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ISU

Iowa State 21 at Oklahoma State 24

OKST
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:50: Chuba Hubbard run for 32 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +8.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:12: Breece Hall run for 66 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +16.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:44: Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +15.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:49: Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +14.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:49: Connor Assalley on-side kick recovered by OKLAHOMA ST at the IowSt 48 — OKST win probability +7.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:17OKST 4th & 11 at ISU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:02OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47ISU 4th & 19 at OKST 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:10OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.0%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:27ISU 4th & 2 at OKST 42, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−2.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:49OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:22ISU 4th & 7 at OKST 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:37ISU 4th & 30 at OKST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:21OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:24ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:13OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−4.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:55ISU 4th & 15 at ISU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−4.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:27OKST 4th & 3 at ISU 14, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−10.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:42ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:52OKST 4th & 7 at ISU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:54ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:23OKST 4th & 10 at ISU 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:57ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:55OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:50OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:12ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:44OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:49ISU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:2358% → 58%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
57.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 21 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
57.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+6
57.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
58.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
58.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+7
58.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
58.2%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
58.3%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+7
58.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
58.3%
LD Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
58.4%
LD Brown run for no gain to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
58.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
57.9%
Alex Hale 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5042% → 42%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
57.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
57.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
57.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
57.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+3
58.1%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+3
58.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 53 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
57.8%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Mike Rose return for no gain to the OKSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:4343% → 46%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
56.8%
Brock Purdy run for 12 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
56.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Dylan Soehner) to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+8
56.7%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
53.7%
Brock Purdy run for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Hillmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:3355% → 54%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
54.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+9
54.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 9 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
54.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
54.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+9
54.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 9 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
54.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
54.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
54.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
53.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:5846% → 47%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
53.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+70
53.5%
Breece Hall run for 70 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
52.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
51.9%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-13
51.7%
Brock Purdy sacked by TEAM for a loss of 13 yards to the OKSt 31 IOWA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brock Purdy) to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 19
OPP 31
+48
53.0%
Connor Assalley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:4653% → 61%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
53.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 16 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
54.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 19 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
60.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 34 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3342% → 42%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.7%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
56.9%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
57.1%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
58.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 3:5859% → 68%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
59.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+9
58.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
59.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 3 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
60.3%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+19
58.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 19 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
61.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 3 yds to the OKSt 43 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 17
OWN 47
0
60.1%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+3
59.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 14
50
+13
59.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 13 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
60.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
68.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 32 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0334% → 33%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
65.7%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
66.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
66.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
50
+5
65.3%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
65.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+3
65.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 3 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
66.8%
Joe Rivera punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1469% → 67%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
68.5%
Sanders, Spencer pass complete to Wallace, Tylan for 22 yards to the OKLAST31, PENALTY OKLAST ineligible downfield on pass (Sills, Josh) 4 yards to the OKLAST5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+4
68.5%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
68.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 10
OWN 9
-4
67.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Tylan Wallace) to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 14
OWN 5
+3
67.8%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 11
OWN 8
+13
67.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 47 yds , Greg Eisworth II returns for 13 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:1534% → 32%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
66.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+1
65.0%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
65.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+10
66.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
65.3%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+4
65.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
66.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
68.0%
Connor Assalley 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1170% → 68%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
70.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+6
70.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
68.3%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:5931% → 32%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
69.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
68.3%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
68.5%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Kolby Harvell-Peel return for no gain to the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15INT
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:2970% → 74%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
70.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+10
70.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 10 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
70.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+14
72.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 14 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.5%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Lawrence White IV return for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:3630% → 46%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
69.8%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-6
67.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the IowSt 37 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chase Allen) to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+7
70.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 7 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+66
54.0%
Breece Hall run for 66 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:0159% → 77%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
58.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+11
58.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 11 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+40
61.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 40 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
76.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:5829% → 26%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.2%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
71.4%
Purdy, Brock rush for 8 yards to the IOWAST34, PENALTY OKLAST offside (Fofana, Amadou) 5 yards to the IOWAST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
70.2%
Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
69.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+25
68.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 25 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
66.3%
Brock Purdy sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 33 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowStSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 15
OPP 33
-1
69.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 16
OPP 34
-5
72.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 21
OPP 39
-9
72.9%
Brock Purdy sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 30
OPP 48
0
74.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:0477% → 80%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
76.8%
LD Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
77.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+7
76.7%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
78.8%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+7
78.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to LD Brown for 7 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
79.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tylan Wallace) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
79.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4725% → 22%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
75.3%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
76.0%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
77.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+61
78.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKLAST 22 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:5382% → 81%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+25
82.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
83.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-2
82.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
81.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
80.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1022% → 19%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
78.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
79.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Sean Foster) to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
79.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
80.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 15
OWN 23
+19
81.4%
Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 19 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:1986% → 85%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
86.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 25 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.4%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
86.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the IowSt 10 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
86.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+6
85.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
85.4%
Alex Hale 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3715% → 14%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.2%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Foster) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
86.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:3886% → 90%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
85.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
86.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 8 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
86.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+20
86.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 20 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
89.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-3
90.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+8
89.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-5
89.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
89.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 yds, downed at the IowSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:399% → 8%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
91.1%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
91.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
92.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+48
92.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 38 yds, downed at the OKSt 44 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:2292% → 94%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
91.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
92.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
92.8%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
93.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-1
94.6%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
94.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
94.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 2:114% → 19%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 2 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+8
96.5%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
96.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+9
95.9%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.4%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 4
50
+9
96.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 9 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
95.7%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Shaw Jr., Sean, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Williams, Rodarius) 10 yards to the OKLAST31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
94.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 18 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
94.8%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-5
95.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Xavier Hutchinson) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+20
81.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29Uncategorized
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:3395% → 95%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-5
94.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:12
Breece Hall run for 66 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
-16.4
TD · Q3 8:44
Spencer Sanders run for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)
+15.6
TD · Q4 0:49
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
-14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com