
25.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 33 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
25.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+10
25.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 10 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
24.9%
T.J. Pledger run for no gain to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
24.8%
Spencer Rattler run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
25.4%
T.J. Pledger run for 4 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
19.7%
Gabe Brkic 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:0723% → 20%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
22.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 8 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
23.0%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+17
21.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 17 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
23.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 1 yd to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-8
22.2%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the TCU 39 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
20.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+9
19.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
19.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds, downed at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 93 yds · 1:3684% → 97%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
15.8%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+25
15.8%
T.J. Pledger run for 25 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
14.7%
T.J. Pledger run for 5 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+61
3.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 61 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:255% → 5%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.2%
Taye Barber run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
5.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 23Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
5.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
4.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 6 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+38
4.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 38 yds to the TCU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:1597% → 99%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
2.6%
T.J. Pledger run for 4 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+9
2.6%
T.J. Pledger run for 9 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
2.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Okla Jeremiah HallSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+7
2.4%
T.J. Pledger run for 7 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+5
2.4%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-7
2.2%
Spencer Rattler run for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 17
OPP 22
-4
2.2%
T.J. Pledger run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 21
OPP 26
+11
2.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 11 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
1.5%
Gabe Brkic 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:532% → 2%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
2.2%
Max Duggan sacked by Kori Roberson for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+12
2.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 12 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
1.9%
Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
1.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
1.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 13 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
0.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
0.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
0.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
0.7%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:261% → 5%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
1.1%
TCU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TCU 13Similar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+21
1.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 21 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
1.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
1.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 6 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+10
1.0%
Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
50
+5
1.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 5 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+34
1.1%
Max Duggan run for 34 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
4.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 11 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:0599% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
1.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 17 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
1.4%
T.J. Pledger run for 6 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
1.0%
T.J. Pledger run for 6 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
1.0%
Seth McGowan run for 20 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+2
0.9%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
0.4%
Gabe Brkic 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:212% → 2%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
1.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+14
1.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 14 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
1.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 7 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
1.6%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
1.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 8 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:57
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 61 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q2 13:40
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 50 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q2 9:38
Daimarqua Foster run for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com