Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 15 at Iowa State 31

ISU
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:21 · Henry Colombi run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34 Henry Colombi fumbled, forced by Arnold Azunna, recovered by TexTc Henry Colombi for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense+30.8Pregame prior+2.5Score differential+22.4Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:23: Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +3.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:31: Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +5.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:20: Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for no gain to the IowSt 39 — TTU win probability +3.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:06: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +5.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:54: Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 18 yds for a TD (X. White Run For Two-point Conversion) — TTU win probability +3.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 14:16TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00ISU 4th & 2 at TTU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00ISU 4th & 3 at TTU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:22TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:40TTU 4th & 4 at ISU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:06TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:18ISU 4th & 9 at TTU 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:01ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:06TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23TTU 4th & 2 at ISU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−1.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:11ISU 4th & 1 at TTU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−2.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:30TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:07ISU 4th & 9 at TTU 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:47TTU 4th & 6 at ISU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:35ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 35, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:21TTU 4th & 1 at ISU 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:45ISU 4th & 10 at TTU 42, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:38TTU 4th & 4 at ISU 45, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:31ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:23ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:31ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:06ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:54TTU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3623% → 23%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
76.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
76.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 6:1277% → 74%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
76.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+12
76.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 12 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
76.8%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+14
76.8%
Brock Purdy run for 14 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
76.8%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
76.7%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
76.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+4
76.3%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
76.5%
Breece Hall run for 26 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the TexTc 4Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
76.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
76.4%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
75.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 4 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+90
73.7%
Connor Assalley 20 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eli Howard Zech McPhearson return for 90 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:1073% → 76%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
73.1%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
73.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan SoehnerSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
73.1%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
72.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Kene Nwangwu for 7 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+15
72.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 15 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
73.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 18 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
72.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
75.5%
Breece Hall run for 11 yds for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 8 (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5826% → 25%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
74.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 4 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
74.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
74.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
74.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:4874% → 78%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
74.4%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+26
74.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 26 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
75.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Daniel Jackson for no gain to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
75.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
75.1%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+9
75.0%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
74.9%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
74.8%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 2Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:1123% → 24%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
77.0%
Xavier White run for no gain to the TexTc 24 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
77.1%
Myles Price run for 10 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
76.7%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+14
76.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 14 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
75.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
75.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for 1 yd to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
75.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
76.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:5977% → 86%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.4%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
77.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson Jr. for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
77.6%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-4
78.7%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
78.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
50
+11
79.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Kene Nwangwu for 11 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
79.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+6
79.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 6 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
80.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+12
79.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 12 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
80.6%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+15
80.6%
Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.7%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.8%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1916% → 15%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
84.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 11 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.5%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
84.5%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
84.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+11
84.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 44 yds , Greg Eisworth II returns for 11 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:3885% → 87%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
85.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
85.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+19
85.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 19 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
86.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
87.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
87.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
87.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
87.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
86.6%
Joe Rivera punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3314% → 13%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
85.9%
Chadarius Townsend run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 19Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
87.1%
Chadarius Townsend run for 3 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4987% → 86%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
87.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
87.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
86.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+11
86.3%
Joe Rivera punt for 44 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 11 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:3214% → 13%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
86.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+9
86.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 9 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
86.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
86.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
87.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Travis KoontzSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2688% → 89%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
88.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 23 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
88.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
89.1%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
89.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 7 yds Dylan Soehner fumbled, forced by Eric Monroe, recovered by TexTc Zech McPhearson , return for 17 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0014% → 14%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for no gain to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
86.0%
Xavier White run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
86.7%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+6
86.3%
Xavier White run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:0689% → 98%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
89.3%
Brock Purdy run for 11 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
90.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+16
90.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
90.9%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
90.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+7
90.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
90.3%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
91.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
91.4%
Breece Hall run for 11 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
91.7%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
91.9%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
97.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:103% → 2%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to John Holcomb for 5 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
97.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+2
97.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:0098% → 99%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
98.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 9 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+4
98.3%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
98.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.5%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+14
98.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 14 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+28
98.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 28 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Breece HallSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
98.8%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
99.2%
Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:102% → 1%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+39
98.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 24 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Isheem Young) to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
98.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 11 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
98.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
98.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to John HolcombSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
98.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+6
99.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 55 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 2 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 3:211% → 4%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 9 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+10
98.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 10 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
98.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 12 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.1%
Henry Colombi run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 3
50
+4
99.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.1%
Henry Colombi run for 5 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
99.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to John Holcomb for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
99.2%
Henry Colombi run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34 Henry Colombi fumbled, forced by Arnold Azunna, recovered by TexTc Henry Colombi for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
99.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 16 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
95.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 18 yds for a TD (X. White Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-1
98.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-5
98.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 45Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+3
98.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
99.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:523% → 3%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
96.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 17 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
96.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+8
96.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 8 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+14
96.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to John Holcomb for 14 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
96.5%
Henry Colombi sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-6
97.5%
Henry Colombi sacked by Zach Petersen for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+13
97.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 13 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+3
97.4%
Henry Colombi run for 3 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:06
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 5:31
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+5
TD · Q4 4:54
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 18 yds for a TD (X. White Run For Two-point Conversion)
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com