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KU

Kansas 14 at Kansas State 55

KSU
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:22 · Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+37.6Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:13: Blake Lynch 21 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:26: Jalon Daniels pass intercepted for a TD Justin Gardner return for 24 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:16: Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +4.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:52: Will Howard pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:17: Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:41KSU 4th & 25 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22KU 4th & 1 at KU 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:22KU 4th & 2 at KSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:28KU 4th & 5 at KSU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:28KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 5 at KU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:23KSU 4th & 4 at KU 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:16KU 4th & 1 at KU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.7%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:13KSU 4th & 2 at KU 3, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:16KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 30, up 13
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00KU 4th & 6 at KU 20, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:17KU 4th & 9 at KU 37, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:42KU 4th & 7 at KSU 40, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 2 at KU 33, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:38KSU 4th & 18 at KU 38, up 48
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:07KU 4th & 7 at KU 23, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:08KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 40, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:49KU 4th & 11 at KSU 47, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:38KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:15KU 4th & 14 at KSU 16, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:26KSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:16KU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:52KSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:42KSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:48KSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:38KU Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.3%
Donovan Gagen punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
90.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
89.9%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+36
89.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 36 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
90.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
90.0%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 15
OPP 28
-5
90.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 20
OPP 33
0
90.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 20
OPP 33
0
89.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Harry TrotterSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 20
OPP 33
-5
89.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 25
OPP 38
0
89.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2911% → 10%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
89.1%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
89.1%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
89.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+5
89.2%
Gagen,Donovan punt 26 yards to the KU38, Brooks, Phillip return to the KU30, out-of-bounds (McQueen,K.), PENALTY KS roughing the kicker (Elder, Ross) 5 yards to the KU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+55
89.6%
Donovan Gagen punt for 38 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 55 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4MISSED FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 6:5411% → 12%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.5%
Daniels, Jalon pass incomplete to Parchment,A., PENALTY KS pass interference (Gardner, Justin) 15 yards to the KU40, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
89.4%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+15
89.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 15 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
89.3%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Drew Wiley and Eli Huggins for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+4
89.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+11
89.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
89.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
89.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
89.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+2
89.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
89.1%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
89.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+1
88.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
88.3%
Jacob Borcila 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
88.6%
Vaughn, Deuce rush for no gain to the KS22 (Prunty, Karon), PENALTY KS illegal block (Moore, Briley) 11 yards to the KS11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+2
88.6%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 19
OWN 13
-4
88.6%
Will Howard run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Harry Trotter) to the KanSt 9Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 23
OWN 9
+3
88.5%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+15
88.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 15 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-2
88.3%
Jack Blumer punt for 49 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 25 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Kans 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
88.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-6
88.2%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+8
88.6%
Velton Gardner run for 8 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+40
88.6%
Donovan Gagen punt for 42 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 40 yds to the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5789% → 89%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
88.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
88.8%
Will Howard run for no gain to the Kans 12 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by KanSt Will HowardSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-1
88.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+32
88.6%
Blake Lynch 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Velton Gardner, broken up by Drew WileySimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
89.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
89.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Velton Gardner for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-1
89.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:4389% → 92%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
89.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 17 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
89.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
89.2%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+11
88.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 11 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
89.3%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
89.3%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+3
88.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Nick Lenners for 3 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+21
91.7%
Blake Lynch 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:479% → 5%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
90.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-24
95.5%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted for a TD Justin Gardner return for 24 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:105% → 10%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.3%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+27
95.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 27 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
94.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+6
94.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
94.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 12 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
94.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 7 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
94.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
90.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
91.9%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
91.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 31 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for no gain to the Kans 41 Kwamie Lassiter II fumbled, recovered by KanSt Tyler BurnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:2993% → 97%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
92.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 25 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
92.8%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
97.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:483% → 1%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
97.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 5 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
97.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
97.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Velton Gardner for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 1
OWN 25
-5
97.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+52
99.2%
Reis Vernon punt for 32 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 52 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4199% → 99%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+2
99.1%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 9 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+37
99.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 37 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II, broken up by Drew WileySimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.3%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Velton Gardner, broken up by Justin GardnerSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Reis Vernon punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
99.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+21
99.5%
Will Howard pass complete to D.J. Render for 21 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
99.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 24 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
99.5%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Moore, Briley, PENALTY KU pass interference (Feaster, Denzel) 14 yards to the KU2, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.5%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+27
99.7%
Velton Gardner run for 27 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.7%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor II, broken up by Kiondre ThomasSimilar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Jalon Daniels punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Tyler Burns for 5 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
99.7%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+16
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 16 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+27
99.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 27 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.7%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+8
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Mason Barta for 8 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
99.7%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+9
99.7%
Will Howard run for 9 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+9
99.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 9 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 13 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment KANSAS Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+42
99.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 39 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 42 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-10
99.9%
Ast, Nick pass complete to Barta, Mason for 4 yards to the KU24, PENALTY KS holding (Leveston, K.) 10 yards to the KU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 18
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Nick Ast pass incomplete to Samuel WheelerSimilar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 18
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Nick Ast pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Jack Blumer punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 6 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 6 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II, broken up by Jaylen PickleSimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-11
99.9%
Nick Ast sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 20
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Kaitori Leveston) to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 25
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Nick Ast run for 11 yds to the KanSt 40 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 51 yds, downed at the Kans 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+19
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 19 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Steven McBride for 7 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Steven McBride for 6 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kameron McQueen for 7 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
99.9%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Tyrone Taleni for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 16
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Velton Gardner for 5 yds to the KANSASST 47 KANSAS Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Reis Vernon punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the KanSt 15 Keyon Mozee fumbled, forced by Corione Harris, recovered by Kans Duece MayberrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:110% → 0%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
99.9%
Daniels, Jalon pass incomplete to Naylor,Ezra, PENALTY KS pass interference (Denson, Tee) 11 yards to the KS4, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
99.9%
Nick Ast pass complete to Keenan Garber for 9 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Nick Ast pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Jack Blumer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+28
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kyle Thompson for 28 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Steven McBride for 4 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Daniel Hishaw Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 4 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+14
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 14 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-7
100.0%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Felix Anudike for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 14
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:26
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted for a TD Justin Gardner return for 24 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 2:16
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q2 0:52
Will Howard pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com