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KSU

Kansas State 21 at TCU 14

TCU
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 00:01
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:14: Darwin Barlow 7 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick) — TCU win probability +2.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:27: Will Howard 4 Yd Run (Chabastin Taylor Run for Two-Point Conversion) — KSU win probability +13.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:51: AJ Parker 37 Yd Interception Return (Blake Lynch Kick) — KSU win probability +20.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:39: Max Duggan 3 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick) — TCU win probability +21.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:26: Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33 — KSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 12:58TCU 4th & 12 at KSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:20KSU 4th & 2 at TCU 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:15KSU 4th & 1 at TCU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:10KSU 4th & 9 at TCU 35, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:54TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 34, up 1
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:26KSU 4th & 5 at TCU 28, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.5%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:33TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:33KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 38, down 1
    Close callPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:34TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07TCU 4th & 7 at KSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:10TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:41KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:08TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−3.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:03KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−2.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:16TCU 4th & 4 at KSU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−1.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:27KSU 4th & 16 at KSU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:29TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:29KSU 4th & 15 at KSU 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:39TCU 4th & 3 at KSU 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−5.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:05KSU 4th & 1 at TCU 48, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−1.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:30TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.5%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:14TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:27KSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:51KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:39TCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:5379% → 78%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.5%
Darwin Barlow run for 8 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+28
78.4%
Darwin Barlow run for 28 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
78.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Ekow Boye-DoeSimilar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
78.3%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Andrew Coker) to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+3
78.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 3 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
78.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darwin BarlowSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
78.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds, downed at the KanSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 91 yds · 2:3122% → 23%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
78.1%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
77.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Samuel WheelerSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+80
77.9%
Will Howard run for 80 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
77.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the TCU 14Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
77.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to D.J. RenderSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+7
77.1%
Will Howard pass complete to D.J. Render for 7 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
76.9%
Blake Lynch 25 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5977% → 77%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
76.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 13 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
76.6%
Daimarqua Foster run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
76.6%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
76.5%
Daimarqua Foster run for 5 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+5
76.6%
Duggan, Max pass complete to Foster, Daimarqua for 2 yards to the KANSASST44, PENALTY KANSASST offside (Hubert, Wyatt) 5 yards to the KANSASST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
76.5%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Johnston, Quentin, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference (Thomas, Kiondre) 15 yards to the KANSASST26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.7%
JD Spielman pass complete to Max Duggan for no gain to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
76.5%
Darwin Barlow run for 9 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+10
75.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 10 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.8%
Darwin Barlow 7 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
77.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Bronson Massie) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 40 yds · 5:0023% → 25%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.0%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
76.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
76.8%
Will Howard pass complete to D.J. Render for 9 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
76.2%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Vaughn, Deuce, PENALTY TCU personal foul (Washington, Ar'Darius) 15 yards to the TCU46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST. Ar'Darius Washington ejected for targeting.Similar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
75.7%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
75.3%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the TCU 44Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+7
75.2%
Will Howard run for 7 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+1
75.5%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
74.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Joshua YoungbloodSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
75.0%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TCU 35Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+53
75.0%
Blake Lynch 53 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0875% → 75%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.3%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
75.8%
Daimarqua Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
74.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to JD Spielman for 4 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+29
74.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 29 yds to the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1927% → 26%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
73.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+4
73.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+8
73.2%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Taylor, Chabastin, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Hodges-Tomlinson, Tre'Vius) 8 yards to the TCU33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Samuel Wheeler, broken up by La'Kendrick Van ZandtSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
72.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to D.J. RenderSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
72.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
73.7%
Blake Lynch 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4675% → 73%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.5%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Justin GardnerSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
73.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
73.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5527% → 26%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
73.8%
Harry Trotter run for 6 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
72.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Briley Moore, broken up by La'Kendrick Van ZandtSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
73.7%
Jack Blumer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the TCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5174% → 73%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
74.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
74.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 14 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
75.6%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Andrew Coker) to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
75.0%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+3
74.7%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Justin GardnerSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
73.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, downed at the KanSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 2:5927% → 45%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
73.4%
Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+45
72.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 45 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
70.4%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+5
69.1%
Tyler Burns run for 5 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
68.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 24 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.3%
Will Howard 4 Yd Run (Chabastin Taylor Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:0558% → 57%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
58.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Daimarqua Foster for 7 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+13
57.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 13 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
58.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Daimarqua Foster for 11 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
59.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to JD Spielman for 15 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
60.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 6 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-6
62.3%
Max Duggan sacked by Bronson Massie for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+3
59.0%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
56.6%
Griffin Kell 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Wyatt HubertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
52.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4847% → 50%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
53.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+12
53.3%
Phillip Brooks run for 12 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
51.4%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
50.5%
Will Howard pass intercepted Josh Foster return for no gain to the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5053% → 50%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
53.4%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
53.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
51.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+1
50.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 52 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2249% → 49%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
50.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
50.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+8
51.6%
Will Howard pass complete to D.J. Render for 8 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
51.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2650% → 47%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
50.3%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Darwin Barlow for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 6Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 12
OWN 6
0
49.8%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the TCU 6Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
47.8%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
46.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 55 yds, downed at the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:5855% → 55%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
45.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 7 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
44.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
43.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
50
0
41.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
50
0
41.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Noah DanielsSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 10
50
-2
42.1%
Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
44.7%
Jack Blumer punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0547% → 25%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.6%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
46.3%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Quazzel White) to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+5
45.6%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-37
25.2%
AJ Parker 37 Yd Interception Return (Blake Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:2726% → 23%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
25.8%
Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
26.2%
Kendre Miller run for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
27.1%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
26.6%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
26.6%
Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
26.4%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+2
24.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+5
23.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 5 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
22.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4283% → 87%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
17.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
16.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 14 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
13.7%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-10
13.0%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Render, D.J., PENALTY KANSASST holding (Leveston, Kaitori) 10 yards to the KANSASST44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 21
OWN 44
+2
13.3%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 19
OWN 46
+3
12.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
13.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 33 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4817% → 12%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
17.0%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
16.6%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-8
16.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 16Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
12.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5291% → 92%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
9.2%
Will Howard run for 5 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-5
8.1%
Will Howard sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
8.3%
Will Howard sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
8.5%
Jack Blumer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:429% → 26%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
9.1%
Max Duggan run for 11 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
9.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 6 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
9.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+19
8.7%
JD Spielman run for 19 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
9.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
8.6%
Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+24
8.7%
Derius Davis run for 24 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
8.8%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
8.5%
Max Duggan sacked by Drew Wiley for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
5.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
26.4%
Max Duggan 3 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:2187% → 95%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
13.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
11.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
10.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
8.7%
Will Howard run for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
5.1%
Will Howard run for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
5.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, downed at the TCU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25Uncategorized
12 plays · 57 yds · 0:5812% → 10%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
11.7%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+2
9.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Daimarqua Foster for 2 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 6
OWN 8
0
9.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Ross ElderSimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+9
8.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Daimarqua Foster for 9 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
10.5%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+11
8.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 11 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
9.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
8.6%
Max Duggan run for 17 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
10.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
9.5%
Duggan, Max pass pass intercepted by Boye-Doe, Ekow at the KANSASST10, Boye-Doe, Ekow return 0 yards to the KANSASST10, PENALTY KANSASST roughing passer (Hubert, Wyatt) 15 yards to the KANSASST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:39
Max Duggan 3 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)
+21.1
TD · Q3 4:51
AJ Parker 37 Yd Interception Return (Blake Lynch Kick)
-20.4
TD · Q2 3:27
Will Howard 4 Yd Run (Chabastin Taylor Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com